Volume 28, Issue 2 pp. 421-429
Original Article

Cardiovascular disease, psychiatric diagnosis and sex differences in the multistep hypothesis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

F. C. Garton

Corresponding Author

F. C. Garton

Institute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Correspondence: F. C. Garton, Institute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, 4067, Australia (tel.: +61416424055; fax: +617 3346 2101; e-mail: [email protected]).

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B. B. Trabjerg

B. B. Trabjerg

National Centre for Register-Based Research NCRR, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark

Centre for Integrated Register-Based Research CIRRAU, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark

The Lundbeck Foundation Initiative for Integrative Psychiatric Research, iPSYCH, Aarhus, Denmark

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N. R. Wray

N. R. Wray

Institute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

Queensland Brain Institute, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia

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E. Agerbo

E. Agerbo

National Centre for Register-Based Research NCRR, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark

Centre for Integrated Register-Based Research CIRRAU, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark

The Lundbeck Foundation Initiative for Integrative Psychiatric Research, iPSYCH, Aarhus, Denmark

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First published: 25 September 2020
Citations: 17

Abstract

Background and purpose

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) risk increases with age, and a linear log-incidence and log-age relationship is interpreted to suggest that five to six factors are involved in disease onset. The factors remain unidentified, except that fewer steps are predicted for those carrying a known ALS-causing mutation.

Methods

Men with a psychiatric disorder or cardiovascular disease (CVD) diagnosis have an increased relative risk of ALS. Using the Danish population registries and ALS diagnosis years 1980 to 2017, we tested whether these factors would decrease the predicted steps to disease.

Results

Consistent with previous reports, we find a linear log-incidence and log-age ALS-onset relationship (n = 4385, regression coefficient b = 4.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.3–4.9, R2 = 0.99). This did not differ when considering ALS cases with a prior psychiatric diagnosis (n = 391, b = 4.6, 95% CI: 4.0–5.1) Surprisingly, it was higher (+1.5 steps, P = 2.3 × 10−5) for those with a prior CVD diagnosis (n = 901, b = 6.1, 95% CI: 5.4–6.8). To control for competing risk of death, a test to investigate if this effect was maintained in those with CVD in the population demonstrated an increased baseline risk and fewer steps to disease (b = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.2–2.3, P = 4.6 × 10−21), which consistent with a positive association of CVD and ALS. Assessing sex differences, our data and meta-analyses (n = 22 495) support half a step fewer for men (−0.4, 95% CI: ±0.24, P = 0.00031) without support for contributing differences explained by menopause.

Conclusions

Any factor associated with ALS disease onset may be relevant for understanding disease pathogenesis and/or counselling. Modelling disease incidence with age demonstrates some insight into relevant risk factors; however, the outcome can differ if competing risks are considered.

Disclosure of conflicts of interest

The authors declare no financial or other conflicts of interest.

Data availability statement

Access to individual-level Denmark data is governed by Danish authorities. These include the Danish Data Protection Agency, the Danish Health Data Authority, and Statistics Denmark. Each scientific project must be approved before initiation, and approval is granted to a specific Danish research institution. International researchers may gain data access through collaboration with a Danish research institution.

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