Accuracy of the Orlando Head CT Criteria in detecting clinically significant abnormalities in patients without head trauma: A systematic review and meta-analysis
David D. Cassidy MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Florida State University College of Medicine, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Steven G. Rothrock MD
Florida State University College of Medicine, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Department of Emergency Medicine, Dr P. Phillips Hospital, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Correspondence
Steven G. Rothrock, Department of Emergency Medicine, Dr P. Phillips Hospital, Orlando Health, Orlando, FL USA.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorGrant Wandling MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorChrisi T. Myers BS
Florida State University College of Medicine, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorKristina Arwady BA
Department of Emergency Medicine, Dr P. Phillips Hospital, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorStephanie Schiffert MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorMax Trojano MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorRyan Sawyers MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorChristian Iuteri MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorConnor Byrne MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorDavid D. Cassidy MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Florida State University College of Medicine, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Steven G. Rothrock MD
Florida State University College of Medicine, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Department of Emergency Medicine, Dr P. Phillips Hospital, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Correspondence
Steven G. Rothrock, Department of Emergency Medicine, Dr P. Phillips Hospital, Orlando Health, Orlando, FL USA.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorGrant Wandling MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorChrisi T. Myers BS
Florida State University College of Medicine, Tallahassee, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorKristina Arwady BA
Department of Emergency Medicine, Dr P. Phillips Hospital, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorStephanie Schiffert MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorMax Trojano MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorRyan Sawyers MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorChristian Iuteri MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorConnor Byrne MD
Department of Emergency Medicine Orlando Regional Medical Center, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Residency in Emergency Medicine, Orlando Health, Orlando, Florida, USA
Search for more papers by this authorPresented at the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, PA, May 2025.
Registration: PROSPERO (CRD42024590542).
Supervising Editor: Benton Robert Hunter
Abstract
Background
This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the accuracy of the Orlando Head CT Criteria (focal deficit, altered mental status, age≥60, headache with vomiting) in predicting clinically significant abnormalities (CSAs) in ED patients without trauma.
Methods
This study followed PRISMA-DTA guidelines. Searched databases included PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, CINAHL, Google Scholar, and gray literature. Studies were included if they contained ED patients without trauma and analyzed accuracy of the Orlando Head CT Criteria. Summary estimates of sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR), and likelihood ratios (LRs) were calculated using a bivariate mixed model with a random-effects approach. Risk of bias and applicability were assessed via QUADAS-2 and certainty of evidence via the GRADE framework. Heterogeneity was assessed via forest plots, a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve and subgroup analysis. Sensitivity analysis was performed using the leave-one-out method. Threshold effects were investigated via Spearman's correlation and publication bias using Deeks' funnel plot.
Results
Seven studies (8914 patients) were included: four prospective and three retrospective. Orlando Head CT Criteria were 98.4% (95% confidence interval [CI] 97.1%–99.1%) sensitive, 17.9% (95% CI 12.3%–25.3%, 95% CI) specific with a DOR of 13.4 (95% CI 6–29.6) and negative LR (–LR) of 0.09 (95% CI 0.04–0.19) in predicting CSA CT scans. Implementation of these criteria would have decreased CT use by 16.2% (95% CI 9.7%–23.9%). GRADE certainty of evidence was moderate. No subgroup or single study was a source of heterogeneity. There were no threshold effects (Spearman ρ = −0.26). We found no publication bias (Deeks' funnel plot asymmetry test, p = 0.71).
Conclusion
Orlando Head CT Criteria were sensitive in detecting CSA CT scans with a low –LR. Further studies are required to assess whether these criteria can decrease CT use or augment clinical judgment for patients undergoing nontrauma cranial CT.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Open Research
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in pubmed at https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/.
Supporting Information
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Please note: The publisher is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.
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