Volume 90, Issue 4 pp. 1463-1500
Original Articles
Open Access

Mechanism Design With Limited Commitment

Laura Doval

Corresponding Author

Laura Doval

Economics Division, Graduate School of Business, Columbia University

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Vasiliki Skreta

Vasiliki Skreta

Department of Economics, University of Texas at Austin

Department of Economics, University College London

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First published: 28 July 2022
Citations: 4
We thank the four anonymous referees for excellent comments. We would also like to thank Rahul Deb, Françoise Forges, David Miller, Dan Quigley, Luciano Pomatto, Pablo Schenone, Omer Tamuz, and especially Michael Greinecker and Max Stinchcombe, as well as various audiences for thought-provoking questions and illuminating discussions. Alkis Georgiadis-Harris, Nathan Hancart, and Ignacio Núñez provided excellent research assistance. Vasiliki Skreta is grateful for generous financial support through the ERC consolidator grant 682417 “Frontiers in design.” This research is supported by grants from the National Science Foundation (SES-1851744 and SES-1851729).

Abstract

We develop a tool akin to the revelation principle for dynamic mechanism-selection games in which the designer can only commit to short-term mechanisms. We identify a canonical class of mechanisms rich enough to replicate the outcomes of any equilibrium in a mechanism-selection game between an uninformed designer and a privately informed agent. A cornerstone of our methodology is the idea that a mechanism should encode not only the rules that determine the allocation, but also the information the designer obtains from the interaction with the agent. Therefore, how much the designer learns, which is the key tension in design with limited commitment, becomes an explicit part of the design. Our result simplifies the search for the designer-optimal outcome by reducing the agent's behavior to a series of participation, truth telling, and Bayes' plausibility constraints the mechanisms must satisfy.

1 Introduction

The standard assumption in dynamic mechanism design is that the designer can commit to long-term contracts. This assumption is useful: it allows us to characterize the best possible payoff for the designer in the presence of adverse selection and/or moral hazard, and it is applicable in many settings. Often, however, this assumption is made for technical convenience. Indeed, when the designer can commit to long-term contracts, the mechanism-selection problem can be reduced to a constrained optimization problem thanks to the revelation principle. However, as the literature starting with Freixas, Guesnerie, and Tirole (1985) and Laffont and Tirole (1988) shows, when the designer can commit only to short-term contracts, the tractability afforded by the revelation principle is lost. Indeed, mechanism design problems with limited commitment are difficult to analyze without imposing auxiliary assumptions either on the class of contracts available to the designer, as in Acharya and Ortner (2017) and Gerardi and Maestri (2020), or on the length of the horizon, as in Skreta (2006, 2015).

This paper provides a “revelation principle” for dynamic mechanism-selection games in which the designer can only commit to short-term mechanisms. We study a class of mechanism-selection games between an uninformed designer and an informed agent with persistent private information. Although the designer can commit within each period to the terms of the interaction—the current mechanism—he cannot commit to the terms the agent faces later on, namely, the mechanisms that are chosen in the continuation game. First, we identify a set of mechanisms, and hence a mechanism-selection game, that is sufficient to replicate any equilibrium outcome of any mechanism-selection game. Second, we identify a set of strategies for the designer and the agent that is sufficient to replicate any equilibrium outcome of the identified mechanism-selection game. We illustrate how our result can be used to characterize the designer's optimal outcome as the solution to a constrained optimization problem that only involves the designer. In this problem, the designer chooses among mechanisms that satisfy the usual truth telling and participation constraints, and a third constraint, which captures the designer's sequential rationality.

The starting point of our analysis is the class of mechanisms we allow the designer to choose from. Following Myerson (1982) and Bester and Strausz (2007), we consider mechanisms as illustrated in Figure 1(a).

Details are in the caption following the image

Mechanisms.

Having observed her private information (her type, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0001), the agent privately reports an input message, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0002, to the mechanism, which then determines the distribution, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0003, from which an output message, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0004, and an allocation, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0005, are drawn. The output message and the allocation are publicly observable: they constitute the contractible parts of the mechanism.

When the designer has commitment, the standard revelation principle implies that, without loss of generality, we can restrict attention to mechanisms satisfying three properties: (i) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0006, (ii) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0007, and (iii) φ is such that by observing the output message, the designer learns the input message, in this case, the agent's type report. Moreover, the revelation principle implies we can restrict attention to equilibria in which the agent truthfully reports her type, which means the designer not only learns the agent's type report upon observing the output message but also learns the agent's true type.

Why restricting attention to mechanisms that satisfy properties (i)–(iii) and to truth-telling equilibria is with loss of generality under limited commitment is therefore clear: upon observing the output message, the designer learns the agent's type report, and hence her type. Then the agent may have an incentive to misreport if the designer cannot commit to not react to this information. This intuition is behind the main result in Bester and Strausz (2001), which is the first paper to provide a general analysis of optimal mechanism design with limited commitment. The authors restrict attention to mechanisms such that the cardinality of the set of input and output messages is the same, and φ is such that, by observing the output message, the designer learns the input message. They show that to sustain payoffs in the Pareto frontier, mechanisms in which input messages are type reports are without loss of generality. However, focusing on truth-telling equilibria is with loss of generality. In a follow-up paper, Bester and Strausz (2007) lift the restrictions on the class of mechanisms (i.e., (ii) and (iii) above) and show in a one-period model that focusing on mechanisms in which input messages are type reports and on truth-telling equilibria is without loss of generality. The authors, however, do not characterize the set of output messages. Whether taking the set of input messages to be the set of type reports is without loss when the designer and the agent interact repeatedly is also unclear (see the discussion after Theorem 1).

The main contribution of this paper is to show that, under limited commitment, it is without loss of generality to take the set of output messages to be the set of the designer's posterior beliefs about the agent's type; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0008. Theorem 1 identifies a set of mechanisms, and hence a mechanism-selection game, that is enough to replicate any equilibrium outcome of any mechanism-selection game in which the designer chooses mechanisms as in Figure 1(a). In this game, which we denote the canonical game, the designer can only offer mechanisms in which input messages are type reports and output messages are beliefs. Moreover, Theorem 1 shows that any equilibrium of the canonical game can be replicated by a canonical equilibrium in which the agent always participates in the mechanisms offered in equilibrium by the designer, and input and output messages have a literal meaning: the agent truthfully reports her type, and if the mechanism outputs a given posterior, this posterior coincides with the designer's equilibrium belief about the agent's type. Furthermore, in a canonical equilibrium, the designer only offers the agent canonical mechanisms, in which conditional on the output message, the allocation is drawn independently of the agent's type report (see Figure 1(b)). Thus, like the standard revelation principle, Theorem 1 implies that to characterize the distributions over types and allocations that can be achieved in some equilibrium in some mechanism-selection game, it is without loss of generality to restrict attention to the analysis of the canonical equilibria of the canonical game.

Theorem 1 provides researchers with a tractable way to analyze problems of mechanism design with limited commitment by making how much the designer learns about the agent an explicit part of the design. A major challenge in the received literature on limited commitment is how to keep track of how the agent's best response to the mechanism affects the information that the designer obtains from the interaction, which in turn affects the designer's incentives to offer the mechanism in the first place. Instead, our framework allows us to reduce the agent's best response to the designer's mechanism and its informational feedback to a familiar set of constraints that the mechanism must satisfy: the participation and incentive compatibility constraints for the agent, and the Bayes' plausibility constraint. This avoids having to consider complicated mixed strategies on the part of the agent (see Laffont and Tirole (1988), Bester and Strausz (2001)) and transforms it instead into a program that combines elements of mechanism design and information design. Indeed, we exploit the information design elements to derive properties of the mechanisms (see Proposition 1 and our companion work, Doval and Skreta (2020, 2021)).

We prove Theorem 1 under the assumption that the set of types is at most countable and extend Theorem 1 to the case in which the agent's type is drawn from a continuum (a leading case in mechanism design) in Theorem 2. As we explain in Section 4.1, the results in Aumann (1961, 1964) imply that with a continuum type space we cannot rely on the usual formulation of an extensive-form game. This is the reason that we first conduct our analysis under the assumption that the set of types is at most countable, deriving Theorem 1 in the standard game-theoretic framework. Section 4.2 then develops a new framework that circumvents the issues raised by Aumann, while allowing us to extend Theorem 1 to continuum type spaces. The framework is based on the idea that any fixed sequence of mechanisms determines a well-defined extensive-form game for the agent. Like in the mechanism-selection game, Theorem 2 shows it is without loss of generality to assume the designer offers the agent sequences of canonical mechanisms and to restrict attention to canonical equilibria within the extensive-form game defined by the mechanisms.

We apply our results to a seemingly well-understood problem and show that our tools can shed new light on it. As in Skreta (2006), Example 1 considers a seller, who owns one unit of a durable good, and interacts over two periods with a buyer with persistent and private information. In Example 1, the seller offers canonical mechanisms, whereas in Skreta (2006) the seller offers mechanisms in the class considered by Laffont and Tirole (1988) and Bester and Strausz (2001). In Section 3.1, we show how Theorem 1 can be used to reduce the characterization of the seller's maximum revenue to the characterization of the solution to a constrained optimization problem (see (OPT)). Furthermore, in Section 4.3, we argue that the solution to the program (OPT) also describes the seller's maximum revenue when the buyer's type is drawn from a continuum. We then show how to obtain the envelope representation of the agent's payoffs, and hence, the dynamic virtual surplus representation of the seller's payoff. As we explain in Section 4.3, characterizing the solution to (OPT) is outside the scope of this paper. Instead, we use the virtual surplus representation of the seller's payoff to show that, in contrast to the main result in Skreta (2006), the seller can do strictly better than in the optimal posted-price mechanism. Starting from the optimal posted-price mechanism, we show that the seller has a deviation to an alternative mechanism that combines posted prices with a form of rationing. This allows us to connect the mechanism design literature on the sale of a durable good with the work in theoretical industrial organization on alternative strategies for a durable goods monopolist, such as rationing (Denicolo and Garella (1999)).

