Volume 12, Issue 1 e1331
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Open Access

Deciphering the role of host species for two Mycobacterium bovis genotypes from the European 3 clonal complex circulation within a cattle-badger-wild boar multihost system

Laetitia Canini

Corresponding Author

Laetitia Canini

Epidemiology Unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Paris-Est University, Maisons-Alfort, France

Correspondence Laetitia Canini, Paris-Est University, Epidemiology Unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Maisons-Alfort, France.

Email: [email protected]

Contribution: Data curation (equal), Formal analysis (equal), Methodology (equal), Validation (equal), Visualization (equal), Writing - original draft (equal)

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Gabriela Modenesi

Gabriela Modenesi

Epidemiology Unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Paris-Est University, Maisons-Alfort, France

Contribution: Data curation (supporting), Formal analysis (supporting), Visualization (supporting), Writing - original draft (supporting)

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Aurélie Courcoul

Aurélie Courcoul

Epidemiology Unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Paris-Est University, Maisons-Alfort, France

Contribution: Conceptualization (equal), Funding acquisition (equal), Writing - original draft (equal)

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Maria-Laura Boschiroli

Maria-Laura Boschiroli

Tuberculosis National Reference Laboratory, Bacterial Zoonosis unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Paris-Est University, Maisons-Alfort, France

Contribution: Conceptualization (equal), Project administration (equal), Resources (equal), Supervision (equal), Writing - original draft (equal)

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Benoit Durand

Benoit Durand

Epidemiology Unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Paris-Est University, Maisons-Alfort, France

Contribution: Conceptualization (equal), Funding acquisition (equal), Supervision (equal), Writing - original draft (equal)

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Lorraine Michelet

Lorraine Michelet

Tuberculosis National Reference Laboratory, Bacterial Zoonosis unit, Laboratory for Animal Health, Anses, Paris-Est University, Maisons-Alfort, France

Contribution: Conceptualization (equal), Formal analysis (equal), Funding acquisition (equal), ​Investigation (equal), Methodology (equal), Project administration (equal), Writing - original draft (equal)

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Graphical Abstract

Using whole genome sequencing of Mycobacterium bovis strains collected in two distinct areas of France with an evolutionary model, we showed that the role of host species in the circulation of the pathogen differed between both areas. While wild boars appeared to play the role of an intermediary between badgers and cattle in both areas, the role of badgers differed. Our results suggest that the transition pattern depends on ecological, landscape, and anthropic factors.

Abstract

Bovine tuberculosis is a common disease affecting cattle and wildlife worldwide. Mycobacterium bovis circulation in wildlife decreases the efficacy of surveillance and control programs in cattle. Strains of the European 3 clonal complex are the most frequent in France. The aim of our work was hence to investigate the role played by cattle and wildlife species in the circulation of two M. bovis European 3 strains circulation. WGS of M. bovis strains collected between 2010 and 2017 in two distinct areas (Nouvelle-Aquitaine region, NAq, and Côte-d'Or département, CdO), from badgers, wild boars, and cattle were used in an evolutionary model to infer the transition between the three species. We computed host species transition and persistence between two consecutive nodes and the average number of transitions per tree. In total, 144 and 218 samples were collected respectively in CdO and NAq. In CdO, three between-species transition rates stood out: from cattle to badgers, from badgers to wild boars, and from wild boars to cattle. In NAq an additional fourth transition rate was identified: from badgers to cattle. However, host transition remained a rare event. Our results suggest that wild boars could be an intermediary host between badgers and cattle in the circulation of the studied strains in CdO and NAq. Our results also highlight the differences between these two areas, suggesting that the transition pattern does not only depend on the host species and other ecological, landscape and anthropic factors are important.

1 INTRODUCTION

Bovine tuberculosis (bTB) is a disease affecting cattle and wildlife worldwide (Bovine tuberculosis (2021)). Mycobacterium bovis can infect a large variety of wildlife hosts (Fitzgerald & Kaneene, 2013), which differ from country to country. M. bovis was detected in European badgers (Meles meles) in the UK (Rivière et al., 2014), Ireland, and continental Europe, in wild boars (Sus scrofa) in continental Europe (Rivière et al., 2014), in red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) in France (Michelet et al., 2018), in cervids, more specifically red deer (Cervus elaphus) and roe deer (Capreolus capreolus) in continental Europe (Rivière et al., 2014), Sika deer (Cervus nippon) recently identified in Ireland (Kelly et al., 2021) and white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) and elk (Cervus canadensis) in North America or brush-tailed possums (Trichosurus vulpecula) in New Zealand (Fitzgerald & Kaneene, 2013). The circulation of M. bovis in wildlife hampers control programs when implemented.

In France, a control program in line with the European Union (EU) Directive 64/432/EEC has been implemented starting in 1954 to eradicate bTB in cattle farms. This program led to a rapid decrease in herd incidence (Michelet et al., 2020), resulting in a disease-free status in 2001 when herd prevalence was below 0.1% for six consecutive years (Decision 2001/26/EC). The bTB-free status alleviates the control measures for export and therefore ensures French cattle farming competitiveness.

There are two surveillance programs in France: one for cattle and one for wildlife. The cattle surveillance program relies on three components. First, at slaughterhouses at the national level, all carcasses are systematically inspected, with incisions of specific tissues (lungs, retropharyngeal, tracheobronchial, and mediastinal lymph nodes). Samples from suspect lesions are sent for bTB confirmation by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or bacteriology to certified laboratories. Second, depending on the epidemiological situation in the département (intermediate administrative divisions of France), periodic systematic screening of all animals over 6 weeks of age is performed at a regularity ranging from yearly to none. Finally, based on the epidemiological investigation of bTB-infected farms, targeted screening is performed on animals before they depart from at-risk farms (Delavenne et al., 2020a).

The wildlife surveillance program created in 2011, called Sylvatub, focuses on red deer, roe deer, wild boars, and badgers (Rivière et al., 2014). It is based on event-based surveillance (e.g. carcass inspection of hunted wild boars and cervids), enhanced event-based surveillance (e.g., carcass inspection of badgers found dead on the roadside), and programmed surveillance (e.g. badger trapping or hunted wild boar direct diagnosis). The implementation of these modalities depends on the level of surveillance defined at the département level, which in turn depends on their epidemiological situation. Animals are necropsied and appropriate samples are taken for bTB diagnosis by PCR and culture and molecular typing when confirmed positive (Réveillaud et al., 2018).

In France, the epidemiological situation is heterogeneous. Few areas concentrate most national outbreaks, such as Côte-d'Or département in the East of France or the Nouvelle-Aquitaine region in the South-West. As a result, in these two areas, surveillance of cattle was biennial until 2018 and is annual since 2018 in the Dordogne département; and for wildlife, the program includes event-based, enhanced event-based, and programmed surveillance (Delavenne et al., 2020b).

