Volume 64, Issue 5 pp. 1506-1509
Technical Note

Expressing Uncertainty in Dental Age Estimation: A Comparison between Two Methods of Calculating the “Average” Standard Deviation

Derek Draft D.D.S.

Derek Draft D.D.S.

Department of Pathology, Homer Stryker MD School of Medicine, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI

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Victoria S. Lucas Ph.D.

Victoria S. Lucas Ph.D.

Faculty of Dentistry, Oral & Craniofacial Sciences, Department of Orthodontics, King's College London, Guy's Tower Wing, Great Maze Pond, London Bridge, SE1 9RT U.K.

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Fraser McDonald Ph.D.

Fraser McDonald Ph.D.

Faculty of Dentistry, Oral & Craniofacial Sciences, Department of Orthodontics, King's College London, Guy's Tower Wing, Great Maze Pond, London Bridge, SE1 9RT U.K.

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Manoharan Andiappan Ph.D.

Manoharan Andiappan Ph.D.

Faculty of Dentistry, Oral & Craniofacial Sciences, Patient and Population Health Division (Dental Public Health), 2nd Floor Dental Hospital Extension, King's College Hospital Campus, Denmark Hill, SE5 9RS, Camberwell, London, SE5 9RS U.K.

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Graham Roberts M.D.S.

Corresponding Author

Graham Roberts M.D.S.

Faculty of Dentistry, Oral & Craniofacial Sciences, Department of Orthodontics, King's College London, Guy's Tower Wing, Great Maze Pond, London Bridge, SE1 9RT U.K.

Corresponding author: Graham Roberts, M.D.S. E-mail: [email protected]Search for more papers by this author
First published: 01 April 2019
Citations: 3
Presented at the 70th Annual Scientific Meeting of the American Academy of Forensic Sciences, February 19–24, 2018, in Seattle, WA.

Abstract

The expression of uncertainty is defined by the standard deviation and is usually expressed in multiples of the standard deviation (±1sd, ±2sd, and ±3sd). The objective was to use weighting of the sd calculation by the number or count of subjects for each tooth development stage. A comparison shows the difference between the range of uncertainty using the unweighted sd and the weighted sd. The range of uncertainty related to Dental Age Estimation is statistically significantly greater (p < 0.001) for the weighted sd compared to the unweighted sd. It is concluded that the number of subjects for each Tooth Development Stage in the Reference Data set should be included in the calculation for a single Dental Age Estimation using the Simple Average Method when presenting the uncertainty associated with the point estimate of the “mean” for Dental Age Estimation of a single subject of unknown age.

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