Volume 44, Issue 3 pp. 964-996
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Can centralization of environmental regulations reduce firm emissions? Evidence from county-prefecture centralization reforms in China

Xun Cao

Xun Cao

Department of Political Science and School of Public Policy, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania, USA

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Mingqin Wu

Corresponding Author

Mingqin Wu

Center for Economic Development Research, The Institute of Development Economics, Economics and Management School, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China

Correspondence

Mingqin Wu, Center for Economic Development Research, The Institute of Development Economics, Economics and Management School, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

Email: [email protected]

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First published: 18 February 2025

Abstract

Drawing on a natural experiment generated by prefecture-level centralization reforms in China in the early 2000s, we study whether a centralized regulatory system delivers better environmental outcomes in a developing country context. We examine the impact of centralization reforms on firm air pollution emissions using a difference-in-differences estimation strategy. We find that centralization reform reduces firm air pollution intensities in total waste air, SO2, and soot. This effect is robust when we control for contemporaneous environmental policy changes and SOE reforms and when we use alternative differences-in-differences estimations. We perform placebo tests to further demonstrate that the relationship is unlikely a function of a selection effect and omitted variables. Empirical tests on mechanisms reveal that pollution reduction is mainly due to increased pollution removals during the end-of-pipe treatment stage while there is little evidence that centralization increases firm scale of production, productivity, efficiency, and innovation efforts. We show that such firm responses are likely a function of increased regulatory enforcement brought by the reform. Finally, we test whether a centralization reform drives local firms away (i.e., a spillover effect) and we find no supporting evidence.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

The data that support the findings of this study are available from the Ministry of Environmental Protection (MEP) of China. Restrictions apply to the availability of these data, which were used under license for this study. Data are available from the authors with the permission of the MEP.

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