In addition, molecular typing revealed that M. bovis strains circulating in these two regions are specific per area. For instance, SB0120 VNTR profile 5 3 5 3 9 4 5 6 (SB0120-NAq) is mainly found in an area of Nouvelle-Aquitaine overlapping Dordogne, Haute-Vienne, Charente and Charente-Maritime départements, while SB0120 VNTR profile 5 5 4 3 11 4 5 6 (SB0120-CdO) is mainly found in Burgundy, especially Côte-d'Or département (Michelet et al., 2020). To differentiate strains of these dominant genotypes within these regions at a finer scale, a more discriminating method is required such as whole genome sequencing (WGS), which has shown higher resolution (Crispell et al., 2017; Price-Carter et al., 2018).

Despite being phylogenetically close genotypes belonging to the European 3 (Eu3) clonal complex (also described as lineage La1.2 (Zwyer et al., 2021)) affecting the same host species (Hauer et al., 20152019), the epidemiologic situations were contrasted in these two areas. While the number of cattle outbreaks has been steadily decreasing in CdO, the number of detected cases has been increasing in NAq (Delavenne et al., 2020a). In wildlife, a similar trend was observed in badgers, with the apparent prevalence decreasing from 8.1% to 4.2% in Côte-d'Or between 2013 and 2014 (as identified by culture) and 2016–2017 (as identified by PCR) while it increased in Nouvelle-Aquitaine from 2.7% to 5.3% (Réveillaud et al., 2018). However, the apparent prevalence of wild boars decreased in both areas (from 3.1% to 2.2% in Côte-d'Or and from 4.1% to 2.7% in Nouvelle-Aquitaine during the same time intervals) (Réveillaud et al., 2018).

The drivers of these epidemic dynamics are still unclear. In particular, the role played by each species in these two multi-host systems remains to be determined. Previous studies on bTB have focused on interactions between two species: primarily cattle and badgers (Biek et al., 2012; Bouchez-Zacria et al., 2018; Crispell et al., 2019; Rossi et al., 2020; Trewby et al., 2014) but also cattle and possums (Crispell et al., 2017), cattle and elk (Salvador et al., 2019), cattle and cervids (Crispell et al., 2020), or wild boars and cervids (Zanella et al., 2008). However, species such as badgers and wild boars have different life traits: while badgers are sedentary and have a life expectancy of about 14 years, wild boars can travel long distances and are often hunted before they are 4 or 5 years old (Byrne et al., 2014; Podgórski et al., 2013). In addition, the amount and the timing of M. bovis shedding by the different species, hence their infectiousness, may differ. Thus, the roles played by different species in the multi-host system could be different.

The aim of our work was therefore to investigate the role played by each species in the circulation of two Eu3 M. bovis lineages using genomic data. To do so, we defined two study areas in CdO and NAq, in which samples collected from cattle, badgers, and wild boars have been analyzed by WGS. We then used these data to model the evolutionary history of the pathogen and to infer host species of ancestors. This allowed us to analyze the transitions between species in a three-species multi-host system.

2 MATERIAL AND METHODS

2.1 bTB detection

All bTB detections which have been declared to the Directorate General on Food Safety (Direction Générale de l'Alimentation – DGAl) between 2010 and 2017 included herd identification for cattle and date of bTB confirmation. The National Reference Laboratory (NRL) (Anses, Maisons-Alfort) verified the data set for consistency with the samples that are analyzed at the lab for bTB confirmation.

Suspect cattle had been identified either by skin tests (in the cervical region, using single intradermal tuberculin test (SITT) or single intradermal comparative tuberculin test (SICTT)) provided by different surveillance protocols (periodic screening, epidemiological investigations, pre-movement of cattle (Delavenne et al., 2020a)) or following the detection of lesions at the slaughterhouse. For each detection, the presence of M. bovis was confirmed by PCR and/or bacterial culture (Delavenne et al., 2020a). Isolated strains are genotyped by spoligotyping and MIRU-VNTR. Only isolates belonging to the SB0120 spoligotype were included, more specifically isolates of genotype SB0120-CdO in CdO and isolates of genotype SB0120-NAq in NAq.

Wildlife animals shot during hunting or found dead were subject to a necropsy and samples were collected to detect mycobacteria by PCR and culture. All strains isolated from badgers and wild boars identified during the wildlife surveillance program in the study area were included in our study. We decided to exclude samples collected from red deer, roe deer, and red foxes since their limited number (n = 2, 1, and 5, respectively) would have altered parameter inference (Réveillaud, 2013).

2.2 Study areas selection

In CdO and NAq, study areas were defined according to the following criteria: (1) the municipality with the most isolates was included; (2) the final study area was well delimited (i.e., it was mostly surrounded by municipalities without detected cases); (3) the final study area was compact (i.e., with a limited number of municipalities without cases detected within it). The municipalities with detected cases were municipalities where infected wildlife was identified or municipalities with pastures belonging to farms with outbreaks. The pastures were identified with the 2013–2018 French graphic parcel register (Relevé Parcellaire Graphique, RPG) provided by the French Ministry of Agriculture. We call below “outbreak” the official declaration of one or several bTB-infected animals in a given farm. A farm could hence have several outbreaks (in case of breakdown after the farm has recovered the bTB-free status). We limited the number of samples to be analyzed per outbreak to three. Indeed, in NAq, the number of available isolates per outbreak varied between one and 26 and was <3 in most outbreaks (84%). As two or three different VNTR profiles were identified in some outbreaks (2.5%), bounding the number of isolates per outbreak to three allowed limiting the number of isolates to sequences, while allowing for the detection of different sequences in the same outbreak.

CdO was the pilot area and the municipalities were chosen manually according to the detection of infected wildlife or localization of pastures belonging to infected farms. In CdO, the selected area consisted of 38 municipalities, covering 499 km², in which 144 isolates (only one M. bovis strain per individual animal) were selected between 2009 and 2014. The number of samples to be analyzed was limited to three per outbreak. The host species were cattle (n = 77, from 74 outbreaks), badgers (n = 52) and wild boars (n = 15) (Figure 1, left panel) (Table A1).

Details are in the caption following the image
Temporal distribution of sequences for each species (blue for badgers, green for cattle, and red for wild boars) included in the study areas of Côte-d'Or (left) and Nouvelle-Aquitaine (right).

For NAq, we decided to formalize the municipality selection process with a procedure that reflects the decisions taken to select the municipalities in CdO. First, for each municipality, the number of samples available was defined as the total of available samples collected from the outbreak and the wildlife. We then defined the “starting zone” as the municipality with the most available samples and the neighboring municipalities. We iteratively added one municipality randomly selected from the list of neighboring municipalities with at least one sample. The added municipality was thus adjacent to the previously defined area. Iterations stopped once a predefined maximal number of samples to include (nmax) was reached. We ran this iterative process 1000 times. Among the 1000 areas thus obtained, we selected the best-delineated area, minimizing the ratio of the total length of borders with noninfected municipalities to the perimeter of the selected area.

