Volume 30, Issue 1 pp. 55-60
Original Research

Early Biometric Lag in the Prediction of Small for Gestational Age Neonates and Preeclampsia

Nadav Schwartz MD

Corresponding Author

Nadav Schwartz MD

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maternal and Child Health Research Program, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania USA

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, New York University Medical Center, New York, New York USA

Address correspondence to Nadav Schwartz, MD, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, 3400 Spruce St, 2000 Courtyard, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA.Search for more papers by this author
Cara Pessel MD

Cara Pessel MD

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, New York University Medical Center, New York, New York USA

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Jaclyn Coletta MD

Jaclyn Coletta MD

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, New York University Medical Center, New York, New York USA

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Abba M. Krieger PhD

Abba M. Krieger PhD

Department of Statistics, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania USA

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Ilan E. Timor-Tritsch MD

Ilan E. Timor-Tritsch MD

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, New York University Medical Center, New York, New York USA

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First published: 01 January 2011
Citations: 6

Abstract

Objectives

An early fetal growth lag may be a marker of future complications. We sought to determine the utility of early biometric variables in predicting adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, the crown-rump length at 11 to 14 weeks and the head circumference, biparietal diameter, abdominal circumference, femur length, humerus length, transverse cerebellar diameter, and estimated fetal weight at 18 to 24 weeks were converted to an estimated gestational age using published regression formulas. Sonographic fetal growth (difference between each biometric gestational age and the crown-rump length gestational age) minus expected fetal growth (number of days elapsed between the two scans) yielded the biometric growth lag. These lags were tested as predictors of small for gestational age (SGA) neonates (≤10th percentile) and preeclampsia.

Results

A total of 245 patients were included. Thirty-two (13.1%) delivered an SGA neonate, and 43 (17.6%) had the composite outcome. The head circumference, biparietal diameter, abdominal circumference, and estimated fetal weight lags were identified as significant predictors of SGA neonates after adjusted analyses (P < .05). The addition of either the estimated fetal weight or abdominal circumference lag to maternal characteristics alone significantly improved the performance of the predictive model, achieving areas under the curve of 0.72 and 0.74, respectively. No significant association was found between the biometric lag variables and the development of preeclampsia.

Conclusions

Routinely available biometric data can be used to improve the prediction of adverse outcomes such as SGA. These biometric lags should be considered in efforts to develop screening algorithms for adverse outcomes.

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