Volume 19, Issue 3 pp. 294-300
Original Article

Lung transplant waitlist mortality: Height as a predictor of poor outcomes

Britton C. Keeshan

Corresponding Author

Britton C. Keeshan

Division of Cardiology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Britton C. Keeshan, MD MPH, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, 3401 Civic Center Blvd., Philadelphia, PA 19146, USA

Tel.: +1 215 796 4238

Fax: +1 215 590 4978

E-mail: [email protected]

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Joseph W. Rossano

Joseph W. Rossano

Division of Cardiology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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Nicole Beck

Nicole Beck

Division of Cardiology, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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Rachel Hammond

Rachel Hammond

Center for Biomedical Informatics, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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James Kreindler

James Kreindler

Division of Pulmonary Medicine, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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Thomas L. Spray

Thomas L. Spray

Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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Stephanie Fuller

Stephanie Fuller

Division of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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Samuel Goldfarb

Samuel Goldfarb

Division of Pulmonary Medicine, The Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA

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First published: 19 November 2014
Citations: 36

Abstract

The LAS was designed to minimize pretransplant mortality while maximizing post-transplant outcome. Recipients <12 are not allocated lungs based on LAS. Waitlist mortality has decreased for those >12, but not <12, suggesting this population may be disadvantaged. To identify predictors of waitlist mortality, a retrospective analysis of the UNOS database was performed since implementation of the LAS. There were 16 973 patients listed for lung transplant in the United States; 12 070 (71.1%) were transplanted, and 2498 (14.7%) patients died or were removed from the wait list. Significantly more pediatric patients died or were removed compared with adults (22.0% vs. 14.4%, p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, in addition to higher LAS at time of listing (adj. HR1.058, 1.055–1.060), shorter height (1.008, 1.006–1.010), male gender (1.210, 1.110–1.319), and requiring ECMO (1.613, 1.202–2.163) were associated with pretransplant mortality. Post-transplant survival was not affected by height. The current age cutoff may impose limitations within the current lung allocation system in the United States. Height is an independent predictor of waitlist mortality and may be a valuable factor for the development of a comprehensive lung allocation system.

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