By highlighting the canonical role of beliefs as the signals employed by the mechanism, Theorem 1 underscores the importance of jointly determining the mechanism together with how information is used in the mechanism and transmitted across periods. In doing so, it marries information design, which studies the design of information structures in a given institution, with mechanism design, which generally studies institutional design within a given information structure.

Related Literature

The paper contributes to the literature on mechanism design with limited commitment with an informed agent with persistent private information, referenced throughout the Introduction. Following the seminal contribution of Bester and Strausz (2001), a body of work studies optimal mechanisms under limited commitment in finite-horizon settings with finitely many types (e.g., Bisin and Rampini (2006), Hiriart, Martimort, and Pouyet (2011), Fiocco and Strausz (2015), Beccuti and Möller (2018)). However, the results in Bester and Strausz (2001) do not extend to settings with a continuum of types and/or infinite horizon. On the one hand, the proof strategy in Bester and Strausz (2001) relies on the assumption of finitely many types. On the other hand, their result only applies if the designer is earning his highest payoff consistent with the agent's payoff (see Lemma 1 in Bester and Strausz (2001)). Thus, implicit in their multistage extension is a restriction to equilibria of the mechanism-selection game that possess a Markov structure, which as shown by Ausubel and Deneckere (1989), may not be enough to characterize the designer's best equilibrium payoff in infinite-horizon settings. As a consequence, there is a small body of work that studies mechanism-selection games with a continuum of types and finite horizon (Skreta (2006, 2015), Deb and Said (2015)), or in infinite-horizon settings, imposing restrictions on the class of contracts that can be offered (e.g., Acharya and Ortner (2017), Gerardi and Maestri (2020)), or on the solution concept (e.g., Acharya and Ortner (2017)).

Due to the difficulties with the revelation principle, a large body of work in public finance, political economy, and taxation considers optimal time-consistent policies in settings where private information is fully nonpersistent (see Sleet and Yeltekin (2008), Farhi, Sleet, Werning, and Yeltekin (2012), Golosov and Iovino (2021)). Moreover, a large literature studies the effect of limited commitment within a specific class of mechanisms: price dynamics in the durable goods literature (Bulow (1982), Gul, Sonnenschein, and Wilson (1986), Stokey (1981)) and reserve price dynamics in auction settings (McAfee and Vincent (1997), Liu, Mierendorff, Shi, and Zhong (2019)).

By highlighting the role that the designer's beliefs about the agent play in mechanism design with limited commitment, our paper also relates to Lipnowski and Ravid (2020) and Best and Quigley (2017), who study models of direct communication between an informed sender and an uninformed receiver.

Organization

The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the model and notation and Section 3 introduces the main theorem for at most countable type spaces. Section 4 extends our analysis to continuum type spaces. Throughout the paper, we use a two-period version of the model in Skreta (2006) to illustrate our results. Section 5 concludes and discusses further directions. Omitted statements and all proofs are in the Appendix (Appendices AC) and in the Appendix in the Online Supplementary Material (Doval and Skreta (2022)) (Appendices D–E).

2 Model

Primitives

Two players, a principal (he) and an agent (she), interact over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0009 periods. Before the game starts, the agent observes her type, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0017, which is distributed according to a full-support distribution urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0018. We initially assume Θ is at most countable and consider continuum type spaces in Section 4. Each period, as a result of the interaction between the principal and the agent, an allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0019 is determined. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0020 denote the set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0021. When the agent's type is θ and the allocation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0022, the principal and the agent's payoffs are given by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0023 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0024, respectively.

We allow for the possibility that past allocations influence what the principal can offer the agent in the future. Thus, for each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0025, a correspondence urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0026 exists such that for every sequence of allocations up to period t, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0027, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0028 describes the set of allocations the principal can offer in period t (with the convention that when urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0029, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0030). Furthermore, we assume an allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0031 exists such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0032 is always available. Below, allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0033 plays the role of the agent's outside option. Given the general structure of payoffs, it is without loss of generality to assume that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0034 is time-independent.

We impose some technical restrictions on our model. The sets Θ and A are Polish, that is, completely metrizable, separable, topological spaces. They are endowed with their Borel σ-algebra. We also assume Θ is compact. Endowing product sets with their product σ-algebra, we assume the principal and the agent's utility functions, W and U, are bounded measurable functions. Similarly, for each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0041 and for each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0042, the set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0043 is a measurable set.

Mechanisms

In each period, the allocation is determined by a mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0044, where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0045 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0046 are the mechanism's input and output messages and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0047 assigns to each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0048 a distribution over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0049. We endow the principal with a collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0050 of input and output message sets, such that (i) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0051, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0052 are Polish spaces, (ii) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0053, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0054 is at most countable, and (iii) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0055. Moreover, we assume urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0056 is an element in that collection. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0057 denote the set of all mechanisms with message sets urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0058, that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0059.

Three remarks are in order. First, we restrict the principal to choosing mechanisms in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0060. This restriction allows us to have a well-defined strategy space for the principal, thereby avoiding set-theoretic issues related to self-referential sets. The analysis that follows shows the choice of the collection plays no further role in the analysis. Second, because each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0061 is at most countable, the set of mechanisms urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0062 is a Polish space. As we discuss in Section 4, this property is key to being able to define a mechanism-selection game for a given collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0063 (see also footnote ). Third, we note all aspects of the environment, except the agent's type urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0064, are common knowledge between the principal and the agent.

Mechanism-selection game(s)

Each collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0065 induces a mechanism-selection game, which we denote by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0066, and is defined as follows. At the beginning of each period, both players observe the realization of a public randomization device, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0067. The principal then offers the agent a mechanism, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0068, with the property that for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0069, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0070, where recall that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0071 describes the allocations implemented through period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0072. Observing the mechanism, the agent decides whether to participate in the mechanism (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0073) or not (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0074). If she does not participate in the mechanism, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0075 is implemented and the game proceeds to period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0076. Instead, if she chooses to participate, she sends a message urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0077, which is unobserved by the principal. An output message and an allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0078 are drawn according to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0079. The output message and the allocation are observed by both the principal and the agent, and the game proceeds to period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0080.

Histories

The game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0081 has two types of histories: public and private. Public histories capture what the principal knows through period t: the past realizations of the public randomization device, his past choices of mechanisms, the agent's participation decisions, and the realized output messages and allocations. We let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0082 denote a public history through period t and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0083 denote the set of all such histories. Instead, private histories capture what the agent knows through period t. First, the agent knows the public history of the game and her input messages into the mechanism (henceforth, the agent history). Second, the agent also knows her private information. We let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0084 denote an agent's history through period t and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0085 denote the set of agent histories consistent with public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0086. Thus, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0087 denotes the set of private histories consistent with public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0088.

Belief System and Strategies

Private histories capture what the principal does not know about the agent in period t: he is uncertain about both the agent's payoff-relevant type, θ, and the agent history, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0089. Thus, a belief for the principal in period t at public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0090 is a distribution urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0091. The collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0092 denotes the belief system.

A behavioral strategy for the principal is a collection of measurable mappings urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0093, where for each period t and each public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0094, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0095 describes the principal's (possibly random) choice of mechanism at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0096. Similarly, a behavioral strategy for the agent is a collection of measurable mappings urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0098, where for each period t, each private history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0099, and each mechanism, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0100, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0101 describes the agent's participation decision, whereas urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0102 describes the agent's choice of input messages in the mechanism, conditional on participation.

The tuple urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0103 defines an assessment.

Equilibrium

For each collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0104, we study the equilibria of the mechanism-selection game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0105. By equilibrium, we mean Perfect Bayesian equilibrium (henceforth, PBE), informally defined as follows. An assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0106 is a PBE if it is sequentially rational and the belief system satisfies Bayes' rule where possible. The formal statement is in Appendix A. For now, we note that if the principal's strategy space is finite, Θ is finite, and the mechanisms used by the principal have finite support, our definition of PBE coincides with that in Fudenberg and Tirole (1991).

Equilibrium Outcomes

The prior urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0107 together with a strategy profile urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0108 determine a distribution over the terminal nodes urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0109. We are interested instead in the distribution they induce over the payoff-relevant outcomes, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0110. We say urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0111 is a PBE outcome if a PBE of the mechanism-selection game exists that induces η. We denote by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0112 the set of PBE outcomes of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0113.

Throughout, we use the following example to illustrate the concepts in the paper.

