Do Unexpected Earnings of Industry Leaders Affect the Discretionary Reporting Behavior of Followers? Evidence From China
Huiyun Cong
Accounting School, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorDan Li
School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Xiao Li
School of Accountancy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China
Correspondence: Xiao Li ([email protected])
Search for more papers by this authorYuan Xie
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University, Bronx, New York, USA
Search for more papers by this authorChun Yuan
School of Accountancy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorHuiyun Cong
Accounting School, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorDan Li
School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Xiao Li
School of Accountancy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China
Correspondence: Xiao Li ([email protected])
Search for more papers by this authorYuan Xie
Gabelli School of Business, Fordham University, Bronx, New York, USA
Search for more papers by this authorChun Yuan
School of Accountancy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorABSTRACT
This study examines how the unexpected earnings of industry leaders influence the discretionary reporting behavior of industry followers. Chinese firms are required to disclose their annual earnings announcement (EA) dates before the fiscal year ends. Leveraging this unique setting, we demonstrate that followers delay their EAs in response to earnings surprises reported by industry leaders. This effect is more pronounced for followers who face lower costs of delaying (i.e., those with weak corporate governance and who face no penalties for delaying EAs) and those who receive greater benefits from delaying (i.e., those in more competitive industries and in industries where leaders meet or beat market expectations). We also find that, compared with other followers, those that delay EAs are more likely to engage in last-minute earnings management by reducing their effective tax rates. Furthermore, our findings suggest that when industry leaders report good news, followers who delay EAs are more likely to do the same. However, we find no positive market reaction to these delayed EAs. Overall, this study provides new evidence that industry leaders’ earnings surprises significantly impact their followers’ decisions about discretionary financial reporting, including the delay of EAs and last-minute earnings management.
Open Research
Data Availability Statement
The data that support the findings of this study are available from public databases, as disclosed in the paper. The data and code are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request
References
- Abraham, A., and D. L. Ikenberry. 1994. “The Individual Investor and the Weekend Effect.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 29, no. 2: 263–277.
- Allee, K. D., and M. D. DeAngelis. 2015. “The Structure of Voluntary Disclosure Narratives: Evidence From Tone Dispersion.” Journal of Accounting Research 53, no. 2: 241–274.
- Bagnoli, M., W. Kross, and S. G. Watts. 2002. “The Information in Management's Expected Earnings Report Date: A Day Late, a Penny Short.” Journal of Accounting Research 40, no. 5: 1275–1296.
- Bagnoli, M., and S. G. Watts. 2000. “The Effect of Relative Performance Evaluation on Earnings Management: A Game-theoretic Approach.” Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 19, no. 4-5: 377–397.
10.1016/S0278-4254(00)00005-3 Google Scholar
- Baliga, B. R., R. C. Moyer, and R. S. Rao. 1996. “CEO Duality and Firm Performance: What's the Fuss?” Strategic Management Journal 17, no. 1: 41–53.
- Banerjee, A. V. 1992. “A Simple Model of Herd Behavior.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, no. 3: 797–817.
- Barth, M. E., G. Clinch, and P. Ma. 2016. “Forecasts of Earnings Announcement Dates: Evidence From a Mandatory Regime.” Working Paper. Singapore Management University.
- Beatty, A., S. Liao, and J. J. Yu. 2013. “The Spillover Effect of Fraudulent Financial Reporting on Peer Firms' Investments.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 55, no. 2-3: 183–205.
- Begley, J., and P. E. Fischer. 1998. “Is There Information in an Earnings Announcement Delay?” Review of Accounting Studies 3, no. 4: 347–363.
10.1023/A:1009635117801 Google Scholar
- Bikhchandani, S., D. Hirshleifer, and W. Ivo. 1998. “ Learning From the Behavior of Others.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 12: 151–170.
- Bizjak, J. M., M. L. Lemmon, and L. Naveen. 2008. “Does the Use of Peer Groups Contribute to Higher Pay and Less Efficient Compensation?” Journal of Financial Economics 90, no. 2: 152–168.
- Bratten, B., J. L. Payne, and W. B. Thomas. 2016. “Earnings Management: Do Firms Play “Follow the Leader”?” Contemporary Accounting Research 33, no. 2: 616–643.
- Brown, N. C., T. E. Christensen, and W. B. Elliott. 2012. “The Timing of Quarterly ‘Pro Forma’ Earnings Announcements.” Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 39, no. 3-4: 315–359.
- Cao, J., F. Chen, and J. L. Higgs. 2016. “Late for a Very Important Date: Financial Reporting and Audit Implications of Late 10-K Filings.” Review of Accounting Studies 21, no. 2: 1–39.
- Chai, M. L., and S. Tung. 2002. “The Effect of Earnings-Announcement Timing on Earnings Management.” Journal of Business Finance and Accounting 29, no. 9-10: 1337–1354.
