Volume 62, Issue 6 pp. 711-715
Original Article

Analysis of predictive factors for perforated appendicitis in children

Harunori Miyauchi

Harunori Miyauchi

Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Japan

Department of Pediatric Surgery, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan

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Yuichi Okata

Corresponding Author

Yuichi Okata

Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Japan

Department of Pediatric Surgery, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan

Correspondence: Yuichi Okata, MD PhD, Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, 7-5-1 Kusunoki-cho, Chuo-ku, Kobe 650-0017, Japan. Email: [email protected]

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Tadashi Hatakeyama

Tadashi Hatakeyama

Department of Pediatric Surgery, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan

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Taichi Nakatani

Taichi Nakatani

Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Japan

Department of Pediatric Surgery, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan

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Yumiko Nakai

Yumiko Nakai

Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Japan

Department of Pediatric Surgery, Japanese Red Cross Society Himeji Hospital, Himeji, Japan

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Yuko Bitoh

Yuko Bitoh

Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, Kobe, Japan

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First published: 19 January 2020
Citations: 23

Abstract

Background

The aim of this research was to investigate the diagnostic value of objective factors present at admission for identifying predictive markers of perforated appendicitis in children.

Methods

We performed a retrospective case review of 319 children aged ≤15 years who underwent treatment for acute appendicitis at our institution over a 6-year period from January 2011 to December 2016. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify risk factors for perforation of acute appendicitis in children.

Results

In the 6-year period, 319 patients underwent treatment for acute appendicitis, of whom 72 (22.6%) had perforated appendicitis. Multivariate analysis revealed five independent factors predicting perforated appendicitis at admission: longer symptom duration (≥2 days), fever (axillary temperature ≥38.0 °C), elevated C-reactive protein level (≥3.46 mg/dL), appendiceal fecalith on imaging, and ascites on imaging. Among patients with all five risk factors, 93.3% had perforated appendicitis. None of the patients without any of these factors had a perforated appendicitis.

Conclusions

Longer symptom duration (≥2 days), fever (axillary temperature ≥38.0 °C), elevated C-reactive protein level, and the presence of appendiceal fecalith and ascites on imaging are independent and objective factors predicting perforated appendicitis at admission. These risk factors have the potential to be helpful as an ancillary index for physicians determining the severity of appendicitis.

Disclosure

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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