Volume 42, Issue 3 pp. 245-253
ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Visit-to-visit variability in blood pressure strongly predicts all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a 5·5-year prospective analysis

Yi-Ting Hsieh

Yi-Ting Hsieh

Department of Ophthalmology, Buddhist Tzu Chi General Hospital, Taipei Branch, Taipei, Taiwan

Department of Ophthalmology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

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Shih-Te Tu

Shih-Te Tu

Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Changhua Christian Hospital, Changhua, Taiwan

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Tzu-Jung Cho

Tzu-Jung Cho

Department of Dermatology, Cathay General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan

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Shun-Jen Chang

Shun-Jen Chang

Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

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Jung-Fu Chen

Jung-Fu Chen

Department of Nutrition Therapy and Internal Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan

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Ming-Chia Hsieh

Ming-Chia Hsieh

Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Changhua Christian Hospital, Changhua, Taiwan

Graduate Institute of Integrated Medicine, China Medical University, Taiwan

Department of Internal Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung, Taiwan

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First published: 07 July 2011
Citations: 94
Dr Ming-Chia Hsieh, Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Changhua Christian Hospital, 135 Nanhsiao Street, Changhua 500, Taiwan. Tel.: +886 4 7238595 Ext. 1371; fax: +886 4 7238595; e-mail: [email protected]

Yi-Ting Hsieh and Shih-Te Tu contributed equally to this work.

Abstract

Eur J Clin Invest 2012; 42 (3): 245–253

Background Elevations in blood pressure and visit-to-visit variability have been found to significantly increase the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in nondiabetic individuals. This study has assessed the association between all-cause mortality and blood pressure parameters [systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), pulse pressure (PP), mean arterial pressure (MAP) and visit-to-visit variability] in patients with type 2 diabetes.

Materials and methods A longitudinal cohort study of 2161 patients with type 2 diabetes and a mean follow-up period of 66·7 ± 7·5 months. Using Cox regression models, blood pressure parameters were related to the risk of all-cause mortality.

Results Visit-to-visit variability in SBP [HR: 1·048 (95% CI: 1·005–1·092; P = 0·03)], DBP [HR: 1·090 (95% CI: 1·021–1·163; P = 0·01)] and MAP [HR: 1·099 (95% CI: 1·033–1·170; P = 0·003)] significantly predicted all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes after adjusting for baseline data, mean follow-up blood pressure profiles and HbA1c. Visit-to-visit variability in PP [HR: 1·139 (95% CI: 1·030–1·258; P = 0·01)] significantly predicted cardiovascular mortality. Neither baseline nor follow-up SBP, DBP, PP nor MAP was significantly associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality after adjusting for blood pressure variability. The risk of all-cause mortality with a mean follow-up SBP has a U-shaped distribution. Patients with a mean follow-up DBP > 90 mmHg were at higher risk of mortality than those with DBP < 90 mmHg.

Conclusions Visit-to-visit variability in blood pressure was significantly associated with all-cause mortality independent of mean BP in patients with type 2 diabetes. The data for blood pressure variability might be regarded as a potentially important therapeutic target in the management of type 2 diabetes.

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