ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Climate risk and green total factor productivity in agriculture: The moderating role of climate policy uncertainty
Miao Wang,
Yangle Song,
Xinmin Zhang,
Corresponding Author
Miao Wang
School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
Correspondence
Miao Wang, School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorYangle Song
School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
Search for more papers by this authorXinmin Zhang
School of Economics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
Search for more papers by this authorMiao Wang,
Yangle Song,
Xinmin Zhang,
Corresponding Author
Miao Wang
School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
Correspondence
Miao Wang, School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, China.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorYangle Song
School of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China
Search for more papers by this authorXinmin Zhang
School of Economics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
Search for more papers by this authorAbstract
In light of the escalating global warming and the escalating frequency of extreme weather events, the agricultural sector, being a fundamental and pivotal industry worldwide, is encountering substantial challenges due to climate change. Using Chinese provincial panel data for 2000–2021, this paper utilizes a two-way fixed-effect model to investigate the impact of Climate Risk (CR) on green total factor productivity in agriculture (AGTFP), with China's climate policy uncertainty (CPU) being introduced as a moderating variable within the research framework to scrutinize its influence in this context. The findings reveal a noteworthy adverse effect of CR on AGTFP, further exacerbated by CPU. Heterogeneity analysis results show that there is a clear regional variation in the effect of CR on AGTFP across different Chinese regions, with CR significantly inhibiting AGTFP development in the northern regions and provinces in major grain producing regions. Consequently, there is a pressing necessity to bolster the establishment of climate change monitoring infrastructures, devise tailored climate adaptation strategies at a regional level, and enhance the clarity and predictability of climate policies to fortify the resilience and sustainability of agricultural production systems.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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