The resulting selected area in NAq consisted of 76 municipalities, covering 1540 km², in which nmax = 219 samples collected between 2010 and 2017 were selected. The host species were cattle (n = 161, from 95 outbreaks), badgers (n = 41) and wild boars (n = 17) (Figure 1, right panel). In CdO, the maximum number of samples was collected in 2014 (n = 51), the minimal number in 2009 (n = 11) with no clear trend, whereas in NAq, the number of selected samples varied between 8 in 2010 and 69 in 2017 with a trend toward an increase with time (Figure 1).

2.3 Sequencing and alignment

Thermolysates of selected isolates were sequenced by Illumina sequencing (paired-end 2*250 bp) at Genoscreen (Pasteur Institute, Lille) for CdO and Illumina sequencing (paired-end 2*150 bp) at the Paris Brain Institute (ICM) for NAq. Sequencing quality was controlled using FASTQC with an acceptability Phred score threshold of 30. Sequence alignment and Single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) calling were computed at the NRL using the Mb3601 reference strain (Branger et al., 2020) on Bionumerics software, version 7.6 (AppliedMath, Belgium). Identified SNPs were selected according to strict criteria of the wgSNP module: (1) they had to be present on at least five reads in both forward and reverse direction, (2) 12 base pairs had to separate them, (3) they were not present in repetitive regions of the genome, and (4) ambiguous SNPs (at least one unreliable (N) base, ambiguous (non ATCG) base or gap) were not included. SNPs were then used to reconstruct a maximum parsimony tree on Bionumerics to identify genetic outliers.

2.4 Bayesian phylogenetic modeling

We used BEAST2 (Bayesian evolutionary analysis by sampling trees) 2.6.4 to model bTB evolutionary (Bouckaert et al., 2019). The sequences for each region were analyzed separately.

2.5 The structured coalescent model

The differences in surveillance protocols between cattle and wildlife induce sampling biases. Indeed, wildlife cannot be exhaustively monitored, while all slaughtered cattle are tested for bTB. To take into account this sampling bias, we used the approximation of the structured coalescent as implemented in the Mascot (Marginal Approximation of the Structured COalescenT) 2.1.2 package (Müller et al., 2018). Indeed structured coalescent population models, contrary to migration models, are less susceptible to sampling bias (Müller et al., 2017). We assumed constant between-species transition rates in times and used the Bayesian stochastic search variable selection (BSSVS) procedure to select only transition rates that explain the transition of M. bovis between the different species (Lemey et al., 2009). This procedure was designed to limit the number of transition rates to infer only those adequately explaining the diffusion between the subpopulations (here the host species) (Lemey et al., 2009). The estimated transition rates were backward in time, however, to avoid confusion we present the transition rates as the forward transition rates thereafter.

2.6 Substitution and molecular clock model selection

To select the best-fitting model, the marginal likelihood (ML) was computed using the nested sampling algorithm as implemented in the NS 1.1.0 package (Russel et al., 2019). Models were then compared two by two by computing the Bayes factor (BF) as BF = log(ML2)-log(ML1), where ML1 and ML2 are the ML of models 1 and 2, respectively. The level of support was considered overwhelming when |BF | > 150, strong if 20 < |BF | ≤ 150, positive 3 < |BF | ≤ 20 and hardly worth mentioning if 1≤|BF | ≤ 3 (Kass & Raftery, 1995). The model with the largest ML was favored. We tested the substitution models (JC69, HKY, and GTR) and three molecular clock models (strict, uncorrelated exponential, and uncorrelated lognormal relaxed molecular clock).

2.7 Parameters inference

To infer the parameters, we set the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) length to 50 million, the burn-in to 10%, and sampled every 5000 iterations. Four replicates were performed. For each replicate, we inspected each parameter trace, looking for a stationary distribution, as well as the effective sample size (ESS). We considered ESS > 200 would guarantee that samples were independent and only selected models for each of the inferred parameters. We combined the four replicates with LogCombiner v2.6.6 with a lower sampling frequency to analyze thereafter 10,000 parameters. All trees were plotted using the ggtree package in R (Yu et al., 2017).

2.8 Host species transition

To study host species transitions, we resampled 1001 trees. We recorded for each node of each tree the predicted host species, its probability, and its height. We considered that the host species was known if its probability was >0.9 and unknown otherwise. We then computed the number of host species transitions between two consecutive nodes as well as the number of host species persistence (i.e., when the descendant host species is the same as the parental host species). If the host species for the parent and/or the descendant node was unknown, then the transition was considered unknown as well. We computed the host species transition and persistence at the lineage level. It is noteworthy that two consecutive nodes do not necessarily represent two distinct hosts; indeed these two nodes could represent strains hosted by the same individual or conversely strains that could have been transmitted to one or several other individuals. We computed the average number of transitions per tree for each parental node time as the sum of each transition or persistence divided by the total number of trees.

3 RESULTS

From the 144 SB0120-CdO strains selected in CdO and from the 219 SB0120-NAq strains selected in NAq, 123 and 290 SNPs were identified relative to the Mb3601 reference strain, respectively. When multiple isolates were available for a given outbreak, two or three unique SNPs sequences were detected in 39.7% of CdO outbreaks and 51.7% of NAq outbreaks.

3.1 Bayesian phylogenetic estimates

According to the parameters, trace inspection showing stationary distribution, and ESS < 200, all models fitted the data well. The best-fitted model, was an HKY substitution model, with an uncorrelated lognormal molecular clock for both study areas (Table A2). The corresponding inferred maximum clade credibility trees are shown in Figure 2.

Details are in the caption following the image
Phylogenetic trees for Côte-d'Or (left) and Nouvelle-Aquitaine (right). The tips are shown by triangles whose colors represent the species. The pies represent the median probability that the internal nodes were hosted by the three different species (badger in blue, cattle in green and wild boar in red). Pies were drawn for nodes with posterior probabilities >0.9.

According to the best-fitting model for CdO, the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of the studied isolates circulated in 1997 (with a 95% credibility interval between 1989 and 2002), as suggested by the median tree height (17.5 years, 95% highest posterior density (HPD): [12.6, 25.1]). It is however unclear whether the MRCA was hosted by wildlife or cattle (median host probability: 0.49 (95% HPD = [0, 0.97]) for wild boar, 0.35 (95% HPD = [0, 0.97]) for cattle, and 0.05 (95% HPD = [0, 0.33]) for badger). In NAq, the best-fitting model predicted that the MRCA of the studied isolates circulated in 1991 (with a 95% credibility interval between 1975 and 1999), according to the median tree height (25.4 years, 95% HPD: [18.1, 42.0]). While the HPD intervals are overlapping, the predicted MRCA would have been hosted in wildlife (host probability: 0.55 (95% HPD = [0.02; 0.94]) for wild boar, vs. 0.40 (95% HPD = [0.01; 0.92]) for badger and 0.02 (95% HPD = [0; 0.11]) for cattle). The mean molecular clock was significantly (p < 0.001, Wilcoxon test) smaller in CdO with a median estimate of 0.42 substitution/genome/year (95%HPD: [0.31, 0.54]) versus 0.57 substitution/genome/year (95% HPD: [0.44, 0.71]) for NAq.