Example 1.A seller (the principal) and a buyer (the agent) interact over two periods; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0114. The seller owns one unit of a durable good and assigns value 0 to it. The buyer's value for the good, denoted by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0115, is her private information. We denote by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0116 the seller's prior belief over Θ and by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0117 the maximum element of Θ. An allocation is a pair urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0118, where q indicates whether the good is sold (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0119) or not (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0120), and x is a payment from the buyer to the seller. If the good is sold in period 1, the game ends; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0121 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0122. Moreover, if the buyer rejects the mechanism, the good is not sold and no payments are made; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0123. Payoffs are as follows. If the final allocation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0124, the buyer and the seller's payoffs are urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0125 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0126, respectively, where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0127 is a common discount factor.

2.1 Canonical Mechanisms and Assessments

Theorem 1 singles out one mechanism-selection game and a class of assessments that allows us to replicate any equilibrium outcome of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0128, for any collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0129 of input and output messages. We dub this extensive form the canonical game and the class of assessments, canonical assessments, which we formally define next.

Canonical Game

The canonical game is the mechanism-selection game in which urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0130. We denote the set of equilibrium outcomes of the canonical game by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0131.

Definition 1. (Canonical mechanisms)A mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0132 is canonical if the mapping urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0133 can be obtained as the composition of two mappings, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0134 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0135. Formally, for each θ and each pair of measurable subsets, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0136 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0137, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0138.

In a canonical mechanism, conditional on the output message, the allocation is drawn independently of the agent's type report. We refer to the mappings β and α as the mechanism's disclosure and allocation rules, respectively. Interpreted as a statistical experiment, β encodes how much information the principal learns about the agent's type. Instead, α describes the mechanism's (possibly randomized) allocation, given the information that the principal learns about the agent's type. We let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0139 denote the set of canonical mechanisms.

Remark 1. (Comparison with direct revelation mechanisms)A direct revelation mechanism is a special case of a canonical mechanism. To see this, recall that a direct revelation mechanism is a map urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0140 assigning to each type θ a distribution over allocations; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0141. A direct revelation mechanism then corresponds to a canonical mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0142, where β assigns θ with probability 1 to the Dirac measure on θ, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0143, and then sets urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0144.

Canonical Assessments

A canonical assessment specifies behavior for the principal and the agent that is, in a sense, simple. First, the principal always chooses canonical mechanisms. Second, the agent best responds to the principal's equilibrium choice of mechanisms by participating. Third, input and output messages have literal meaning: Conditional on participating, the agent truthfully reports her type, and if the mechanism outputs urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0145, μ coincides with the principal's updated beliefs about the agent's type. Formally, we have the following.

Definition 2. (Canonical assessments)An assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0146 of mechanism-selection game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0147 is canonical if the following holds for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0148 and all public histories urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0149:

  • 1. The principal offers canonical mechanisms, that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0150.
  • 2.

    For all mechanisms urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0151 in the support of the principal's strategy at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0152,

    • (a) For all types θ in the support of the principal's beliefs in period t, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0153, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0154,
    • (b) For all types θ in Θ, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0155, and
    • (c) The mechanism's output belief μ coincides with the principal's updated belief about the agent's type. Formally, for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0156, the marginal of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0157 on Θ, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0158, coincides with μ.

  • 3. The agent's strategy depends only on her private type and the public history.

We let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0164 denote the set of equilibrium outcomes of the canonical game that are induced by canonical PBE assessments (henceforth, canonical PBE).

2.2 Discussion

We now discuss three aspects of the model that are important for what follows: the principal may offer randomized allocations, the principal and the agent have access to public randomization, and output messages are public.

Randomized Allocations

Randomized allocations are necessary to conclude that without loss of generality output messages coincide with the principal's posterior beliefs about the agent's type. Indeed, the principal could use urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0165 to encode randomizations on the allocation; for example, two tuples, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0166 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0167, may be associated with the same posterior belief. Because a canonical mechanism allows the principal to randomize on the allocation conditional on the posterior belief, we can collapse urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0168 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0169 to one output message (the posterior belief).

Public Randomization

Public randomization allows us to subsume two ways in which the principal may use the mechanism to coordinate continuation play in a PBE of the mechanism-selection game that would otherwise not be possible in a canonical PBE.

First, in the mechanism-selection game, the principal could use urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0170 to coordinate continuation play; for example, two tuples urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0171, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0172 may be associated with two different continuation equilibria, but with the same posterior belief. This is one place, where the requirement that in a canonical PBE, output messages must coincide with the principal's updated beliefs may be more restrictive than allowing for arbitrary PBE assessments: beliefs are not a rich enough language to encode both the principal's updated beliefs and the suggested continuation play. As we explain after the statement of Theorem 1, the public randomization device in the canonical game allows us to subsume this coordination role of the output messages, which, in turn, allows us to conclude that without loss of generality, output messages coincide with the principal's posterior beliefs about the agent's type.

Second, in the mechanism-selection game, the principal could use the “name” of the mechanism to coordinate continuation play. To be concrete, consider Figure 2(a): In urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0175, the principal randomizes between two mechanisms, M and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0176, each of which is followed by different continuation play, denoted by continuation(M) and continuation(urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0177), respectively. To replicate this in a canonical PBE, we need to determine for each mechanism the distribution over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0178-allocations induced by the mechanism together with the agent's strategy. Suppose when coupled with the agent's strategy both M and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0179 lead to the same canonical mechanism, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0180. This is another way in which the language of canonical mechanisms is coarser than that of the mechanisms in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0181. In the mechanism-selection game, different indirect mechanisms can lead to different continuation equilibria, but to the same canonical mechanism. It is natural to conclude that, similar to the use of the public randomization device in the previous paragraph, we could replicate play in the mechanism-selection game via a canonical PBE in the canonical game as illustrated in Figure 2(b). In the canonical game, the principal offers mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0182 in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0183, and then we use the public randomization device in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0184 to replicate the continuation play associated with M and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0185 in the original assessment.

Details are in the caption following the image

Different mechanisms lead to the same canonical mechanism.

However, the construction in Figure 2(b) may not be enough to replicate the original outcome distribution. To see this, suppose in the mechanism-selection game, both M and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0186 are accepted with probability 1, so the principal's beliefs after nonparticipation are not pinned down by Bayes' rule. Furthermore, assume different off-path beliefs and different continuation equilibria are associated with the rejection of M and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0187. However, we can only assign one belief and one continuation equilibrium to the event in which the agent rejects urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0188 in Figure 2(b). It may not be possible to find one off-path belief and one continuation equilibrium that simultaneously make it optimal for the agent to participate in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0189 and sequentially rational for the principal to follow the prescribed continuation play.

Instead, we can replicate the original outcome distribution using the construction in Figure 2(c): We use the public randomization device in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0190 to encode the indirect mechanism that led to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0191 in the mechanism-selection game. It follows that in order to replicate the outcome distributions via canonical PBE public randomization may be needed even before play begins.

While the proof of Theorem 1 deals explicitly with the coordination role of the output message, it does not deal explicitly with the the issue illustrated in Figure 2, which can only arise if the principal is using mixed strategies. Instead, we first show in Lemma D.1 that it is without loss of generality to assume that the principal plays a pure strategy in the mechanism-selection game. Similar to the construction in Figure 2(c), we use the public randomization device in the mechanism-selection game to encode the mechanisms over which the principal is randomizing, effectively purifying the principal's strategy.

Public Output Messages

Because in the mechanism-selection game the output message is public, the agent is the only player with private information, which is the leading informational setting in the literature on mechanism design with limited commitment and short-term contracts referenced in the Introduction. Indeed, our only point of departure from this literature is the class of mechanisms we endow the principal with.

If, instead, output messages were observed only by the principal, he would become endogenously privately informed. Having an informed principal adds a new friction even in a one-shot interaction: the mere choice of a mechanism serves as a signal of the principal's private information. Little is known about dynamic and exogenously informed principal problems under commitment, let alone under limited commitment. For these reasons, the comparison of the equilibrium outcomes of the mechanism-selection game with public and private output messages is an open question.

3 Revelation Principle

Section 3 presents the main result of the paper: To characterize the set of equilibrium outcomes that can arise in some mechanism-selection game, it is enough to characterize the canonical PBE outcomes of the canonical game. Formally,

Theorem 1. (Revelation principle)For any PBE outcome of any mechanism-selection game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0192, an outcome-equivalent canonical PBE of the canonical game exists. That is,

urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0193

Theorem 1 plays the same role in mechanism design with limited commitment as the revelation principle does in the commitment case. First, it identifies a well-defined set of mechanisms, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0194, that without loss of generality, the principal uses to implement any equilibrium outcome. Second, it simplifies the analysis of the behavior of the agent in the game induced by the mechanisms chosen by the principal: we can always restrict attention to assessments in which the agent participates and truthfully reports her type. As we illustrate through the application in Example 1, this restriction allows us to reduce the agent's behavior to a set of constraints that the mechanism must satisfy, as in the case of commitment.

The proof of Theorem 1 follows from two observations. The first one is easy: because the canonical game is a mechanism-selection game, any PBE outcome of the canonical game is a PBE outcome of some mechanism-selection game; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0195. The second one constitutes the bulk of the proof, which we overview below: we show that for any collection urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0196 and for any PBE assessment of the mechanism-selection game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0197, an outcome-equivalent canonical PBE assessment of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0198 exists. Because in the canonical game the principal has fewer deviations than in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0199 and in a canonical PBE assessment the principal plays a strategy that is available in the canonical game, it follows that for any PBE assessment of the mechanism-selection game, an outcome-equivalent canonical PBE assessment of the canonical game exists; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0200. Because urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0201, this concludes the proof.

