Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain
Haorui Chen
State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China
National Center for Efficient Irrigation Engineering and Technology Research-Beijing, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Mousong Wu
International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, Lanzhou, China
Correspondence
Mousong Wu, International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.
Email: [email protected]
Wenxin Zhang, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund SE-22362, Sweden.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorZheng Duan
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Search for more papers by this authorYuanyuan Zha
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
Search for more papers by this authorSonghan Wang
College of Agriculture, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China
Search for more papers by this authorLong Yang
School of Geography and Oceanic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Search for more papers by this authorLiangchao Zou
Department of Sustainable Development and Environmental Science and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Search for more papers by this authorMinjie Zheng
Department of Geology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Search for more papers by this authorPeng Chen
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Search for more papers by this authorWei Cao
State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, Lanzhou, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Wenxin Zhang
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Center for Permafrost (CENPERM), Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
Correspondence
Mousong Wu, International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.
Email: [email protected]
Wenxin Zhang, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund SE-22362, Sweden.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorHaorui Chen
State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing, China
National Center for Efficient Irrigation Engineering and Technology Research-Beijing, Beijing, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Mousong Wu
International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, Lanzhou, China
Correspondence
Mousong Wu, International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.
Email: [email protected]
Wenxin Zhang, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund SE-22362, Sweden.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorZheng Duan
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Search for more papers by this authorYuanyuan Zha
State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
Search for more papers by this authorSonghan Wang
College of Agriculture, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China
Search for more papers by this authorLong Yang
School of Geography and Oceanic Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
Search for more papers by this authorLiangchao Zou
Department of Sustainable Development and Environmental Science and Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Search for more papers by this authorMinjie Zheng
Department of Geology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Search for more papers by this authorPeng Chen
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
Search for more papers by this authorWei Cao
State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil Engineering, Lanzhou, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Wenxin Zhang
Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
Center for Permafrost (CENPERM), Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
Correspondence
Mousong Wu, International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, China.
Email: [email protected]
Wenxin Zhang, Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund SE-22362, Sweden.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorAbstract
Climate change has caused significant impacts on water resource redistribution around the world and posed a great threat in the last several decades due to intensive human activities. The impacts of human water use and management on regional water resources remain unclear as they are intertwined with the impacts of climate change. In this study, we disentangled the impact of climate-induced human activities on groundwater resources in a typical region of the semi-arid North China Plain based on a process-oriented groundwater modelling approach accounting for climate-human-groundwater interactions. We found that the climate-induced human effect is amplified in water resources management (‘amplifying effect’) for our study region under future climate scenarios. We specifically derived a tipping point for annual precipitation of 350 mm, below which the climate-induced human activities on groundwater withdrawal will cause significant ‘amplifying effect’ on groundwater depletion. Furthermore, we explored the different pumping scenarios under various climate conditions and investigated the pumping thresholds, which the pumping amount should not exceed (4 × 107 m3) in order to control future groundwater level depletion. Our results highlight that it is critical to implement adaptive water use practices, such as water-saving irrigation technologies in the semi-arid regions, in order to mitigate the negative impacts of groundwater overexploitation, particularly when annual precipitation is anomalously low.
Open Research
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
All data presented in this article are available upon request.
Supporting Information
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| hyp14853-sup-0001-SupInfo.docxWord 2007 document , 3.6 MB | DATA S1: Supporting Information |
Please note: The publisher is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.
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