For both study areas, we inferred that the effective population size was the largest for badgers (CdO: median of 9.4, 95% HPD: [4.9, 14.6]; NAq: median of 21.2, 95% HPD: [13.4, 29.6]) before cattle (CdO: median of 3.8, 95% HPD: [1.6, 6.6]; NAq: median of 5.0, 95%HPD: [1.8, 9.6]) and wild boars (CdO: median of 2.7, 95% HPD: [0.3, 7.0]; Naq: median of 2.0, 95% HPD: [0.3, 5.3]). This means that two lineages hosted by badgers are expected to coalesce more slowly than two lineages hosted by cattle or wild boar because the coalescent rate is the inverse of the effective population size.

3.2 Host species transition

Table 1 shows the proportion of transition rates selected (i.e., different from zero) by the BSSVS procedure as well as the inferred transition rates median and HPDs when these rates were selected. We defined the selection threshold as the proportion of transition rates selected by the BSSVS procedure. For example, a selection threshold of 0.5 for a given transition rate means that this transition rate was selected by the BSSVS procedure in half of the outputs. Considering an arbitrary selection threshold of 0.80, three transition rates were selected in CdO, namely from cattle to badgers, from badgers to wild boars, and from wild boars to cattle, and four in NAq which were the same as in CdO with the additional transition rate from badgers to cattle.

Table 1. Median transition rates for both study areas, Côte-d'Or (CdO) and Dordogne/Haute-Vienne (NAq)
Transition rate CdO NAq
Selected Median HPD Selected Median HPD
From cattle to badgers 0.99 0.27 0.08–0.54 0.80 0.17 0.03–0.36
From wild boars to badgers 0.58 0.09 0.01–0.47 0.41 0.11 0.01–0.30
From badgers to cattle 0.63 0.09 0.01–0.40 0.88 0.56 0.11–1.32
From wild boars to cattle 0.94 0.24 0.03–0.84 0.99 1.03 0.31–2.57
From badgers to wild boars 0.97 0.24 0.03–0.83 0.90 0.42 0.08–1.16
From cattle to wild boars 0.60 0.13 0.01–0.62 0.42 0.25 0.01–1.07
  • Note: “Selected” represents the proportion transition rate selected by the BSSVS procedure (i.e., non-zero). The median and HPD were computed for the selected transition rates.
  • Abbreviation: HPD, 95% highest probability distribution.

In both study areas, the inferred transition rates showed large variations. It is therefore difficult to conclude the frequency of each transition event. Globally, these results suggest that M. bovis migrated from cattle to badgers, from badgers to wild boars, and from wild boars to cattle. In addition, in NAq a transition back from badgers to cattle was also predicted.

The proportion of unknown events, when the host species is considered unknown for a probability <0.9, is more important in NAq (0.89) than in CdO (0.36). For the known events, the majority is species persistence for both study areas with 0.90 in CdO (with 89.2% of persistence events being cattle persistence, 8.4% being badger persistence and 2.4% being wild boar persistence) and 0.88 in NAq (with 50.7% of persistence events being cattle persistence, 19.3% being badger persistence and 30.0% being wild boar persistence). Consistently with the inferred transition rate, the most frequent between-species transition was cattle-to-badger which represented 95.2% of all between-species transition events in CdO, and wild boar-to-cattle which represented 83.4% of all between-species transition events in NAq. These results suggest that between-species transitions remain rare events. Figure 3 shows the evolution with time of the average number of lineages and the proportion of transitions and persistence events per tree for both study areas. Moreover, it is worth mentioning that persistence events changed over time. Indeed, for both study areas, cattle persistence was most frequent and while badger persistence is identified onward starting as early as 1979 in NAq, it is gaining importance starting in 2008 only in CdO. On the opposite, cattle persistence is identified first in 1990 in CdO while only in 2009 in NAq.

Details are in the caption following the image
The proportion of transitions per tree and per year for CdO (left) and NAq (right). Computed from 1001 sampled posterior trees. Ca stands for Cattle, Ba for Badger, and Wb for Wild boar. Unknown transitions are considered when the posterior probability of the parent or descendant node is <0.9. The black line represents the average number of lineages per tree (right axis).

4 DISCUSSION

In this study, we studied in two distinct study areas the transition of two different M. bovis strains belonging to the Eu3 clonal group among three host species, namely cattle, badgers, and wild boars. For this purpose, we used a structured coalescent model to infer transition rates between these three subpopulations. We showed that while the transition events remain rare events, our model predictions suggest that wild boars may be intermediaries for the transmission of M. bovis from badgers to cattle in both CdO and NAq.

We selected the same Bayesian evolutionary models for both study areas. More specifically, we selected an HKY substitution model and a lognormal molecular clock. The HKY substitution model has been previously used to model M. bovis phylogeny in cattle and brushtail possums in New Zealand (Crispell et al., 2017) and elks, white-tailed deer, and cattle in Michigan, USA (Salvador et al., 2019). We estimated two significantly different substitution rates for both regions. Both estimates were higher than previously estimated in Northern Ireland from cattle and badgers (Biek et al., 2012; Trewby et al., 2016) and in Michigan from cattle and elk (Salvador et al., 2019). However, the substitution rates estimated from cattle and possums in New Zealand are in the same order of magnitude as the one we estimated from NAq (Crispell et al., 2017) and the one estimated from the South-West of France from cattle and badgers (Duault et al., 2022) is in the same order of magnitude as the one we estimated for CdO. While, as noted by Duault et al., the differences between the studies could result from the different M. bovis lineage or the sampled species (Duault et al., 2022), this does not explain the significantly higher substitution rates inferred in NAq than in CdO. Indeed, for both study areas, the same host species were sampled during the same period. However, even if the spoligotype was the same in both study areas, the VNTR profiles differed. Hauer et al. showed that while SB0120 spoligotype was found all over France, specific VNTR profiles that spread locally were identified (such as 5 5 4 3 11 4 5 6 in CdO and 5 3 5 3 9 4 5 6 in NAq) (Hauer et al., 2015). While belonging to the Eu3 clonal group and sharing the same spoligotype, these strains were identified on different phylogenetic branches (Hauer et al., 2019) suggesting that VNTR profile and substitution rates could represent specific lineage characteristics.