10.1111/1468-5957.00472 Google Scholar
- Chambers, A. E., and S. H. Penman. 1984. “Timeliness of Reporting and the Stock Price Reaction to Earnings Announcements.” Journal of Accounting Research 22, no. 1: 21–47.
- Chapman, K., M. Drake, J. H. Schroeder, and T. Seidel. 2023. “Earnings Announcement Delays and Implications for the Auditor-client Relationship.” Review of Accounting Studies 28, no. 1: 45–90.
- Charles, C., M. Schmid, and F. Meyerinck. 2017. “Peer Pressure in Corporate Earnings Management.” Working Paper. University of St. Gallen.
- Chen, X., Q. Cheng, A. K. Lo, and X. Wang. 2015. “CEO Contractual Protection and Managerial Short-Termism.” The Accounting Review 90, no. 5: 1871–1906.
- Cheng, Q., L. Hail, and G. Yu. 2022. “The Past, Present, and Future of China-related Accounting Research.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 74, no. 2-3: 101544.
- Damodaran, A. 1989. “The Weekend Effect in Information Releases: A Study of Earnings and Dividend Announcements.” Review of Financial Studies 2, no. 4: 607–623.
- Dechow, P., W. Ge, and C. Schrand. 2010. “Understanding Earnings Quality: A Review of the Proxies, Their Determinants and Their Consequences.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 50, no. 2-3: 344–401.
- deHaan, E., T. Shevlin, and J. Thornock. 2015. “Market (in) Attention and the Strategic Scheduling and Timing of Earnings Announcements.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 60, no. 1: 36–55.
- Dellavigna, S., and J. M. Pollet. 2009. “Investor Inattention and Friday Earning Announcements.” Journal of Finance 64, no. 2: 709–749.
- Desir, R. 2012. “How Do Managers of Non-announcing Firms Respond to Intra-industry Information Transfers?” Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 39, no. 9-10: 1180–1213.
- Dhaliwal, D. S., C. A. Gleason, and L. F. Mills. 2004. “Last Chance Earnings Management: Using the Tax Expense to Meet Analysts' Forecasts.” Contemporary Accounting Research 431–459.
- Dikolli, S. S., S. L. Kulp, and K. L. Sedatole. 2009. “Transient Institutional Ownership and CEO Contracting.” Accounting Review 84, no. 3: 737–770.
- Doyle, J. T., and M. J. Magilke. 2009. “The Timing of Earnings Announcements: An Examination of the Strategic Disclosure Hypothesis.” Accounting Review 84, no. 1: 157–182.
- Duanmu, J. L., M. Bu, and R. Pittman. 2018. “Does Market Competition Dampen Environmental Performance? Evidence From China.” Strategic Management Journal 39, no. 11: 3006–3030.
- Fama, E. F., and K. R. French. 1993. “Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds.” Journal of Financial Economics 33, no. 1: 3–56.
- Fama, E. F., and K. R. French. 1995. “Size and Book-to-market Factors in Earnings and Returns.” Journal of Finance 50, no. 1: 131–155.
- Farrell, K. A., and D. A. Whidbee. 2003. “Impact of Firm Performance Expectations on CEO Turnover and Replacement Decisions.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 36, no. 1–3: 165–196.
- Firth, M., P. M. Fung, and O. M. Rui. 2006. “Corporate Performance and CEO Compensation in China.” Journal of Corporate Finance 12, no. 4: 693–714.
- Fortin, S., and J. A. Pittman. 2010. “The Role of Auditor Choice in Debt Pricing in Private Firms.” Contemporary Accounting Research 24, no. 3: 859–896.
10.1506/car.24.3.8 Google Scholar
- Gennotte, G., and B. Trueman. 1996. “The Strategic Timing of Corporate Disclosures.” Review of Financial Studies 9, no. 2: 665–690.
- Gleason, C. A., N. T. Jenkins, and W. B. Johnson. 2008. “The Contagion Effects of Accounting Restatements.” Accounting Review 83, no. 1: 83–110.
- Haw, I. M. G., K. Park, D. Qi, and W. Wu. 2003. “Audit Qualification and Timing of Earnings Announcements: Evidence From China.” Auditing: A Journal of Practice & Theory 22, no. 2: 121–146.
- Heckman, J. J. 1979. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error.” Econometrica 47, no. 1: 153–161.
- Hirshleifer, D., S. S. Lim, and S. H. Teoh. 2009. “Driven to Distraction: Extraneous Events and Underreaction to Earnings News.” Journal of Finance 64, no. 5: 2289–2325.
- Johnson, T. L., and E. C. So. 2018. “Time Will Tell: Information in the Timing of Scheduled Earnings News.” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 53, no. 6: 2431–2464.
