Volume 50, Issue 6
RESEARCH ARTICLE

A possible initiation mechanism of Muztag rock avalanche induced by nearby fault creep

Yingbin Zhang

Yingbin Zhang

State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China

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Qingdong Wang

Corresponding Author

Qingdong Wang

Department of Civil Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou, China

Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany

Correspondence

Qingdong Wang, Department of Civil Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, China.

Email: [email protected]

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Pengcheng Yu

Pengcheng Yu

State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China

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Lei Wang

Lei Wang

Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany

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Zhongkun Zhang

Zhongkun Zhang

State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China

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Jianxian He

Jianxian He

State Key Laboratory of Geo-Hazard Prevention and Geo-Environment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, China

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Yao Xiao

Yao Xiao

State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China

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Xinyan Peng

Xinyan Peng

MOE Key Laboratory of Deep Earth Science and Engineering, Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China

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Wenfang Wang

Wenfang Wang

Lanzhou Petrochemical University of Vocational Technology, Lanzhou, Gansu, China

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Qiangong Cheng

Qiangong Cheng

Department of Geological Engineering, Faculty of Geosciences and Environmental Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China

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Marco Bohnhoff

Marco Bohnhoff

Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany

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First published: 08 May 2025
Citations: 2

Abstract

Rock avalanches are catastrophic events that can be triggered by various geological and climatic factors. Large-scale rock avalanches have been observed near fault zones, indicating a potential relationship between fault creep motions and the initiation of rock avalanches. This study proposes a physical mechanism that explains how fault creep leads to the initiation of near-fault rock avalanches through stress redistribution. The Muztag rock avalanche which occurred near the Muztag fault in Muztag Ata, Kashgar, China is revisited using field measurements and numerical modelling. We consider the Muztag rock avalanche model with its initial slope toe supported by a portion of the fault's hanging wall. Site-specific numerical simulations using discontinuous deformation analysis (DDA) reveal that fault creep initially generates localized stress concentrations at the slope toe. Once the slope toe completely detaches from the hanging wall, the slope toe fails when the accumulated stress exceeds the local strength, resulting in a sharp stress drop. This stress redistribution triggers consecutive failure at the bottom of the rear edge and middle slope, forming a through-going shear sliding surface, which leads to the initiation of the overall rock avalanche. The kinematic processes of the avalanche, including sliding distance and deposit thickness, as modelled by DDA, are consistent with the post-failure characteristics of the Muztag rock avalanche. These findings suggest that tectonic fault creep motions can play a significant role in inducing near-fault rock avalanches.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

The data used in this manuscript are available online (https://zenodo.org/records/10056963).

The full text of this article hosted at iucr.org is unavailable due to technical difficulties.