To infer the internal nodes for host species, we used a structured coalescent method, which limits the impact of sampling bias (Müller et al., 2017). Indeed, contrary to the migration method (Lemey et al., 2009), structured coalescent methods do not assume that the migration process and tree-generating process are independent. According to the selected transition rates between badgers and cattle, the relationship between both species was clearly different between the two study areas: transition rate from cattle to badgers was more frequently predicted than from badgers to cattle in CdO, contrary to NAq where both transition rates were predicted in more than 80% of the outputs. This could relate to the implementation of bTB biosecurity measures toward wildlife that were more stringent in CdO than in NAq. Recent studies including samples collected from two species, namely badger and cattle, are in favor of the transition from badger to cattle (Crispell et al., 2019; Duault et al., 2022; van Tonder et al., 2021), however in one of these studies, while the overall badger-to-cattle transition rate was higher than the cattle-to-badger transition rate, a more refined analysis on transmission cluster levels revealed that for 4/12 clusters, cattle-to-badger transition rates were higher than badger-to-cattle transition ones (van Tonder et al., 2021). Moreover, an epidemiological study reconstructing the contact network between badger setts and cattle farms concluded the intermediary role of badgers in M. bovis transmission in the South-West of France (Bouchez-Zacria et al., 2018). In addition, according to the French graphic parcel register (Relevé parcellaire Graphique, https://www.geoportail.gouv.fr), the landscape in NAq is more fragmented with numerous interfaces between pastures and wooded areas, than in CdO. Fragmented landscapes were shown to be associated with lower adult badger population densities, which was corroborated by their lower densities in NAq than in CdO (Jacquier et al., 2021). However, the increased interfaces between pastures and wooded areas could increase the contact rates between badgers and cattle in NAq (Bouchez-Zacria et al., 2017) and explain the transition back and forth between these two species in this area compared to CdO. Also, bTB apparent prevalence in badgers might have increased between 2014 and 2016–2017 in NAq, while it has decreased in CdO during the same time interval (Réveillaud et al., 2018). The lack of evidence for the badger-to-cattle transition could also result from a lower statistical power due to the different sampling schemes in CdO and NAq.

It is noteworthy that we studied for the first time a multi-host system including wild boars in addition to badgers and cattle. We showed that among the selected transition rate in both NAq and CdO, the transition rate from wild boar to cattle was identified, suggesting a relatively frequent transition from wild boar to cattle and the intermediary role played by wild boars between badgers and cattle. This highlight the important role played by wild boars in the spread of M. bovis to other species. This could be related to the large distances traveled by wild boars (Podgórski et al., 2013) compared to badgers (Byrne et al., 2014). In addition, cattle movement, even if less frequent, could also enhance M. bovis spread between distant farms (Palisson et al., 2016). Furthermore, in both study areas host species persistence was identified as the main event while between-species transition represented less than 12% of known events, highlighting that between-species transition remains a rare event.

To summarize, we showed that while wild boars played the role of intermediary host between badgers and cattle, the role of badgers differed between both regions: in CdO badgers were intermediaries from cattle to wild boars, whereas in NAq, badgers transmitted to both cattle and wild boars. Several factors could explain these differences. Some of them are inherent to our study design, such as the lineage that can lead to different substitution rates, the temporal depth, or the number of strains collected, while other relates to the landscape or the population density of wildlife species.

Our work has several limitations. First, we excluded red foxes, red deer, and roe deer samples from our study because of the limited number of available samples, which prevented us from evaluating their role in this multi-host system. BTB-infected foxes (Vulpes vulpes) were detected in Dordogne in 2015 (Michelet et al., 2018). A further study showed that in Dordogne, Landes, and Charente, bTB prevalence in foxes ranged between 5% and 10%, similar to that observed in badgers and wild boars (Richomme et al., 2020). However, due to the lack of information concerning red foxes, we cannot conclude about their role. Second, the sampling procedure varies between cattle and wildlife, with nearly exhaustive testing of cattle while samples collected from wildlife depend on events such as hunting or road kills leading to an underestimation of M. bovis infection prevalence in wildlife. In addition, wildlife carcasses are subject to contamination and deterioration lowering the culture sensitivity and thus poorer statistical representativeness in our sample compared to cattle (Rivière et al., 2015). While inference with structured coalescent models is less altered by sampling bias, unsampled demes (such as the red foxes or cervids in our study) could reshape our results. Thirdly, our approach did not allow the inclusion of spatialized information that could describe the localization of sampled isolates or the different sizes of the home range for badgers and wild boars, or the change of pastures for cattle. Finally, a large number of transition events was labeled as unknown. This is particularly true for NAq where nearly 90% of transition could not be labeled. The results concerning host species persistence and between-species transition should therefore be considered with caution.

5 CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, using a Bayesian evolutionary model, we inferred transition rates between cattle, badgers, and wild boars. Although this approach does not allow us to quantify within-species transmission, our result shed light on the wild boar role, which appears to act as an intermediary between badgers and cattle in the circulation of two different Eu3 M. bovis in two distinct study areas.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Laetitia Canini: Data curation (equal); formal analysis (equal); methodology (equal); validation (equal); visualization (equal); writing – original draft (equal). Gabriela Modenesi: Data curation (supporting); formal analysis (supporting); visualization (supporting); writing – original draft (supporting). Aurélie Courcoul: Conceptualization (equal); funding acquisition (equal); writing – original draft (equal). Maria-Laura Boschiroli: Conceptualization (equal); project administration (equal); resources (equal); supervision (equal); writing – original draft (equal). Benoit Durand: Conceptualization (equal); funding acquisition (equal); supervision (equal); writing – original draft (equal). Lorraine Michelet: Conceptualization (equal); formal analysis (equal); funding acquisition (equal); investigation (equal); methodology (equal); project administration (equal); writing – original draft (equal).

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The French Ministry of Agriculture financed the sampling and the analyses in the framework of the RFSA call on TB projects (Anses‑DGAl credit agreement no 170131).

    CONFLICT OF INTEREST

    None declared.

    ETHICS STATEMENT

    None required.