- Kaustia, M., and V. Rantala. 2015. “Social Learning and Corporate Peer Effects.” Journal of Financial Economics 17, no. 3: 653–669.
10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.06.006 Google Scholar
- Kim, M. P., S. R. Pierce, and I. Yeung. 2021. “Why Firms Announce Good News Late: Earnings Management and Financial Reporting Timeliness.” Contemporary Accounting Research 38, no. 4: 2691–2722.
- Kothari, S. P., S. Shu, and P. D. Wysocki. 2009. “Do Managers Withhold Bad News?” Journal of Accounting Research 47, no. 1: 241–276.
- Krause, R., M. Semadeni, and A. A. Cannella. 2013. “External COO/Presidents as Expert Directors: A New Look at the Service Role of Boards.” Strategic Management Journal 34, no. 13: 1628–1641.
- Kumar, P., and N. Langberg. 2010. “Innovation and Investment Bubbles.” Working Paper. University of Houston.
- Leary, M. T., and M. R. Roberts. 2014. “Do Peer Firms Affect Corporate Financial Policy?” Journal of Finance 69, no. 1: 139–178.
- Lennox, C., and J. A. Pittman. 2010. “Big Five Audits and Accounting Fraud.” Contemporary Accounting Research 27, no. 1: 209–247.
- Lennox, C., and J. S. Wu. 2022. “A Review of China-related Accounting Research in the Past 25 Years.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 74, no. 2-3: 101539.
- Liu, B., W. Huang, K. C. Chan, and T. Chen. 2022. “Social Trust and Internal Control Extensiveness: Evidence From China.” Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 41, no. 3: 106940.
- Ma, M. 2022. “ Gendered Performance Evaluation in CEO Turnover.” Journal of Corporate Finance 77: 102302.
- Mergenthaler, R., S. Rajgopal, and S. Srinivasan. 2012. “CEO and CFO Career Penalties to Missing Quarterly Analysts Forecasts.” Working Paper. Harvard Business School.
- Merkley, K. J. 2014. “Narrative Disclosure and Earnings Performance: Evidence From R&D Disclosures.” Accounting Review 89, no. 2: 725–757.
- Michaely, R., A. Rubin, and A. Vedrashko. 2016a. “Are Friday Announcements Special? Overcoming Selection Bias.” Journal of Financial Economics 122, no. 1: 65–85.
- Michaely, R., A. Rubin, and A. Vedrashko. 2016b. “Further Evidence on the Strategic Timing of Earnings News: Joint Analysis of Weekdays and Times of Day.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 62, no. 1: 24–45.
- Morck, R., A. Shleifer, and R. W. Vishny. 1989. “Alternative Mechanisms for Corporate Control.” The American Economic Review 79, no. 4: 842–852.
- Murphy, K. J. 1999. “ Executive Compensation.” In Handbook of Labor Economics, ed. O. Ashenfelter and D. Cards, 2485–2563. Elsevier Science: North Holland.
- Patell, J. M., and M. A. Wolfson. 1982. “Good News, Bad News, and the Intraday Timing of Corporate Disclosures.” Accounting Review 57, no. 3: 509–527.
- Porter, M. 1980. Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors. New York: Free Press.
- Segal, B., and D. Segal. 2016. “ Are Managers Strategic in Reporting Non-earnings News? Evidence on Timing and News Bundling.” Review of Accounting Studies 21: 1203–1244.
- Sengupta, P. 2004. “Disclosure Timing: Determinants of Quarterly Earnings Release Dates.” Journal of Accounting and Public Policy 23, no. 6: 457–482.
10.1016/j.jaccpubpol.2004.10.001 Google Scholar
- Tian, X. 2015. “Does Real-time Reporting Deter Strategic Disclosures by Management? The Impact of Real-time Reporting and Event Controllability on Disclosure Bunching.” Accounting Review 90, no. 5: 2107–2139.
10.2308/accr-51095 Google Scholar
- Trueman, B. 1990. “Theories of Earnings-Announcement Timing.” Journal of Accounting and Economics 13, no. 3: 285–301.
- Tse, S., and J. W. Tucker. 2010. “Within-industry Timing of Earnings Warnings: Do Managers Herd?” Review of Accounting Studies 15, no. 4: 879–914.
- Varian, H. R. 2002. “The Real Value of Enron May be as a Worst-case Example of the Need for Clearer Accounting Rules.” New York Times, 03–14.
- Wu, C., X. Yu, and Y. Zheng. 2020. “The Spillover Effect of Financial Information in Mergers and Acquisitions.” British Accounting Review 52, no. 4: 100879.
- Xie, B., W. N. D. Iii, and P. J. Dadalt. 2003. “Earnings Management and Corporate Governance: The Role of the Board and the Audit Committee.” Journal of Corporate Finance 9, no. 3: 295–316.