We now review the steps involved in the proof that any PBE outcome of the mechanism-selection game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0202 can be achieved in a canonical PBE of the canonical game. To simplify the presentation, we rely on the following construction. Given a mechanism M and the agent's participation and reporting strategies urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0205, we can extend the principal's mechanism and the agent's reporting strategy as follows. Extend the set of input messages so as to include a nonparticipation message, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0206. Similarly, extend the set of output messages, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0207 and define urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0208 as follows: urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0209 coincides with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0210 on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0211 and assigns probability 1 to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0212 for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0213. Finally, define urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0214 as follows: urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0215 sends message ∅ with probability 1-π, and sends message urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0216 with probability urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0217.

Input Messages as Type Reports

To fix ideas, consider the proof for the standard revelation principle in static settings. The extended mechanism, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0218, together with the agent's extended reporting strategy, induce a mapping from Θ to distributions over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0219. This allows us to conclude we can replace the set of input messages with the set of type reports, as illustrated in Figure 3(a).

Details are in the caption following the image

Type reports as input messages.

In the dynamic setting, however, this argument would only allow us to conclude we can rewrite the mechanism as a mapping from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0220 to distributions over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0221, as illustrated in Figure 3(b). Indeed, to replicate the agent's reporting strategy, the mechanism needs to obtain all the information on which the agent conditions her strategy, which potentially is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0222.

However, we show that given a PBE in which the agent conditions her strategy on the payoff-irrelevant part of her private history at some public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0223, another outcome-equivalent PBE exists in which she does not (see Proposition B.1). Thus, conditional on the public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0224, the mechanism, together with the agent's reporting strategy, induces a mapping from Θ to distributions over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0225, so we can always take the set of input messages to be the set of type reports. This result relies on two observations. First, because input messages are payoff irrelevant and unobserved by the principal, if the agent chooses different strategies at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0226 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0227 with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0228, she is indifferent between these two strategies. However, the principal may not be indifferent between these two strategies. Second, we build an alternative strategy for the agent that conditions only on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0229 and yields the same outcome distribution, and hence the same payoff for the principal.

Two implications follow from this step. First, given a public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0230 and the principal's choice of mechanism at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0231, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0232, the auxiliary mapping, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0233, only takes Θ as an input. The mapping urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0234 is a direct mechanism, where the set of input messages are type reports, and for which the agent finds it optimal to truthfully report her type. Second, the relevant part of the principal's beliefs in the game are about the agent's type, θ, and not the agent's private history, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0235. This finding is important because although the auxiliary mapping allows us to replicate the distribution over period-t outcomes induced by the agent's strategy and the mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0236, in a dynamic game, we also need to replicate the distribution over continuation play, and the principal's beliefs are an important component of continuation play.

Output Messages as Beliefs and Canonical Mechanisms

As discussed in Section 2.2, the principal may have other uses for the output messages beyond encoding information about the agent: Conditional on the same posterior belief, (i) he may encode randomizations over the allocation, and (ii) he may use the output message to coordinate continuation play. As the proof of Theorem 1 shows, randomized allocations and public randomization allow us to subsume these two roles of the output messages.

Now, the potential challenge in using the public randomization device to subsume the second role of the output message is that, by definition, the use of the public randomization device in the canonical game can only depend on publicly available information. Instead, because in the auxiliary mapping the agent is reporting truthfully, the output message in the mechanism-selection game is drawn as a function of the agent's type, which allows the principal to coordinate future play above and beyond what he would be able to do by solely relying on the public randomization device in the canonical game.

To overcome this challenge, we leverage here that canonical mechanisms use beliefs as output messages. Note that beliefs are a sufficient statistic for the information about the agent's type that is encoded in the output messages of the mechanism-selection game. Thus, conditional on the induced belief and the allocation, the selection of continuation play contains no further information about the agent's type, which allows us to decompose the mechanism in the mechanism-selection game into a canonical mechanism in the canonical game that uses beliefs as output messages and a public randomization device.

The above argument also explains why, in a canonical mechanism, conditional on the output message, the allocation can be drawn independently of the agent's type (report). Ultimately, conditional on the induced belief, the allocation contains no further information about the agent's type.

Briefly, the proof of this result proceeds as follows (see Proposition B.2). Suppose that the principal offers urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0237 in period t. The principal's belief about the agent's type, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0238, together with the auxiliary mapping, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0239, induces a joint distribution over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0240, where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0241 denotes the public randomization device in the mechanism-selection game. Because conditional on the induced posterior, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0242 carries no further information about the agent's type, this allows us to “split” the mechanism into a transition probability β from Θ to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0243, a transition probability α from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0244 to A, and a transition probability ω from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0245 to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0246. The transition probability α plays the first role of the output message and highlights the importance of allowing the principal to offer randomized allocations. The transition probability ω corresponds to the public randomization device: by Kuratowski's theorem, we can always embed urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0247 into urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0248 (see Srivastava (2008)).

Three conceptual insights arise from this result. First, when the mechanism is canonical, the principal can separate the design of the information that the mechanism encodes about the agent's type from the design of the allocation. Second, the allocation has to be measurable with respect to the information generated by the mechanism: The more the principal desires to tailor the allocation to the agent's type, the more he has to learn about the agent's type through the mechanism. Third, it highlights the coordination role of the mechanism, which is subsumed by the public randomization device: beyond determining today's allocation and the information that is carried forward in the interaction, the mechanism allows the principal to coordinate future play.

Bayes' Rule, Truth Telling, and Participation

Underlying the previous step is the assumption that the beliefs associated with the output messages are determined via Bayes' rule. In particular, the principal is never surprised by any output message he observes. To ensure that beliefs are pinned down by Bayes' rule, Proposition B.2 shows we can “eliminate” from the mechanism all input messages that are used only by types to whom the principal assigns 0 probability. Eliminating these input messages, however, may change the participation decision for types not in the support of the principal's beliefs, which is why a canonical PBE assessment does not require that these types participate in the mechanism.

Instead, it should be intuitive that the agent participates in the mechanism whenever her type is in the support of the principal's beliefs: By relying on the map between output messages and posterior beliefs and the public randomization device, we guarantee that, conditional on participation, the agent faces the same period-t allocation and distribution over continuations as when she did not participate. The map between output messages and beliefs allows us to identify which output message one should associate with the types that chose not to participate: the one that corresponds to the principal's updated belief conditional on nonparticipation. The map between output messages and the public randomization device allows us to replicate the distribution over continuations the agent faces in the PBE of the mechanism-selection game for those types that found it optimal to randomize between participating and not participating.

That beliefs in the support of the mechanism are determined via Bayes' rule has one practical implication that we exploit throughout our analysis of Example 1 and in our concurrent work (Doval and Skreta (2020, 2021)): the mechanism's disclosure rule together with the principal's belief about the agent's type induce a Bayes' plausible distribution over posteriors. As a consequence, we can apply tools from information design to derive qualitative properties of the principal's problem (see Proposition 1). This is where modeling participation as a decision that happens outside the mechanism as opposed to as an input message that locks the outside option as in Figure 3(b) is important: because nonparticipation is a zero-probability event, the principal's beliefs after nonparticipation are not pinned down via Bayes' rule, and hence cannot be necessarily obtained from a Bayes' plausible distribution over posteriors. At the same time, these beliefs cannot be ignored in the analysis, because they determine the continuations after nonparticipation, and hence, the agent's incentives to participate in the first place. By modeling participation as a decision that happens outside of the mechanism, we can rely on the tools of information design to design the mechanism's disclosure rule, while as we illustrate using the application in Example 1, the participation decision is summarized by a participation constraint (see (OPT)).

3.1 The Revelation Principle at Work

We now illustrate the simplifications afforded by Theorem 1 within the context of the application in Example 1. In particular, we show that in order to characterize the seller's revenue maximizing PBE outcome it is enough to characterize the solution to a constrained optimization problem, denoted (OPT), that only involves the seller. This is already in stark contrast to the existing work in mechanism design with limited commitment, which needs to keep track of how the buyer's best response to the seller's mechanism determines the information that the seller obtains from the interaction, which, in turn, affects the seller's incentives to offer the mechanism in the first place.

To arrive at the program that characterizes the seller's maximum revenue, we appeal to Theorem 1. First, in what follows, we restrict attention to the canonical game and to assessments in which the seller offers canonical mechanisms. Second, without loss of generality, we can consider assessments where the buyer's strategy does not depend on the payoff-irrelevant part of the private history. In particular, in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0250, the seller's optimal mechanism only needs to elicit the buyer's payoff relevant type, θ. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0251 denote the seller's posterior belief in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0252. The optimal mechanism in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0253 is a posted price regardless of the properties of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0254 (see Proposition 2 in Skreta (2006)). For each belief, the seller may have in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0255, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0256, we let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0257 denote a selection from the set of optimal prices in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0258 when his belief is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0259.