    APPENDIX

    Table A1. Accession numbers
    DA Sample Collection date Host scientific name Biosample Accession
    10-00086-00 10Z000099 2009-11-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955321 ERR6198117
    10-00566-00 10Z002121 2010-02-12 Bos taurus SAMEA8955322 ERR6198204
    10-01026-00 10Z005043 2010-03-26 Bos taurus SAMEA8955323 ERR6198207
    D-10-02190 10Z008544 2010-09-18 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955324 ERR6198208
    D-10-02191 10Z008545 2010-09-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955325 ERR6198209
    D-10-02192 10Z008546 2010-08-15 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955326 ERR6198210
    D-10-02315 10Z009059 2010-09-12 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955327 ERR6198216
    D-10-02451 10Z009733 2010-10-18 Meles meles SAMEA8955328 ERR6198228
    D-11-00916 11Z001983 2011-01-04 Bos taurus SAMEA8955329 ERR6198247
    D-11-01150 11Z002149 2011-02-08 Bos taurus SAMEA8955330 ERR6198291
    D-11-01158 11Z002157 2011-02-27 Meles meles SAMEA8955331 ERR6198317
    D-11-01374 11Z002528 2011-02-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955332 ERR6198349
    D-11-01375 11Z002529 2011-03-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955333 ERR6198365
    D-11-01905 11Z003570 2011-04-12 Bos taurus SAMEA8955334 ERR6198374
    D-11-01992 11Z003734 2011-05-03 Bos taurus SAMEA8955335 ERR6198375
    D-11-02082 11Z003894 2011-05-05 Bos taurus SAMEA8955336 ERR6198376
    D-11-03278 11Z006170 2011-10-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955337 ERR6198377
    D-12-00020 12Z000029 2011-10-10 Meles meles SAMEA8955338 ERR6198378
    D-12-01240 12Z002503 2012-01-11 Meles meles SAMEA8955339 ERR6198379
    D-12-01581 12Z003372 2012-01-17 Bos taurus SAMEA8955340 ERR6198389
    D-12-01582 12Z003373 2013-01-22 Meles meles SAMEA8955341 ERR6198390
    D-12-01589 12Z003430 2012-03-12 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955342 ERR6198391
    D-12-01597 12Z003438 2012-01-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955343 ERR6198393
    D-12-01601 12Z003442 2012-01-24 Bos taurus SAMEA8955344 ERR6198394
    D-12-01697 12Z003519 2012-02-14 Bos taurus SAMEA8955345 ERR6198395
    D-12-01854 12Z004182 2012-02-13 Meles meles SAMEA8955346 ERR6198396
    D-12-01929 12Z004424 2012-02-14 Bos taurus SAMEA8955347 ERR6198398
    D-12-02001 12Z004494 2012-03-16 Bos taurus SAMEA8955348 ERR6198399
    D-12-02007 12Z004505 2012-02-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955349 ERR6198400
    D-12-02120 12Z004741 2012-03-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955350 ERR6198401
    D-12-02121 12Z004742 2012-02-28 Bos taurus SAMEA8955351 ERR6198442
    D-12-02129 12Z004749 2012-03-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955352 ERR6198443
    D-12-02131 12Z004751 2012-03-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955353 ERR6198444
    D-12-02240 12Z004928 2012-03-16 Bos taurus SAMEA8955354 ERR6198445
    D-12-02242 12Z004930 2012-03-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955355 ERR6198447
    D-12-02292 12Z004995 2012-03-07 Meles meles SAMEA8955356 ERR6198448
    D-12-02293 12Z004996 2012-03-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955357 ERR6198449
    D-12-02296 12Z004999 2012-04-02 Meles meles SAMEA8955358 ERR6199027
    D-12-02372 12Z005163 2012-04-06 Meles meles SAMEA8955359 ERR6201794
    D-12-02472 12Z005339 2012-04-05 Meles meles SAMEA8955360 ERR6201795
    D-12-02749 12Z005660 2012-05-05 Meles meles SAMEA8955361 ERR6201796
    D-12-02971 12Z006182 2012-05-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955362 ERR6201797
    D-12-03180 12Z006994 2012-05-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955363 ERR6201798
    D-12-03307 12Z007111 2013-05-24 Meles meles SAMEA8955364 ERR6201800
    D-12-03422 12Z007219 2012-07-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955365 ERR6201801
    D-12-03423 12Z007220 2012-07-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955366 ERR6201802
    D-13-00134 13Z000269 2012-11-16 Meles meles SAMEA8955367 ERR6201804
    D-13-00505 13Z001275 2013-01-03 Meles meles SAMEA8955368 ERR6201806
    D-13-00830 13Z001729 2013-01-25 Bos taurus SAMEA8955369 ERR6201807
    D-13-00831 13Z001730 2013-01-25 Bos taurus SAMEA8955370 ERR6201808
    D-13-00956 13Z001898 2013-02-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955371 ERR6201809
    D-13-00962 13Z001903 2013-02-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955372 ERR6201810
    D-13-01061 13Z001990 2013-01-02 Bos taurus SAMEA8955373 ERR6201811
    D-13-01238 13Z002208 2013-02-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955374 ERR6201812
    D-13-01245 13Z002215 2013-02-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955375 ERR6201813
    D-13-01303 13Z002277 2013-03-08 Bos taurus SAMEA8955376 ERR6201814
    D-13-01556 13Z002699 2013-03-29 Bos taurus SAMEA8955377 ERR6201815
    D-13-01562 13Z002705 2013-04-12 Bos taurus SAMEA8955378 ERR6201817
    D-13-01565 13Z002708 2013-04-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955379 ERR6201818
    D-13-01566 13Z002709 2013-04-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955380 ERR6201819
    D-13-02048 13Z003478 2013-06-05 Bos taurus SAMEA8955381 ERR6201820
    D-13-02100 13Z003643 2013-04-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955382 ERR6201821
    D-13-02101 13Z003644 2013-06-07 Bos taurus SAMEA8955383 ERR6201822
    D-13-02225 13Z003769 2013-03-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955384 ERR6201823
    D-13-02226 13Z003770 2013-06-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955385 ERR6201825
    D-13-02368 13Z004012 2013-06-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955386 ERR6201826
    D-13-02401 13Z004051 2013-06-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955387 ERR6201828
    D-13-02436 13Z004129 2013-04-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955388 ERR6201829
    D-13-02620 13Z004667 2013-06-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955389 ERR6201830
    D-13-02704 13Z004785 2013-08-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955390 ERR6201831
    D-13-03134 13Z005631 2013-06-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955391 ERR6201832
    D-13-03137 13Z005634 2013-08-22 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955392 ERR6201833
    D-13-03140 13Z005637 2013-09-15 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955393 ERR6201835
    D-13-03227 13Z005787 2013-09-03 Bos taurus SAMEA8955394 ERR6201836
    D-13-03897 13Z010139 2013-10-29 Bos taurus SAMEA8955395 ERR6201837
    D-13-03898 13Z010140 2013-11-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955396 ERR6201838
    D-13-03899 13Z010141 2013-10-13 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955397 ERR6201839
    D-13-03900 13Z010142 2013-11-10 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955398 ERR6201840
