Association of preoperative CT-scan features and clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a meta-analysis
Ahmad Madankan MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Project administration, Supervision, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Ali Jaliliyan MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Correspondence
Dr. Ali Jaliliyan, Department of General Surgery, Hazrat-e Rasool General Hospital Niyayesh Street, Tehran, Iran. Email: [email protected]
Contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Project administration, Resources, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorPantea Khalili MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Data curation, Investigation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorShayan Eghdami MD, MPH
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing - original draft
Search for more papers by this authorHesam Mosavari MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Data curation, Methodology, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorSeyyed Amir Yasin Ahmadi MD
Preventive Medicine and Public Health Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Visualization
Search for more papers by this authorAmirreza Izadi MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Supervision, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorAli Hosseininasab MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Supervision, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorFoolad Eghbali MD, FIFSO
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Supervision, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorAhmad Madankan MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Project administration, Supervision, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Ali Jaliliyan MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Correspondence
Dr. Ali Jaliliyan, Department of General Surgery, Hazrat-e Rasool General Hospital Niyayesh Street, Tehran, Iran. Email: [email protected]
Contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Project administration, Resources, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorPantea Khalili MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Data curation, Investigation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorShayan Eghdami MD, MPH
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing - original draft
Search for more papers by this authorHesam Mosavari MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Data curation, Methodology, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorSeyyed Amir Yasin Ahmadi MD
Preventive Medicine and Public Health Research Center, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Visualization
Search for more papers by this authorAmirreza Izadi MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Supervision, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorAli Hosseininasab MD
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Supervision, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorFoolad Eghbali MD, FIFSO
Department of Surgery, Surgery Research Center, School of Medicine, Rasool-E Akram Hospital, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
Contribution: Supervision, Writing - review & editing
Search for more papers by this authorAbstract
Background
Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) is a significant complication after pancreaticoduodenectomy. CR-POPF is associated with various adverse outcomes, including high mortality rates. Identifying complication predictors for CR-POPF, such as preoperative CT scan features, including pancreatic attenuation index (PAI) and pancreatic duct diameter (PDD), is critical. This systematic review and meta-analysis consolidate existing literature to assess the impact of these variables on CR-POPF risk.
Methods
Our comprehensive search, conducted in May 2023, covered PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases. Inclusion criteria encompassed peer-reviewed cohort studies on pancreaticoduodenectomy, focusing on preoperative CT scan data. Case reports, case series, and studies reporting distal pancreatectomy were excluded. The quality assessment of included articles was done using New-Castle Ottawa Scale for cohort studies. Statistical analysis was carried out using Review Manager 5. This study was registered at the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews database (PROSPERO) on 12 May 2023 (registration number: CRD42023414139).
Results
We conducted a detailed analysis of 38 studies with 7393 participants. The overall incidence of CR-POPF was 24%. Multiple linear regression analyses revealed that PDD and pancreatic parenchymal thickness were significantly associated with CR-POPF.
Conclusion
Our systematic review and meta-analysis shed light on CT scan findings for predicting CR-POPF after Whipple surgery. Age, PDD, and pancreatic parenchymal thickness significantly correlate with CR-POPF.
Conflicts of interest
The authores declare that there are no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper. No funding, financial interest, or personal relationship could have influenced the work reported in this study.
Supporting Information
Filename | Description |
---|---|
ans19033-sup-0001-DocS1.docxWord 2007 document , 21.5 KB | Data S1. Prisma Checklist. |
ans19033-sup-0002-DocS2.docxWord 2007 document , 14.5 KB | Data S2. Search strategy. |
ans19033-sup-0003-DocS3.docxWord 2007 document , 16.5 KB | Data S3. CT-Scan features assessment protocols. |
ans19033-sup-0004-DocS4.docxWord 2007 document , 34.5 KB | Data S4. Statistical analysis methods in detail. |
ans19033-sup-0005-FigureS1.jpgJPEG image, 14.8 KB | Figure S1. Funnel plot of the mean difference of PAI effect on CR-POPF. |
ans19033-sup-0006-FigureS2.jpgJPEG image, 21.6 KB | Figure S2. Funnel plot of the mean difference of PTT effect on CR-POPF. |
Please note: The publisher is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.
References
- 1Malgras B, Dokmak S, Aussilhou B, Pocard M, Sauvanet A. Management of postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. J. Visc. Surg. 2023; 160: 39–51.
- 2Bassi C, Dervenis C, Butturini G et al. Postoperative pancreatic fistula: an international study group (ISGPF) definition. Surgery 2005; 138: 8–13.
- 3Bassi C, Marchegiani G, Dervenis C et al. The 2016 update of the International Study Group (ISGPS) definition and grading of postoperative pancreatic fistula: 11 years after. Surgery 2017; 161: 584–591.
- 4Simon R. Complications after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Surg. Clin. North Am. 2021; 101: 865–874.
- 5Abete M, Ronchetti V, Casano A, Pescio G. Pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: risk factors and treatment. Minerva Chir 2005; 60: 99–110.