Third, it is without loss of generality to consider assessments in which (i) the buyer's best response to the seller's equilibrium choice of mechanism in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0264 is to participate and truthfully report her type with probability 1, and (ii) when the output message is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0265, the seller updates his belief to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0266. Moreover, the assumption of quasilinearity implies that, without loss of generality, the seller does not randomize on the transfers: below urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0267 denotes the expected payment conditional on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0268, and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0269 denotes the probability with which the good is sold. Thus, we can write the seller's problem as follows:
urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0270(OPT)
urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0271(PC)
urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0272(IC)
urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0273(BP)
That the seller's belief about the buyer's type updates to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0274 when the output message is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0275 appears twice in the above expression: First, in Equation (BP), which is the Bayes' plausibility constraint and, second, in the objective function, where the seller's payoff in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0276 when the agent's type is θ and his belief is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0277 corresponds to whether θ buys the good at a price of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0278. The latter affords an important simplification: instead of writing the seller's program as one in which the seller chooses a mechanism for period 1 and one for period 2 subject to the constraint that the period 2 mechanism is optimal given the seller's belief in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0279, the program (OPT) has the seller maximize over one-period mechanisms by replacing the seller's best response in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0280 in the seller's objective function.

The two remaining constraints in (OPT) are the buyer's participation and incentive compatibility constraints (equations (PC) and (IC)). The buyer's payoff in the mechanism, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0281, is determined as follows. For each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0282 in the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0283, she receives the good with probability urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0284 and makes a payment of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0285; with the remaining probability, no trade occurs, and she obtains a continuation payoff, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0286, which describes her optimal decision of whether to buy the good at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0287. The participation constraint states that the buyer has to earn a payoff of at least 0 by participating. Indeed, because nonparticipation is a 0 probability event, we can specify that upon rejection of the mechanism, the seller believes the buyer's valuation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0288, so that in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0289, the seller chooses a price of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0290 when the buyer chooses not to participate. The incentive compatibility constraint states that when her type is θ, the buyer cannot obtain a higher payoff by reporting that her type is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0291. When the buyer reports urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0292, she obtains a different distribution over output messages urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0293; however, in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0294, she still chooses optimally whether to buy the good, which explains the term urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0295.

The three constraints in (OPT) provide us with a tractable representation of both the buyer's behavior and its impact on the mechanism offered in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0296 via the information that is generated about the buyer's type in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0297. Thus, instead of having to consider complicated mixed strategies on the part of the agent (see Laffont and Tirole (1988), Bester and Strausz (2001)), we have reduced the problem of characterizing the seller-optimal PBE outcome to the solution of a program (OPT) that combines elements of information design and mechanism design. Indeed, the solution to (OPT) can be leveraged to fully specify the PBE assessment that implements the seller's maximum revenue.

Furthermore, as we show below in Proposition 1, when Θ is finite, (OPT) can be further simplified: without loss of generality we can assume the seller employs mechanisms such that the support of β is finite for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0298.

Proposition 1.Suppose Θ is finite. Fix urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0299 and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0300 denote a canonical PBE assessment of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0301. Then a payoff-equivalent canonical PBE assessment exists such that for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0302 and all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0303, the principal's choice of mechanism at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0304, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0305, satisfies that for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0306, the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0307 is finite.

The proof of Proposition 1 highlights that equation (BP) implies that the mechanism's disclosure rule, β, induces a Bayes' plausible distribution over posteriors. Like in the literature on Bayesian persuasion, we can then rely on Carathéodory's theorem (Rockafellar (1970)) to ensure that the principal and the agent's payoffs remain the same should the principal use a mechanism that employs finitely many posteriors.

Most of the existing analysis of the model in Example 1 is performed for continuum type spaces; we thus revisit (OPT) when Θ is a continuum in Section 4.3. Before doing so, we first explain why it is impossible to endow the set of mechanisms with a measure structure so that the game is well-defined, and then develop a framework in Section 4.2 that is suitable to study mechanism design under limited commitment with continuum types spaces.

4 Continuum Type Spaces

Section 4 considers the case in which the set of types is an uncountable compact Polish space. This extension is important because much of the standard toolkit of mechanism design has been developed for continuum (and convex) type spaces, where the representation of incentive compatible mechanisms can be obtained using the envelope theorem. Section 4.1 reviews the issues raised by Aumann (1961), and hence the difficulties with having a well-defined mechanism-selection game when Θ is uncountable. In particular, we explain why the usual solution to this problem, namely, restricting the principal to choosing mechanisms in a suitably defined set, is not enough for the purpose of deriving a revelation principle. With little loss of continuity, the reader can skip to Section 4.2, where we propose a framework that allows us to sidestep the aforementioned issues and obtain the analogue of Theorem 1 when Θ is uncountable. We then apply our results to Example 1.

4.1 Choosing Functions at Random

To define the mechanism-selection game, a measurable structure on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0308 is needed to define (i) the principal's mixed strategies, (ii) the principal and the agent's expected payoffs from those mixed strategies, and (iii) the principal and the agent's strategies as measurable functions of the histories, which include the past choices of the mechanisms. Focusing on (i) and (ii), Aumann (1961, Theorem D) implies that no suitable measure structure on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0309 exists when the set of input messages is uncountable. Instead, Aumann (1964) circumvents the issue of defining a measurable structure on the set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0310 to define mixed strategies by relying on randomization devices. However, the construction in Aumann (1964) is insufficient for our purposes because the mechanisms chosen by the principal through period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0311 are part of the public histories. Thus, to define the principal and the agent's strategies as measurable functions of the histories, we again face the issue of defining a measurable structure on the set of mechanisms and with the negative answers in Aumann (1961).

For this reason, the literature on competing principals (see, e.g., Attar, Campioni, Mariotti, and Pavan (2021a, 2021b)) follows a different approach: Theorem D in Aumann (1961) implies that the issues raised above would be mute if we restrict the principal to choosing mechanisms from a subset urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0312 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0313, such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0314 is of bounded Borel class. For the purposes of deriving a revelation principle, this approach is again insufficient: Borel classes are not always closed under composition (Srivastava (2008)) and we obtain a canonical mechanism by composing the agent's strategy with the mechanism the principal employs in the mechanism-selection game. Unless the agent's strategy is continuous in her type, the induced canonical mechanism may be of a Borel class strictly larger than that of the original mechanism. Furthermore, different equilibria of the mechanism-selection game may necessitate canonical mechanisms of different Borel classes, which makes the task of defining the canonical game pointless: one would have to potentially consider a different canonical game for each equilibrium of each mechanism-selection game. Lastly, the restriction to a set of mechanisms of bounded Borel class is difficult to work with in applications: only payoffs from deviations to mechanisms within that class are well-defined and, in practice, verifying that only deviations to those mechanisms are being contemplated is difficult.

Motivated by the importance of continuum type spaces, Section 4.2 proposes an approach to model mechanism-selection games that circumvents the above issues.

4.2 PBE-Feasible Outcomes

We develop a framework to characterize the outcomes that can be sustained under limited commitment, which we dub PBE-feasible outcomes and formally define below (Definition 5). By analogy with the mechanism-selection game, we keep the notation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0316 to denote PBE-feasible outcomes. Contrary to the mechanism-selection game, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0317 is now a correspondence describing the set of PBE-feasible outcomes for each period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0318, each principal's belief urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0319, and each sequence of allocations up to period t, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0320, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0321. The reason is that the definition of the set of PBE-feasible outcomes is recursive, and what is PBE-feasible in period t naturally depends on what is PBE-feasible in period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0322.

The discussion in Section 4.1 implies that the framework must sidestep the need to define the principal and the agent's “strategies” as measurable functions of the principal's past choices of mechanisms. There are (at least) two important roles measurability plays in the mechanism-selection game. First, it allows us to describe the agent's behavior along the path of the principal's strategy, which in turn allows us to evaluate the principal's payoff from a given strategy. Second, it allows us to describe how the agent's behavior changes when the principal deviates from the prescribed strategy, which in turn allows us to evaluate the principal's payoff from a deviation from the prescribed strategy. The comparison between these two payoffs determines whether the principal's strategy is sequentially rational.

Informally, the framework circumvents the aforementioned measurability issues as follows. The starting point of the analysis is that we no longer model the principal as a player. Instead, we describe the analogue of a principal's strategy in the mechanism-selection game via an extensive-form game for the agent, which describes the sequence of mechanisms the agent faces as a function of her participation decisions and the outcomes of the mechanisms (Definition 3). Importantly, in this extensive-form game the agent's strategy only depends on her type, her participation decisions, her input messages, and the outcomes of the mechanisms, but not on the mechanisms themselves. The principal's belief about the agent's type together with the agent's strategy define a distribution over the terminal nodes in this extensive form, which allows us to evaluate the principal's payoff from a particular sequence of mechanisms. The final component of the framework is how we define that a particular extensive form is sequentially rational for the principal; in other words, that the principal does not wish to revise the mechanisms that define the extensive form at any point in time (Definition 4). Here, we rely on two ideas. First, to determine whether the principal wishes to revise the mechanisms that define the extensive form, we only need to know the outcome distributions the principal expects he will face in the event of a deviation (equation (1)). Second, these outcome distributions can be defined without reference to a strategy of the agent that conditions on the sequence of mechanisms that has been offered so far.

We now formally define the set of PBE-feasible outcomes, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0323, for each period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0324, and pair urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0325 (Definition 5). Because the definition is recursive, we fix a period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0326, and a pair urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0327 throughout. Definition 5 consists of three components, which we introduce first: (i) the sequence of mechanisms offered by the principal (Definition 3), (ii) optimal behavior by the agent within those mechanisms, and (iii) the outcome distributions the principal anticipates upon a deviation (equation (1)). For simplicity, we assume the principal has one set of input and output messages, that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0328, and we use the shorthand notation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0329 to denote the set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0330.