    D-14-00007 14Z000006 2013-11-03 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955399 ERR6201841
    D-14-00013 14Z000010 2013-11-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955400 ERR6201842
    D-14-00016 14Z000013 2013-11-19 Bos taurus SAMEA8955401 ERR6201843
    D-14-00019 14Z000015 2013-11-19 Bos taurus SAMEA8955402 ERR6201844
    D-14-00020 14Z000016 2013-11-19 Bos taurus SAMEA8955403 ERR6201845
    D-14-01072 14Z003302 2013-12-22 Meles meles SAMEA8955404 ERR6201847
    D-14-01074 14Z003304 2014-01-13 Meles meles SAMEA8955405 ERR6201848
    D-14-01623 14Z004188 2014-03-28 Bos taurus SAMEA8955406 ERR6201849
    D-14-01757 14Z004539 2014-03-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955407 ERR6201850
    D-14-01758 14Z004540 2014-03-12 Bos taurus SAMEA8955408 ERR6201851
    D-14-02086 14Z005338 2014-04-28 Bos taurus SAMEA8955409 ERR6201852
    D-14-02099 14Z005351 2014-04-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955410 ERR6201853
    D-14-02112 14Z005364 2014-04-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955411 ERR6201854
    D-14-02116 14Z005365 2014-04-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955412 ERR6201855
    D-14-02259 14Z005576 2014-05-06 Meles meles SAMEA8955413 ERR6201857
    D-14-02574 14Z006089 2014-05-25 Meles meles SAMEA8955414 ERR6201858
    D-14-02811 14Z006436 2014-06-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955415 ERR6201860
    D-14-02871 14Z006581 2014-07-24 Bos taurus SAMEA8955416 ERR6201861
    D-14-03006 14Z006798 2014-06-05 Meles meles SAMEA8955417 ERR6201862
    D-14-03118 14Z007047 2014-06-05 Meles meles SAMEA8955419 ERR6201863
    D-14-03380 14Z007947 2014-09-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955420 ERR6201864
    D-14-03463 14Z008062 2014-09-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955421 ERR6201865
    D-14-03644 14Z008376 2014-09-17 Bos taurus SAMEA8955422 ERR6201866
    D-14-03697 14Z008498 2014-08-24 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955423 ERR6201868
    D-14-04057 14Z009345 2014-09-21 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955424 ERR6201869
    D-15-00525 15Z001806 2015-01-14 Bos taurus SAMEA8955425 ERR6201870
    D-15-00613 15Z002145 2015-01-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955426 ERR6201871
    D-15-00828 15Z002493 2015-02-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955427 ERR6201872
    D-15-00970 15Z002980 2015-02-17 Bos taurus SAMEA8955428 ERR6201873
    D-15-01174 15Z004066 2015-03-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955429 ERR6201874
    D-15-01176 15Z004068 2015-03-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955430 ERR6201875
    D-15-01301 15Z004334 2015-01-25 Meles meles SAMEA8955431 ERR6201877
    D-15-01302 15Z004335 2015-02-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955432 ERR6201878
    D-15-01311 15Z004344 2015-03-30 Meles meles SAMEA8955433 ERR6201879
    D-15-01312 15Z004345 2015-04-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955434 ERR6201881
    D-15-01346 15Z004377 2015-03-12 Meles meles SAMEA8955435 ERR6201882
    D-15-01460 15Z004939 2015-03-13 Meles meles SAMEA8955436 ERR6201883
    D-15-01557 15Z005359 2015-03-22 Meles meles SAMEA8955437 ERR6201884
    D-15-01665 15Z005833 2015-04-17 Bos taurus SAMEA8955438 ERR6201885
    D-15-01667 15Z005835 2013-05-21 Meles meles SAMEA8955439 ERR6201886
    D-15-01759 15Z006243 2015-05-18 Bos taurus SAMEA8955440 ERR6201887
    D-15-01919 15Z006492 2015-04-08 Meles meles SAMEA8955441 ERR6201888
    D-15-01922 15Z006495 2015-05-18 Bos taurus SAMEA8955442 ERR6201889
    D-15-01960 15Z006541 2015-05-12 Meles meles SAMEA8955443 ERR6201890
    D-15-02070 15Z006760 2015-06-17 Meles meles SAMEA8955444 ERR6201891
    D-15-03139 15Z010210 2015-10-14 Bos taurus SAMEA8955445 ERR6201893
    D-15-03409 15Z010962 2015-09-13 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955446 ERR6201894
    D-16-00172 16Z000595 2015-12-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955447 ERR6201895
    D-16-00301 16Z000964 2015-12-13 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955448 ERR6201896
    D-16-00302 16Z000965 2015-12-26 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955449 ERR6201897
    D-16-00361 16Z001097 2015-12-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955450 ERR6201898
    D-16-01021 16Z002887 2016-02-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955451 ERR6201899
    D-16-01467 16Z004107 2016-03-11 Bos taurus SAMEA8955452 ERR6201901
    D-16-01566 16Z004271 2016-03-25 Bos taurus SAMEA8955453 ERR6201902
    D-16-01567 16Z004272 2016-03-20 Meles meles SAMEA8955454 ERR6201903
    D-16-01569 16Z004274 2016-03-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955455 ERR6201906
    D-16-01664 16Z004560 2016-03-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955456 ERR6201907
    D-16-01669 16Z004566 2016-03-08 Bos taurus SAMEA8955457 ERR6201908
    D-16-01672 16Z004569 2016-02-17 Meles meles SAMEA8955458 ERR6201909
    D-16-01723 16Z004699 2016-03-08 Meles meles SAMEA8955459 ERR6201910
    D-16-01847 16Z005204 2016-04-12 Bos taurus SAMEA8955460 ERR6201915
    D-16-01848 16Z005206 2016-04-05 Bos taurus SAMEA8955461 ERR6201937
    D-16-01849 16Z005207 2016-04-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955462 ERR6201945
    D-16-01851 16Z005209 2016-03-25 Meles meles SAMEA8955463 ERR6201960
    D-16-01852 16Z005210 2016-04-11 Bos taurus SAMEA8955464 ERR6201972
    D-16-02216 16Z006257 2017-03-27 Meles meles SAMEA8955465 ERR6201978
    D-16-02405 16Z006707 2016-05-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955466 ERR6201986
    D-16-02601 16Z007121 2016-05-10 Meles meles SAMEA8955467 ERR6201998
    D-16-02833 16Z007476 2016-06-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955468 ERR6202004
    D-16-02834 16Z007477 2016-06-24 Bos taurus SAMEA8955469 ERR6202040
    D-16-02835 16Z007478 2016-06-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955470 ERR6202401
    D-16-02836 16Z007479 2016-07-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955471 ERR6203392
    D-16-02924 16Z007681 2016-06-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955472 ERR6204677
    D-16-03225 16Z008197 2016-07-21 Bos taurus SAMEA8955473 ERR6206178
    D-16-03320 16Z008443 2016-07-17 Meles meles SAMEA8955474 ERR6208726
    D-17-00049 17Z000058 2016-12-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955475 ERR6208976
    D-17-00050 17Z000059 2016-12-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955476 ERR6209044
    D-17-00051 17Z000060 2016-12-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955477 ERR6209102
    D-17-00055 17Z000064 2016-11-01 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955478 ERR6209192
    D-17-00269 17Z000349 2016-12-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955479 ERR6209278
    D-17-00270 17Z000350 2016-12-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955480 ERR6209301