- 6Ramacciato G, Mercantini P, Petrucciani N et al. Risk factors of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a collective review. Am. Surg. 2011; 77: 257–269.
- 7Callery MP, Pratt WB, Kent TS, Chaikof EL, Vollmer CMJ. A prospectively validated clinical risk score accurately predicts pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy. J. Am. Coll. Surg. 2013; 216: 1–14.
- 8Kopljar M, Čoklo M, Krstačić A et al. Validation of a clinical score in predicting pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Acta Chir. Belg. 2021; 121: 30–35.
- 9Vallance AE, Young AL, Macutkiewicz C, Roberts KJ, Smith AM. Calculating the risk of a pancreatic fistula after a pancreaticoduodenectomy: a systematic review. HPB (Oxford) 2015; 17: 1040–1048.
- 10Ellis RJ, Brock Hewitt D, Liu JB et al. Preoperative risk evaluation for pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. J. Surg. Oncol. 2019; 119: 1128–1134.
- 11Liu FH, Jiang XZ, Huang B, Yu Y. Preoperative computed tomography imaging of the pancreas identifying predictive factors for the progression of grade a, or biochemical leak, to grade B postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy: a retrospective study. Med. Sci. Monit. 2021; 27.
- 12Kirihara Y, Takahashi N, Hashimoto Y et al. Prediction of pancreatic anastomotic failure after pancreatoduodenectomy: the use of preoperative, quantitative computed tomography to measure remnant pancreatic volume and body composition. Ann. Surg. 2013; 257: 512–519.
- 13Page MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt P et al. The prisma 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. Med Flum 2021; 57: 444–465.
10.21860/medflum2021_264903 Google Scholar
- 14Wells GA. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for Assessing the Quality of Nonrandomised Studies in Meta-Analyses. Available from URL: https://www.ohri.ca/programs/clinical_epidemiology/oxford.asp
- 15Wan X, Wang W, Liu J, Tong T. Estimating the sample mean and standard deviation from the sample size, median, range and/or interquartile range. BMC Med. Res. Methodol. 2014; 14: 1–13.
- 16Akamatsu N, Sugawara Y, Komagome M et al. Risk factors for postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: the significance of the ratio of the main pancreatic duct to the pancreas body as a predictor of leakage. J. Hepatobiliary Pancreat. Sci. 2010; 17: 322–328.
- 17Hashimoto Y, Sclabas GM, Takahashi N et al. Dual-phase computed tomography for assessment of pancreatic fibrosis and anastomotic failure risk following pancreatoduodenectomy. J. Gastrointest. Surg. 2011; 15: 2193–2204.
- 18Tranchart H, Gaujoux S, Rebours V et al. Preoperative CT scan helps to predict the occurrence of severe pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Ann. Surg. 2012; 256: 139–145.
- 19Park CM, Park JS, Cho ES, Kim JK, Yu JS, Yoon DS. The effect of visceral fat mass on pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. J. Invest. Surg. 2012; 25: 169–173.
- 20Sugimoto M, Takahashi S, Gotohda N et al. Schematic pancreatic configuration: a risk assessment for postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. J. Gastrointest. Surg. 2013; 17: 1744–1751.
- 21Roberts KJ, Storey R, Hodson J, Smith AM, Morris-Stiff G. Pre-operative prediction of pancreatic fistula: is it possible? Pancreatology 2013; 13: 423–428.
- 22McAuliffe JC, Parks K, Kumar P, McNeal SF, Morgan DE, Christein JD. Computed tomography attenuation and patient characteristics as predictors of complications after pancreaticoduodenectomy. HPB (Oxford) 2013; 15: 709–715.
- 23Roberts KJ, Hodson J, Mehrzad H et al. A preoperative predictive score of pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy. HPB (Oxford) 2014; 16: 620–628.
- 24Yardimci S, Kara YB, Tuney D et al. A simple method to evaluate whether pancreas texture can be used to predict pancreatic fistula risk after pancreatoduodenectomy. J. Gastrointest. Surg. 2015; 19: 1625–1631.
- 25Schröder FF, de Graaff F, Bouman DE, Brusse-Keizer M, Slump KH, Klaase JM. The preoperative CT-scan can help to predict postoperative complications after pancreatoduodenectomy. Biomed. Res. Int. 2015; 2015: 824525.
- 26Sandini M, Bernasconi DP, Ippolito D et al. Preoperative computed tomography to predict and stratify the risk of severe pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy. Medicine (Baltimore) 2015; 94: e1152.
- 27Roberts KJ, Sutcliffe RP, Marudanayagam R et al. Scoring system to predict pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a UK multicenter study. Ann. Surg. 2015; 261: 1191–1197.
- 28Yokoyama Y, Ebata T, Igami T, Sugawara G, Ando M, Nagino M. Proposal for a pancreatic configuration index for determining patients at high risk of pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy. Dig. Surg. 2016; 33: 169–176.
- 29Roberts KJ, Karkhanis S, Pitchaimuthu M et al. Comparison of preoperative CT-based imaging parameters to predict postoperative pancreatic fistula. Clin. Radiol. 2016; 71: 986–992.