Dynamic Mechanisms

Instead of having the principal be a player in a game, we describe the analogue of the principal's strategy via a dynamic mechanism, defined as follows.

Definition 3. (Dynamic mechanisms)For urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0331 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0332, a dynamic mechanism given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0333, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0334, is a sequence of measurable mappings urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0335, such that for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0336 and all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0337:

  • 1. urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0338 is a measurable function, and
  • 2. for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0339, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0340.

When urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0341, a dynamic mechanism describes the mechanism the agent faces in period 1, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0342, the mechanism the agent faces in period 2 as a function of the agent's participation decision (i.e., whether urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0343), and the realization of the public randomization device, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0344, and so on. Consider now urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0345 and suppose the allocation so far is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0346. Then we require that the dynamic mechanism only implements allocations that are feasible given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0347.

As we explain next, a dynamic mechanism defines an extensive-form game for the agent.

Agent-Extensive Form

Given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0348, a dynamic mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0349 defines an extensive-form game for the agent, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0350, as follows. First, nature draws the agent's type according to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0351. Having observed her type, suppose that in stage urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0352, the public history is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0353. Then, faced with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0354, the agent decides whether to participate, and conditional on participating, her reporting strategy. If the agent rejects urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0355, the “output message” is ∅ and the allocation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0356. Instead, if she accepts urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0357, she chooses an input message urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0358 that determines the distribution from which the output message and the allocation are drawn, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0359. In both cases, we proceed to stage urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0360.

In the agent-extensive form urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0361, there are two types of histories. The public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0362 encodes the agent's participation in the mechanism, the realized output messages and allocations, and the realizations of the public randomization device. The private histories encode everything the agent knows: her payoff-relevant type θ, the public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0363, and her past input messages. In a slight abuse of notation, we denote by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0364 the set of agent histories consistent with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0365.

Importantly, we do not need to encode the mechanisms defining urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0366 in the histories of the agent-extensive form, because the mechanisms are akin to a move by nature in the extensive form urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0367. It thus follows that in the agent-extensive form we can define the agent's strategy, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0368, as a measurable function of the private histories.

Finally, we note that the agent evaluates the payoffs of a strategy in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0369 using urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0370. We are now ready to define optimal play by the agent in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0371.

Agent-PBE

Together with the agent strategy urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0372, we can also define a system of beliefs urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0373, which describes for each period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0374 and for each public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0375, the principal's beliefs over the private histories, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0376.

We say that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0377 is an agent-PBE of the agent-extensive form urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0378 if the agent's strategy is sequentially rational (under payoffs urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0379) and the belief system satisfies Bayes' rule where possible. Although the belief system is not needed to test whether the agent's strategy is optimal in the extensive-form game, it is needed to test the optimality of the principal's choice of mechanism.

Proposition B.1 applies verbatim, allowing us to conclude that for every agent-PBE urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0380 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0381, an outcome equivalent urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0382 exists, in which the agent's strategy only conditions on her type and the public history. This property is responsible for the recursive nature of the set of PBE-feasible outcomes here and also in the mechanism-selection game. Hereafter, when we say agent-PBE, we mean one that satisfies the above property.

(Continuation) Outcome Distributions

An agent-PBE urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0383 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0384 defines a distribution over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0385, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0386, that satisfies two conditions. First, the marginal on Θ is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0387. Second, the distribution is supported on those tuples urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0388 such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0389 coincides with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0390 through urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0391. (Appendix E.1 in the Online Supplementary Material contains the formal definition.)

Furthermore, at any history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0392, the belief assessment together with the dynamic mechanisms and the agent's strategy, defines a continuation outcome, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0393, whose marginal on Θ coincides with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0394 and assigns positive probability to those allocations that are consistent with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0395 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0396.

Principal's Sequential Rationality

Fix a dynamic mechanism given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0397, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0398, and an agent-PBE urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0399 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0400. Suppose that the principal considers offering mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0401 instead of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0402. In order to determine whether the principal wishes to deviate to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0403, we need to determine the outcome distributions that can follow urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0404. We denote this set by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0405 and is defined as follows:
urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0406(1)
In words, an outcome urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0407 is in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0408 if it satisfies two properties. First, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0409 for a dynamic mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0410 such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0411 is the period t-mechanism and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0412 is an agent-PBE given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0413. Second, continuation outcomes are PBE-feasible. The reason that we are able to require that continuation outcomes are PBE-feasible is that whenever the agent does not condition her strategy on the payoff-irrelevant part of the private history the following holds: If urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0414 is an agent-PBE of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0415, then for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0416, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0417 is an agent-PBE of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0418.

While we can use the set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0419 to test whether the principal has a deviation from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0420 at the root of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0421, Definition 4 also describes how we test for sequential rationality at later points in the agent-extensive form.

Definition 4. (Sequential rationality)Fix urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0422, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0423, a dynamic mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0424 given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0425, and an agent-PBE urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0426 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0427. urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0428 is sequentially rational given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0429 if the following hold:

  • 1. For all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0430, a distribution urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0431 exists such that the principal prefers urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0432 to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0433; that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0434.
  • 2. For all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0435, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0436.

The first part of Definition 4 states that the principal has no deviations in period t. The second part says that the principal has no deviations in periods urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0437: the continuation outcome distribution induced by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0438 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0439 is PBE-feasible in the continuation.

Definition 4 resembles the sequential rationality conditions in the mechanism-selection game, except for one important aspect: when we consider the outcomes the principal faces in the event of a deviation, we do not require that the agent's strategy is measurable in any way with respect to the history of mechanisms so far. By contrast, underlying the definition of the mechanism-selection game is the ability to measurably select as a function of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0442 (in fact, as a function of the whole sequence of mechanisms that has been offered through period urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0443) the outcomes that the principal faces in the event of a deviation.

We are now ready to define the set of PBE feasible outcomes at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0444, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0445.

Definition 5. (PBE-feasible outcomes)Fix urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0446, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0447. The distribution urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0448 is PBE-feasible at (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0449,urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0450) if a dynamic mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0451 given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0452 and an agent-PBE urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0453 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0454 exist such that:

  • 1. η is the outcome distribution induced by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0455 in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0456, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0457,
  • 2. urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0458 is sequentially rational given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0459.

urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0460 denotes the set of PBE-feasible outcomes at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0461.

By varying urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0462, we can define the set of PBE-feasible outcomes when the principal can offer mechanisms whose input and output messages are urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0463. Like in Theorem 1, our interest is in the canonical-PBE-feasible outcomes, that is, those outcomes that are induced by canonical dynamic mechanisms urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0464 (Definition 1) and canonical-agent PBE of the extensive-form game urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0465. In a slight abuse of notation, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0466 denote the correspondence of canonical-PBE-feasible outcomes when urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0467.

Theorem 2.For all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0468 and pairs urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0469, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0470.

The proof of Theorem 2, which can be found in Appendix E.4 in the Online Supplementary Material, follows almost immediately from that in Theorem 1. The only difference is that the proof of Theorem 2 must account for the explicit recursive structure of the sets urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0471 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0472. In particular, we are implicitly defining urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0473 by requiring that the continuation outcomes are drawn from the (continuation) set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0474. However, in accounting for this difference, we illustrate how both sets can be defined in terms of an operator similar to that considered in Abreu, Pearce, and Stacchetti (1990), which in turn could be used in an application to characterize these sets.

We conclude Section 4 by illustrating the framework in Section 4.2 within Example 1.

4.3 Example 1 Revisited

We now consider Example 1 under the assumption that the set of types is a continuum. Formally, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0475, for some finite urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0476. In what follows, we use the standard cdf notation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0477 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0478 to denote the seller's prior and posterior beliefs, instead of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0479 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0480 as in Section 3.1.

Seller's Program

We first argue that the program (OPT) continues to represent the seller's maximum revenue under a PBE-feasible outcome distribution. By Theorem 2, it continues to be without loss of generality to assume the seller chooses dynamic canonical mechanisms and to analyze the canonical agent-PBE of the game induced by the canonical dynamic mechanism. The only difference between the program (OPT) and the framework in Section 4.2 is that in (OPT) the seller only chooses the urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0481 mechanism, instead of a dynamic mechanism. However, this distinction is inconsequential: One of the conditions in Definition 5 is that given the seller's belief urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0482, the urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0483-outcome distribution is PBE-feasible in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0484. It follows that the urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0485-mechanism chosen by the seller must maximize his revenue given his posterior belief about the buyer. Proposition 2 in Skreta (2006) implies the urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0486-mechanism is a posted price as a function of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0487, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0488.

Virtual Surplus Representation

The assumption of a continuum of types allows us to apply standard mechanism design tools to represent the seller's payoff as a function of the allocation rule and the distribution over posteriors implied by the mechanism. To see this, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0489 denote the buyer's virtual value.

