Gaussian mixture model-based neural network for short-term wind power forecast
Corresponding Author
Gary W. Chang
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan
Correspondence
G. W. Chang, Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi 62102, Taiwan.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorHeng-Jiu Lu
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorPing-Kui Wang
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorYung-Ruei Chang
Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Taoyuan, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorYee-Der Lee
Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Taoyuan, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Gary W. Chang
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan
Correspondence
G. W. Chang, Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi 62102, Taiwan.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorHeng-Jiu Lu
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorPing-Kui Wang
Department of Electrical Engineering, National Chung Cheng University, Chiayi, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorYung-Ruei Chang
Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Taoyuan, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorYee-Der Lee
Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, Taoyuan, Taiwan
Search for more papers by this authorSummary
The wind power forecast has attracted much attention in recent years because of the significantly increasing number of large-scale integrations of the wind power plants in the electric grid. In this paper, a Gaussian mixture model-based neural network model is proposed to forecast the short-term wind power generation. Actual measured wind power output data are adopted to train the proposed model. Test results of wind power obtained by autoregressive integrated moving average, radial basis function neural network, support vector regression, and the proposed method are then under comparisons. It shows that the proposed method can provide more accurate forecast of short-term wind power output than other compared methods.
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