- 30Pecorelli N, Carrara G, De Cobelli F et al. Effect of sarcopenia and visceral obesity on mortality and pancreatic fistula following pancreatic cancer surgery. Br. J. Surg. 2016; 103: 434–442.
- 31Fang CH, Chen QS, Yang J, Xiang F, Fang ZS, Zhu W. Body mass index and stump morphology predict an increased incidence of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. World J. Surg. 2016; 40: 1467–1476.
- 32Halle-Smith JM, Vinuela E, Brown RM et al. A comparative study of risk factors for pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy or distal pancreatectomy. HPB (Oxford) 2017; 19: 727–734.
- 33Sui K, Okabayshi T, Iwata J et al. Correlation between the skeletal muscle index and surgical outcomes of pancreaticoduodenectomy. Surg. Today 2018; 48: 545–551.
- 34Deng Y, Zhao B, Yang M, Li C, Zhang L. Association between the incidence of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy and the degree of pancreatic fibrosis. J. Gastrointest. Surg. 2018; 22: 438–443.
- 35Barbier L, Mège D, Reyre A, Moutardier VM, Ewald JA, Delpero JR. Predict pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: ratio body thickness/main duct. ANZ J. Surg. 2018; 88: E451–e455.
- 36Linder N, Schaudinn A, Langenhan K et al. Power of computed-tomography-defined sarcopenia for prediction of morbidity after pancreaticoduodenectomy. BMC Med. Imaging 2019; 19: 32.
- 37Jang M, Park HW, Huh J et al. Predictive value of sarcopenia and visceral obesity for postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy analyzed on clinically acquired CT and MRI. Eur. Radiol. 2019; 29: 2417–2425.
- 38Akgul O, Merath K, Mehta R et al. Postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy-stratification of patient risk. J. Gastrointest. Surg. 2019; 23: 1817–1824.
- 39Bardol T, Delicque J, Hermida M et al. Neck transection level and postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: a retrospective cohort study of 195 patients. Int. J. Surg. 2020; 82: 43–50.
- 40Roh YH, Kang BK, Song SY, Lee CM, Jung YK, Kim M. Preoperative CT anthropometric measurements and pancreatic pathology increase risk for postoperative pancreatic fistula in patients following pancreaticoduodenectomy. PLoS One 2020; 15: e0243515.
- 41Ohgi K, Okamura Y, Sugiura T et al. Pancreatic attenuation on computed tomography predicts pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. HPB (Oxford) 2020; 22: 67–74.
- 42Kusafuka T, Kato H, Iizawa Y et al. Pancreas-visceral fat CT value ratio and serrated pancreatic contour are strong predictors of postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticojejunostomy. BMC Surg. 2020; 20: 129.
- 43Abe T, Amano H, Kobayashi T et al. Preoperative anthropomorphic and nutritious status and fistula risk score for predicting clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. BMC Gastroenterol. 2020; 20: 264.
- 44Tang B, Lin Z, Ma Y et al. A modified alternative fistula risk score (a-FRS) obtained from the computed tomography enhancement pattern of the pancreatic parenchyma predicts pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy. HPB (Oxford) 2021; 23: 1759–1766.
- 45Savin ML, Mihai F, Gheorghe L et al. Proposal of a preoperative CT-based score to predict the risk of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after cephalic Pancreatoduodenectomy. Medicina (Kaunas) 2021; 57(7): 650.
- 46Karasu S, Gungor F, Onak C, Dilek ON. Relation of computed tomography features of the pancreatic tissue and development of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Clin. Imaging 2021; 72: 114–119.
- 47Sofue K, Ueshima E, Masuda A et al. Estimation of pancreatic fibrosis and prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula using extracellular volume fraction in multiphasic contrast-enhanced CT. Eur. Radiol. 2022; 32: 1770–1780.
- 48Sano S, Okamura Y, Ohgi K et al. Histological pancreatic findings correlate with computed tomography attenuation and predict postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreatoduodenectomy. HPB (Oxford) 2022; 24(9): 1519–1526.
- 49Kolbinger FR, Lambrecht J, Leger S et al. The image-based preoperative fistula risk score (preFRS) predicts postoperative pancreatic fistula in patients undergoing pancreatic head resection. Sci. Rep. 2022; 12: 4064.
- 50Gnanasekaran S, Durgesh S, Gurram R et al. Do preoperative pancreatic computed tomography attenuation index and enhancement ratio predict pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy? World J. Radiol. 2022; 14: 165–176.
- 51Mirrielees JA, Weber SM, Abbott DE, Greenberg CC, Minter RM, Scarborough JE. Pancreatic fistula and delayed gastric emptying are the highest-impact complications after whipple. J. Surg. Res. 2020; 250: 80–87.
- 52Yue Y, Li M, Zhang X, Yu H, Song B. Prediction of clinically relevant pancreatic fistula after pancreatic surgery using preoperative CT scan: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Pancreatology 2020; 20: 1558–1565.