As we show in Appendix C, the incentive constraints deliver the envelope representation of the buyer's payoffs, so we can replace the transfers out of the seller's payoff and reduce (OPT) to the following program. In period 1, the seller chooses a distribution over posteriors, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0490, and for each posterior he induces, a probability of trade urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0491 to solve
urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0492(2)
subject to (i) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0493 must be Bayes' plausible given urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0494 and (ii) a monotonicity condition, which states that, in expectation, higher types must trade with higher probability (see equation (18) in Appendix C). Equation (2) describes the seller's payoff in terms of the distribution over posteriors induced by the mechanism. If at posterior urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0495 the seller sells the good (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0496), he obtains the expected virtual surplus, where the expectation is calculated using urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0497, but the virtual values are calculated using urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0498. This reflects that the probability with which the seller pays rents to a buyer of type θ is measured by the probability urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0499 that buyer types below θ receive the good. Instead, if at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0500 the seller does not sell the good (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0501) he obtains the (discounted) expected virtual surplus of selling the good at price urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0502. Although the posted price in period 2 is optimal with respect to the posterior virtual values urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0503, it may not be for the prior virtual values. This reflects the conflict between the period 1 and period 2 sellers: if they hold different beliefs about the buyer's type, they pay rents with different probabilities and, therefore, may prefer different mechanisms.

Although the solution to the problem in equation (2) is beyond the scope of this paper, the virtual surplus representation of the seller's problem allows us to expand on what is known about the sale of a durable good under limited commitment. Skreta (2006) shows that, among the mechanisms in Bester and Strausz (2001), posted-prices are the optimal mechanism for the seller. Instead, when endowed with canonical mechanisms, Proposition 2 provides conditions under which the seller will profitably deviate from the optimal posted price mechanism. In other words, the outcome distribution induced by posted prices is not PBE-feasible.

Proposition 2. (Posted prices not PBE-feasible)Assume urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0504 is strictly increasing and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0505. Then urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0506 exists such that for all discount factors urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0507, the outcome distribution implemented by posted prices is not PBE-feasible.

The proof of Proposition 2 is constructive. Starting from the optimal posted-price mechanism, we show the seller can deviate to an obfuscated nonuniform pricing mechanism. This mechanism is characterized by five parameters urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0508 and works as follows. Pricing is nonuniform because in period 1 types above urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0509 are served with probability 1 and pay urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0510, while types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0511 are rationed, that is, they are served with probability γ and pay urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0512 if they receive the good. The remaining types are not served in period 1 and pay nothing. It is obfuscated because when urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0513, the seller observes whether the good is sold in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0514, but not whether the buyer's type is above or below urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0515. Nonuniform pricing has been studied in the durable goods literature under commitment and limited capacity (see Loertscher and Muir (2021) and the references therein). Instead, Denicolo and Garella (1999) show that obfuscation may benefit a durable goods seller if he cannot commit to the sequence of posted prices. As we explain next, it is the combination of nonuniform pricing and obfuscation that makes this mechanism more attractive to the seller than the optimal posted-price mechanism.

The proof of Proposition 2 shows the optimal posted-price mechanism is, in a sense, costly for the seller when the seller is patient: to avoid offering low prices in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0516, the seller does not trade with buyer types with positive virtual values in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0517. Instead, by carefully designing the interval urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0518, the obfuscated nonuniform pricing mechanism allows the seller to serve these buyer types with positive probability in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0519, without necessarily lowering the price in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0520. The proof constructs a deviation to such a mechanism that guarantees that the unique best response for the buyer is to participate and truthfully report her type. It follows that in this setting the set of continuation outcomes described in equation (1) is not large enough to deter the seller from this deviation.

We conclude Section 4.3 by discussing the reason that, unlike Skreta (2006), other mechanisms within our class can outperform posted prices in a two-period setting.

Remark 2. (Comparison with [Skreta] ([2006]))To understand why in our two-period example the seller can do better than by using the optimal posted price mechanism, it is instructive to compare the incentive constraints in (OPT) with those implied by mechanisms where the seller observes the buyer's choice of input message as in, for instance, Laffont and Tirole (1988), Bester and Strausz (2001), Skreta (2006). Although not expressed in the language of type reports or beliefs, the incentive constraints in Skreta (2006) require that for each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0521 in the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0522, the buyer prefers the tuple urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0523 to any other tuple urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0524 in the mechanism. In particular, the buyer must be indifferent between any two tuples that she chooses with positive probability. Contrast this with the incentive constraints in (OPT), where the buyer is not necessarily indifferent between the tuples urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0525 in the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0526, although in expectation, the lottery she faces over such tuples under truth telling must be better than the one she faces by lying. Indeed, in the obfuscated nonuniform pricing mechanism, the seller exploits the weaker incentive constraints in (OPT): Buyer types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0527 are not indifferent between receiving the good in period 1 at the rationing price and receiving the good in period 2.

However, for longer horizons, the comparison of the seller's payoffs in the two models is not obvious because the larger set of canonical mechanisms also implies the seller has a larger set of deviations in our model than in the model in Skreta (2006).

The previous discussion highlights that under limited commitment, the principal may benefit from employing mechanisms where the output message (and hence, the allocation) does not reveal the input message that the agent submitted into the mechanism. Contrast this to the standard revelation principle for the case of commitment when the principal faces a privately informed agent (adverse selection): as we explained in the Introduction, it follows from the result in Myerson (1982) that it is without loss of generality in that case to consider mechanisms whereby the principal learns the input message from observing the realization of the output message. Instead, Myerson (1982) shows that adding “noise” to the communication may be essential when the principal also faces an agent whose actions are not contractible (moral hazard). Indeed, pooling in the same output message different types of the privately informed agent to incentivize the agent whose action is not contractible to follow the recommendation may be beneficial. Mechanism design with limited commitment is closer to the hybrid model of adverse selection and moral hazard in Myerson (1982) than it is to the model of pure adverse selection. Indeed, note that in a given period, the principal faces, in a sense, two agents whose incentives he needs to manage: the privately informed agent (adverse selection) and his future self, whose choice of mechanism is not contractible (moral hazard). That is, today's principal needs to elicit the agent's information while simultaneously ensuring his future behavior is sequentially rational. In the same way that output messages are key in the presence of moral hazard in Myerson (1982), they feature prominently in our framework.

Following Myerson (1982), it would have been natural to consider mechanisms where output messages encode a recommended sequence of mechanisms from tomorrow onward. However, the language of recommendations is self-referential because the set of output messages would refer to continuation mechanisms, which are themselves defined by a set of output messages. Instead, the language of posterior beliefs avoids this potential infinite-regress problem, allowing us to identify a canonical set of output messages for mechanism design with limited commitment.

5 Conclusions and Further Directions

This paper provides a revelation principle for dynamic mechanism-selection games in which the designer can only commit to short-term mechanisms. In doing so, it opens the door to the study of the implications of limited commitment in fundamental problems in economics and political economy, such as optimal taxation, redistribution, and the design of social insurance (Sleet and Yeltekin (2008), Farhi et al. (2012), Golosov and Iovino (2021)), or environmental regulation (Hiriart, Martimort, and Pouyet (2011)), which due to the difficulties with the revelation principle, have only been studied within simple informational environments, such as fully nonpersistent private information. Since our model allows for nonseparable payoffs and nontransferable utility, our results can be used in a broad range of applications.

A cornerstone of the analysis is the idea that a mechanism should encode not only the rules that determine the allocation, but also the information the designer obtains from the interaction with the agent. We expect that the idea that the mechanism's output messages should encode at the very least the principal's information about the agent is more far-reaching and carries to other forms of limited commitment, such as renegotiation with long-term mechanisms, where versions of the revelation principle have proved equally elusive. However, other aspects of our analysis may not carry immediately to the analysis of renegotiation: indeed, Proposition B.1 uncovered that PBE outcomes have a recursive structure. In games with time-separable payoffs, Proposition B.1 implies PBE payoffs can be characterized by relying on self-generating techniques as in Abreu, Pearce, and Stacchetti (1990) and Athey and Bagwell (2008), reducing the analysis of a complex dynamic game essentially to a series of static problems (see Doval and Skreta (2020) for an application).

At the same time, by highlighting the canonical role of beliefs as the signals employed by the mechanism, our work opens up a new avenue for research in information design. Indeed, as the analysis in Section 4.3 and our companion work, Doval and Skreta (2021), highlights, developing information design tools for continuum type spaces when the designer's payoff does not depend only on the posterior mean would contribute to our understanding of classical problems in mechanism design.