    D-17-00270 17Z000351 2016-12-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955481 ERR6209309
    D-17-00540 17Z000898 2016-12-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955482 ERR6209323
    D-17-00563 17Z000914 2017-01-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955483 ERR6209335
    D-17-00641 17Z001046 2017-01-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955484 ERR6209343
    D-17-00710 17Z001177 2017-01-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955485 ERR6209344
    D-17-00849 17Z001576 2017-02-03 Bos taurus SAMEA8955486 ERR6209345
    D-17-00850 17Z001577 2017-02-03 Bos taurus SAMEA8955487 ERR6209346
    D-17-00851 17Z001578 2017-02-02 Bos taurus SAMEA8955488 ERR6209347
    D-17-00854 17Z001581 2017-02-02 Bos taurus SAMEA8955489 ERR6209348
    D-17-01066 17Z002146 2017-02-07 Bos taurus SAMEA8955490 ERR6209349
    D-17-01071 17Z002151 2017-02-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955491 ERR6209350
    D-17-01146 17Z002194 2017-02-15 Bos taurus SAMEA8955492 ERR6209351
    D-17-01148 17Z002196 2017-02-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955493 ERR6209352
    D-17-01149 17Z002197 2017-02-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955494 ERR6209353
    D-17-01150 17Z002198 2017-02-07 Bos taurus SAMEA8955495 ERR6209422
    D-17-01286 17Z002553 2017-01-18 Bos taurus SAMEA8955496 ERR6209423
    D-17-01306 17Z002558 2017-02-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955497 ERR6209424
    D-17-01412 17Z002740 2017-02-07 Bos taurus SAMEA8955498 ERR6209443
    D-17-01416 17Z002744 2017-03-08 Bos taurus SAMEA8955499 ERR6209444
    D-17-01517 17Z002865 2017-03-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955500 ERR6209445
    D-17-01610 17Z003109 2017-03-01 Bos taurus SAMEA8955501 ERR6209491
    D-17-01611 17Z003110 2017-02-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955502 ERR6209492
    D-17-01695 17Z003235 2017-04-05 Bos taurus SAMEA8955503 ERR6209493
    D-17-01696 17Z003236 2017-03-28 Bos taurus SAMEA8955504 ERR6209524
    D-17-01698 17Z003238 2017-03-21 Bos taurus SAMEA8955505 ERR6209526
    D-17-01705 17Z003245 2017-03-27 Bos taurus SAMEA8955506 ERR6209527
    D-17-01929 17Z003568 2017-03-30 Bos taurus SAMEA8955507 ERR6209542
    D-17-01931 17Z003570 2017-04-13 Bos taurus SAMEA8955508 ERR6209573
    D-17-02078 17Z004077 2017-04-21 Bos taurus SAMEA8955509 ERR6209576
    D-17-02080 17Z004080 2017-04-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955510 ERR6210127
    D-17-02089 17Z004088 2017-04-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955511 ERR6210128
    D-17-02090 17Z004128 2017-04-19 Bos taurus SAMEA8955512 ERR6210129
    D-17-02088 17Z004275 2017-04-20 Bos taurus SAMEA8955513 ERR6210130
    D-17-02260 17Z004423 2017-03-29 Bos taurus SAMEA8955514 ERR6210147
    D-17-02262 17Z004425 2017-04-19 Bos taurus SAMEA8955515 ERR6210148
    D-17-02264 17Z004428 2017-05-02 Bos taurus SAMEA8955516 ERR6210149
    D-17-02335 17Z004525 2017-04-24 Bos taurus SAMEA8955517 ERR6210150
    D-17-02438 17Z005047 2017-04-26 Bos taurus SAMEA8955518 ERR6210158
    D-17-02580 17Z005388 2017-04-19 Bos taurus SAMEA8955519 ERR6210161
    D-17-02586 17Z005394 2017-05-09 Bos taurus SAMEA8955520 ERR6210169
    D-17-02587 17Z005395 2017-05-18 Bos taurus SAMEA8955521 ERR6210175
    D-17-02698 17Z005495 2017-05-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955522 ERR6210188
    D-17-02699 17Z005496 2017-05-22 Bos taurus SAMEA8955523 ERR6210195
    D-17-02775 17Z005671 2017-05-30 Bos taurus SAMEA8955524 ERR6210201
    D-17-02902 17Z005849 2017-06-23 Bos taurus SAMEA8955525 ERR6210207
    D-17-03220 17Z006451 2017-03-13 Meles meles SAMEA8955526 ERR6210212
    D-17-03217 17Z006454 2017-06-12 Bos taurus SAMEA8955527 ERR6210216
    D-17-03251 17Z006498 2017-07-17 Bos taurus SAMEA8955528 ERR6210223
    D-17-03430 17Z006770 2017-07-17 Bos taurus SAMEA8955529 ERR6210230
    D-17-03431 17Z006771 2017-07-15 Meles meles SAMEA8955530 ERR6210236
    D-17-03656 17Z007283 2017-08-06 Bos taurus SAMEA8955531 ERR6210252
    D-17-03910 17Z007631 2017-08-24 Bos taurus SAMEA8955532 ERR6210258
    D-17-03912 17Z007633 2017-08-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955533 ERR6210259
    D-17-03913 17Z007634 2017-08-10 Bos taurus SAMEA8955534 ERR6210266
    D-17-04408 17Z008463 2017-08-24 Bos taurus SAMEA8955535 ERR6210267
    D-17-04412 17Z008467 2017-07-09 Meles meles SAMEA8955536 ERR6210268
    D-17-04421 17Z008476 2017-08-14 Meles meles SAMEA8955537 ERR6210269
    D-17-04423 17Z008478 2017-04-27 Meles meles SAMEA8955538 ERR6210270
    D-17-04936 17Z010330 2017-10-01 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955539 ERR6210271
    D-17-05074 17Z010552 2017-10-29 Sus scrofa SAMEA8955540 ERR6210272
    Table A2. Model selection
    Model Substitution model Molecular clock model Marginal likelihood SD BF 2 SD 2 2 + SD 1 2 ${\bf{2}}\sqrt{{{\boldsymbol{SD}}}_{{\bf{2}}}^{{\bf{2}}}{\boldsymbol{+}}{{\boldsymbol{SD}}}_{{\bf{1}}}^{{\bf{2}}}}$ Reference model
    CdO
    M1CdO JC69 Strict −24554 0.09 - - -
    M2CdO HKY Strict −24225 1.00 329 2.00 M1CdO
    M3CdO GTR Strict Does not converge
    M4CdO HKY Uncorrelated lognormal −24222 0.84 3 2.61 M2CdO
    M5CdO HKY Uncorrelated exponential −24223 0.91 −1 2.48 M4CdO
    NAq
    M1NAq JC69 Strict −87642 0.18 - - -
    M2NAq HKY Strict −3400 9.41 84242 18.82 M1NAq
    M3NAq GTR Strict Does not converge
    M4NAq HKY Uncorrelated lognormal −3350 8.87 50 25.86 M2NAq
    M5NAq HKY Uncorrelated exponential −87616 1.04 −84266 17.9 M4NAq
    • The marginal likelihood was computed with the Nested Sampling algorithm implemented in the BEAST NS package, with 10 particles. For all models, an unstructured coalescent population model was used. BF stands for Bayes Factor and was computed as ML1-ML2 if ML1 is the marginal likelihood of model 1 and ML2 marginal likelihood of model 2. To distinguish between both MLs, the difference should be greater than 2 SD 2 2 SD 1 2 $2\sqrt{{\mathrm{SD}}_{2}^{2}-{\mathrm{SD}}_{1}^{2}}$ , where SD1 stands for the standard deviation of model 1 and SD2 standard deviation of model 2.
    • Abbreviations: BF, Bayes factor; ML1, marginal likelihood of Model 1; ML2, marginal likelihood of Model 2; SD1, standard deviation of Model 1; SD2, SD2 standard deviation of Model 2.

    DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

    All data are provided in full in the results section of this paper apart from all WGS data which are available in NCBI GenBank under BioProject PRJEB46102 for NAq: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/bioproject/PRJEB46102 and PRJEB46417 for CdO: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/bioproject/PRJEB46417. The individual isolates can be accessed under the following BioSample accession numbers: SAMEA8955321 - SAMEA8955540 for NAq and SAMEA8987071 - SAMEA8987214 for CdO.

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