A possible initiation mechanism of Muztag rock avalanche induced by nearby fault creep
Yingbin Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Qingdong Wang
Department of Civil Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou, China
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Correspondence
Qingdong Wang, Department of Civil Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, China.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorPengcheng Yu
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorLei Wang
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Search for more papers by this authorZhongkun Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorJianxian He
State Key Laboratory of Geo-Hazard Prevention and Geo-Environment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorYao Xiao
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorXinyan Peng
MOE Key Laboratory of Deep Earth Science and Engineering, Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorWenfang Wang
Lanzhou Petrochemical University of Vocational Technology, Lanzhou, Gansu, China
Search for more papers by this authorQiangong Cheng
Department of Geological Engineering, Faculty of Geosciences and Environmental Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorMarco Bohnhoff
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Search for more papers by this authorYingbin Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Qingdong Wang
Department of Civil Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou, China
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Correspondence
Qingdong Wang, Department of Civil Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, China.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorPengcheng Yu
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorLei Wang
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Search for more papers by this authorZhongkun Zhang
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorJianxian He
State Key Laboratory of Geo-Hazard Prevention and Geo-Environment Protection, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorYao Xiao
State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Geotechnics and Tunnelling, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorXinyan Peng
MOE Key Laboratory of Deep Earth Science and Engineering, Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorWenfang Wang
Lanzhou Petrochemical University of Vocational Technology, Lanzhou, Gansu, China
Search for more papers by this authorQiangong Cheng
Department of Geological Engineering, Faculty of Geosciences and Environmental Engineering, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China
Search for more papers by this authorMarco Bohnhoff
Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Search for more papers by this authorAbstract
Rock avalanches are catastrophic events that can be triggered by various geological and climatic factors. Large-scale rock avalanches have been observed near fault zones, indicating a potential relationship between fault creep motions and the initiation of rock avalanches. This study proposes a physical mechanism that explains how fault creep leads to the initiation of near-fault rock avalanches through stress redistribution. The Muztag rock avalanche which occurred near the Muztag fault in Muztag Ata, Kashgar, China is revisited using field measurements and numerical modelling. We consider the Muztag rock avalanche model with its initial slope toe supported by a portion of the fault's hanging wall. Site-specific numerical simulations using discontinuous deformation analysis (DDA) reveal that fault creep initially generates localized stress concentrations at the slope toe. Once the slope toe completely detaches from the hanging wall, the slope toe fails when the accumulated stress exceeds the local strength, resulting in a sharp stress drop. This stress redistribution triggers consecutive failure at the bottom of the rear edge and middle slope, forming a through-going shear sliding surface, which leads to the initiation of the overall rock avalanche. The kinematic processes of the avalanche, including sliding distance and deposit thickness, as modelled by DDA, are consistent with the post-failure characteristics of the Muztag rock avalanche. These findings suggest that tectonic fault creep motions can play a significant role in inducing near-fault rock avalanches.
Open Research
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
The data used in this manuscript are available online (https://zenodo.org/records/10056963).
Supporting Information
Filename | Description |
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esp70066-sup-0001-Supporting_information.docxWord 2007 document , 11.5 MB | Figure S1 (a) A benchmark model considering self-weight stress (gravity) for a cubic solid (400 × 400 × 1,000 m) with fixed boundary and bottom. (b) A cross-section at 500 m depth for reference. Figure S2 (a) FEM model, the black box represents the section at a certain depth, which is the DDA model. (b) DDA model corresponding to cross section in Figure S1b, used for the benchmark. The model is constrained by the boundary blocks with fixed points, which does not allow deformation in the x-y plane. Figure S3 (a) Comparison of DDA method in simulating in-situ stress with FEM and theoretical solution; (b) The relative error between two methods and theoretical solutions. Figure S4 The flowchart of the DDA model for the rock avalanche. (a) Conversion between dynamic iteration and static iteration to realize simulation of fault creep and rock avalanche initiation and movement; (b) DDA method processing flow, including parameter input, contact judgement, iterative calculation and convergence judgement. The black dotted line indicates open-close iteration; (c) in the process of rock avalanche movement, the strength weakening based on normal stress is considered, so that the process of rock avalanche movement be described accurately. Figure S5 Stress evolution of monitored blocks during self-stabilization stage. (a) Horizontal stress σx (negative for compaction) evolution of blocks at different depths of the footwall; (b) horizontal stress σx evolution of blocks at the same horizontal levels of footwall. (c) Horizontal stress σx evolution of blocks at different parts of the slope. Figure S6 (a) Edge-to-edge contact. Edge-to-edge contact can be equivalent to two vertex-to-edge contacts. Black dotted box refers to where we embedded the spring and dashpot; (b) Creep constitutive law is incorporated into the DDA method. Note that t₁ and t₂ represent the transition points between the primary and secondary stages and between the secondary and tertiary stages, respectively. tR represents the final moment of rock creep (i.e., when t = tR, D = 1, see Text S3), and ts is the moment at which the rock enters the tertiary phase (i.e., when t = ts, D = 0). Figure S7 Evolution of strain of the monitored blocks within the rock slope as a function of time. The index of rock block is indicated in Figure 8b. Figure S8 (a-f) The snapshots of strain and sliding process of the simulated rock avalanche caused by mass rock creep at the time of t = 0, 0.45, 0.9, 2.45, 4 and 4.2 ky, respectively. The time t = 0 marks the onset of the mass rock creep deformation process after the self-stabilization stress state, and t > 0 corresponds to the later time. Figure S9 Evolution of the Mohr circle for the slope toe before the complete detachment of slope toe from the hanging wall. (a) Evolution of principal stress σ1 and σ3 at the bottom of slope toe in the case of c = 1.5 MPa and friction angle φ = 22.5°; (b) evolution of principal stress σ1 and σ3 at the bottom of slope toe in the case of c = 2.1 MPa, friction angle φ = 19.5°. Table S1 Rock avalanches that occurred in the vicinity of active fault zones worldwide. Table S2 Rock mass mechanical and joint physical parameters used in the benchmark model (FEM and DDA model). Table S3 The control parameters for DDA in the benchmark model. Table S4 The key parameters for MRC used in the DDA. |
Please note: The publisher is not responsible for the content or functionality of any supporting information supplied by the authors. Any queries (other than missing content) should be directed to the corresponding author for the article.
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