Volume 17, Issue 6 e70113
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Open Access

Long-Term or Recurrent Antibiotic Use in Early Life and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: A Population-Based Prospective Cohort and a Case–Control Study

Zijun Li

Zijun Li

Evidence-Based Social Science Research Center/Health Technology Assessment Center, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Key Laboratory of Evidence-Based Medicine and Knowledge Translation of Gansu Province, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Qiangsheng He

Qiangsheng He

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Clinical Big Data Research Center, the Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Shenzhen, China

Chinese Health RIsk MAnagement Collaboration (CHRIMAC), Shenzhen, China

Search for more papers by this author
Xin He

Xin He

Evidence-Based Social Science Research Center/Health Technology Assessment Center, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Key Laboratory of Evidence-Based Medicine and Knowledge Translation of Gansu Province, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Xin Xing

Xin Xing

Evidence-Based Medicine Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Songbo Fu

Songbo Fu

Department of Endocrinology, The First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Xiaoping Sun

Xiaoping Sun

Health Management Center, The Second Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Mina Ma

Mina Ma

Evidence-Based Medicine Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Danni Wang

Danni Wang

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Clinical Big Data Research Center, the Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Shenzhen, China

Chinese Health RIsk MAnagement Collaboration (CHRIMAC), Shenzhen, China

Search for more papers by this author
Ningning Mi

Ningning Mi

The First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Jinyu Zhao

Jinyu Zhao

The First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Search for more papers by this author
Jinqiu Yuan

Corresponding Author

Jinqiu Yuan

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Clinical Big Data Research Center, the Seventh Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Shenzhen, China

Chinese Health RIsk MAnagement Collaboration (CHRIMAC), Shenzhen, China

Correspondence:

Jinqiu Yuan ([email protected])

Kehu Yang ([email protected])

Search for more papers by this author
Kehu Yang

Corresponding Author

Kehu Yang

Evidence-Based Social Science Research Center/Health Technology Assessment Center, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Key Laboratory of Evidence-Based Medicine and Knowledge Translation of Gansu Province, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Evidence-Based Medicine Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China

Correspondence:

Jinqiu Yuan ([email protected])

Kehu Yang ([email protected])

Search for more papers by this author
First published: 18 June 2025

Zijun Li and Qiangsheng He contributed equally to this study as the first authors.

Funding: This work was supported by Gansu Province Endocrine Disease Clinical Medical Research Center, 20JR10FA667, the Major Project of the National Social Science Fund of China: Research on the Theoretical System, International Experience and Chinese Path of Evidence-based Social Science, Grant 19ZDA142.

ABSTRACT

Background

Antibiotics in childhood are commonly used and have been linked to gut microbiome dysbiosis and metabolic disorders. However, direct evidence regarding the association between long-term or recurrent antibiotic use (LRAU) during early life and diabetes was scarce. We performed this study to investigate this association in two population-based studies.

Methods

We undertook a prospective analysis encompassing 147 010 participants from the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of self-reported LRAU during early life on diabetes risk. We also conducted a case–control study within the Chinese population, in which 263 diabetes cases and 526 controls were matched for age and living location. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% CI were was calculated using logistic regression models.

Results

We identified 4314 incident cases of type 2 diabetes over 1 840 944 person-years of follow-up in the UK Biobank. LRAU during early life was associated with a 26% higher risk of diabetes after accounting for putative risk factors (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.16–1.37) in the UK biobank. We observed a more evident association between LRAU and an elevated risk of diabetes in the case–control study (OR, 3.32; 95% CI, 2.06–5.38). The primary finding was robust to several subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses.

Conclusions

LRAU during early life may increase the risk of type 2 diabetes. Caution should be exercised when prescribing long-term or recurrent antibiotics to children and adolescents.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Data Availability Statement

Reasonable requests to access the data from the Chinese Metabolic Management Center used in this study may be sent to the corresponding authors. Data from UK Biobank are available on application at www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/register-apply.

The full text of this article hosted at iucr.org is unavailable due to technical difficulties.