  • 1 The “revelation principle” denotes a class of results in mechanism design; see, for instance, Myerson (1982).
  • 2 The class of mechanisms considered in Bester and Strausz (2001) encompasses the mechanisms considered by most papers in the literature on limited commitment starting from Laffont and Tirole (1988).
  • 3 Theorem 1 also opens the door to the analysis of optimal mechanisms under limited commitment in infinite-horizon settings. See Doval and Skreta (2020), where we solve an infinite-horizon binary-type version of the sale of a durable good.
  • 4 Remark 2 discusses how canonical mechanisms differ from the mechanisms in Skreta (2006), which explains the difference in the results.
  • 5 A designer's lack of commitment can take various forms that are not considered in this paper but have been studied in others. See, for instance, McAdams and Schwarz (2007), Vartiainen (2013), and Akbarpour and Li (2020), in which the designer cannot commit even to obeying the rules of the current mechanism.
  • 6 To simultaneously analyze the cases of finite and infinite horizon, we abuse notation as follows. When urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0010, and notation of the form urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0011, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0012, or urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0013 appears, we take this to mean urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0014, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0015, or urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0016, respectively.
  • 7 In what follows, we adopt the following notational conventions. First, all Polish spaces are endowed with their Borel σ-algebra. Second, product spaces are endowed with their product σ-algebra. Third, for a Polish space, Y, we let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0035 denote the set of all Borel probability measures over Y, endowed with the urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0036 topology. Thus, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0037 is also a Polish space (Aliprantis and Border (2006)). For any two measurable spaces, X and Y, a transition probability from X to Y is a measurable function urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0038. When integrating under the measure urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0039, we use the notation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0040.
  • 8 To be precise, the set of all mechanisms is not constructible under Zermelo–Fraenkel's set theory, with the axiom of choice, since its axioms preclude Russell's paradox.
  • 9 Because the set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0097 is Polish, the public and private histories are Polish, because they are the (at most) countable product of Polish spaces.
  • 10 The only difference between Bayes' rule where possible (Definition A.2) and consistency in sequential equilibrium is that under PBE, the principal can assign zero probability to a type and then, after the agent deviates, can assign positive probability to that same type.
  • 11 The 1 in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0159 denotes the agent's decision to participate in mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0160.
  • 12 Whereas items 2a and 2b of Definition 2 imply the agent's strategy depends only on her private type and the public history on the path of the equilibrium strategy starting at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0161, item 3 implies this property also holds off the path of the equilibrium strategy starting at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0162, for example, when the principal deviates and offers a mechanism not in the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0163.
  • 13 Note this is not a matter of cardinality, but a consequence of the restriction that output beliefs must coincide with equilibrium beliefs. Ultimately, by Kuratowski's theorem (Srivastava (2008)), urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0173 is in bijection with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0174, so the number of messages is sufficient to encode both the beliefs and the suggested continuation play.
  • 14 The same idea arises in the literature on Bayesian persuasion. Implicit in the result in Kamenica and Gentzkow (2011) that any experiment can be written as a distribution over posteriors is the assumption that the receiver breaks ties in favor of the sender. Unlike in Bayesian persuasion, it is not clear that the players may be indifferent between two continuation equilibria, so the public randomization device does not generally reduce to simple tie-breaking.
  • 15 Appendix B proves Theorem 1 under the assumption of finitely many types and that the principal only offers mechanisms M such that for all input messages urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0203, the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0204 is finite. This simple proof mirrors the complete one in Appendix D.1 in the Online Supplementary Material, but it is technically simpler and more accessible.
  • 16 This construction is the standard one whereby the nonparticipation decision is included as an option in the mechanism. At the end of the overview, we address why we model participation as a separate decision.
  • 17 This result is useful also in applications. It states that in our game, the set of PBE payoffs coincides with the set of public PBE payoffs (Athey and Bagwell (2008)). In games with time-separable payoffs, public PBE payoffs are amenable to self-generation techniques, as in Abreu, Pearce, and Stacchetti (1990). See Doval and Skreta (2020).
  • 18 Contrast this case with the one in which the principal has commitment, where we write a mechanism as a menu of options, one for each type of the agent. We do so even if the optimal mechanism offers the same allocation to a set of agent types. When the principal has commitment, whether the allocation reveals more information beyond the set of types that receive that allocation is irrelevant, because additional information can always be ignored. Under limited commitment, however, this is not the case, and the principal in general trades off tailoring the allocation to the agent's type and the information that is learned through this.
  • 19 If an agent's type has zero probability at a specific public history, she can only reach it through a deviation from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0249. This change to the mechanism actually makes the deviation less attractive, and hence, it “disincentivizes” the agent from deviating in the first place.
  • 20 Starting from an equilibrium in which the mechanism is rejected with positive probability, this belief is also determined via Bayes' rule.
  • 21 The seller may be indifferent in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0260 among several prices. In that case, as in the literature on Bayesian persuasion, we determine the tie-breaking rule as a solution to the seller's problem in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0261 (see (OPT)). Note that because of public randomization the selection from the set of optimal prices in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0262 at belief urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0263 may be random. However, our notation does not account for this explicitly to simplify the presentation.
  • 22 For an illustration of this, see our companion work (Doval and Skreta (2020)).
  • 23 For uncountable M, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0315 is not of bounded Borel class (Aumann (1961)).
  • 24 Indeed, we only need the principal's belief urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0440 and the allocations so far urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0441 to describe what is PBE-feasible from period t onward. In a sense, the past mechanisms and output messages are bygones.
  • 25 Equation (2) defines an information design problem with a continuum state space where the designer's payoff depends on more than just the posterior mean, and hence is outside the scope of the existing tools in information design (cf., Kolotilin (2018), Dworczak and Martini (2019)).
  • 26 Denicolo and Garella (1999) consider a two-period model, where in each period the seller can choose both a price at which to sell the good, and a probability γ at which the buyer who wants to buy the good at the posted price receives the good. Implicit in their analysis is that the seller only observes whether the good is sold but not whether the buyer is willing to buy the good at the posted price.
  • 27 Online Appendix D provides a formal definition of this distribution.
  • 28 Note that if urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0670 and θ is such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0671, then urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0672.
  • Appendix A: Collected Definitions and Notation

    Appendix A introduces the necessary notation to define the payoffs from an assessment, and hence, the definition of perfect Bayesian equilibrium. It also collects notation that is used in the proofs. Throughout this section and also for most of Appendix B, we assume that Θ is finite and the mechanisms used by the principal have finite support and defer the proof of Theorem 1 for the general case to the Online Appendix.

    Shorthand Notation

    To simplify notation, we do not explicitly include the agent's decision to participate in the mechanism in the histories of the game. Instead, we follow the convention that if the agent does not participate, the input message is ∅, the output message is ∅, and the allocation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0528. With this convention in mind, we let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0529, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0530 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0531, denote the private and public outcomes in a given period when the principal uses a mechanism with labels urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0532.

    Also, given a mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0533, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0534 denote the tuple urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0535, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0536, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0537, which summarizes the period-t outcomes from offering urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0538, where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0539. Note that any public history at the beginning of period t can be written as urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0540, with the convention that when urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0541, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0542 for some urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0543. Finally, given an assessment, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0544, it is useful to collapse the distribution on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0545, defined by
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0546(A.1)
    and we denote it by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0547.

    Perfect Bayesian Equilibrium

    To define Perfect Bayesian equilibrium, we need to define the principal and the agent's payoff from a given assessment. To do so, fix an assessment, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0548. The prior urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0549 and the strategy profile urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0550 induce a probability distribution over the terminal histories urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0551, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0552, via the Ionescu–Tulcea theorem (Pollard (2002)). Moreover, fixing t and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0553, the measure urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0554 corresponds to the measure induced by drawing with probability 1 urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0555 and then using the continuation strategy profile to determine the distribution over the continuation histories. Fix a public history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0556. The principal's payoff at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0557 is given by
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0558
    where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0559 is the allocation through the beginning of period t that is consistent with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0560 (with the convention that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0561). Note that the principal's payoff from offering urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0562 at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0563, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0564, depends on the belief system μ only through urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0565.
    For any mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0566, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0567 equals
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0568
    The principal's beliefs at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0569, together with mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0570 and the agent's strategy, define a distribution over the continuation public histories as follows:
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0571(A.2)
    With this notation in hand, we can express the principal's payoff urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0572 as
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0573(A.3)
    Similarly, the agent's payoff at private history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0574, when the principal offers mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0575, is given by
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0576(A.4)
    With this, we can formally define perfect Bayesian equilibrium.

    Definition A.1.An assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0577 is sequentially rational if for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0578 and public histories urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0579 the following hold:

    • 1. If urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0580 is in the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0581, then urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0582 for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0583,
    • 2. For all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0584, and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0585 in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0586, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0587 for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0588.

    Definition A.2.An assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0589 satisfies Bayes' rule where possible if for all public histories urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0590 and mechanisms urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0591 the following holds:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0592(A.5)

    Definition A.3.An assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0593 is a perfect Bayesian equilibrium if it is sequentially rational and satisfies Bayes' rule where possible.

    Prunning

    Given a mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0594, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0595. The set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0596 has zero probability regardless of the agent's strategy. Hence, if we remove from the tree those paths that are consistent with mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0597 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0598, this does not change the set of equilibrium outcomes. Hereafter, these histories are removed from the tree.

    Principal Pure Strategies

    Lemma D.1 in Online Appendix D.2 shows that without loss of generality, we can focus on PBE assessments of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0599 in which the principal plays a pure strategy. So in what follows, we focus on PBE assessments that satisfy Lemma D.1.

    Appendix B: Proof of Theorem 1

    The proof of Theorem 1 follows from the proof of Propositions B.1B.2 below.

    Proposition B.1.For every PBE assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0600 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0601, an outcome-equivalent PBE assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0602 exists such that the agent's strategy only depends on her type and the public history.

    We relegate the proof of Proposition B.1 to Online Appendix D.1.1. In what follows, we focus on PBE of the mechanism-selection game that satisfy the properties of Proposition B.1 and abuse notation in the following two ways: First, we write the agent's strategy as a function of her private type and the public history alone, with the understanding that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0603 whenever urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0604. Similarly, we write the belief system at history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0605 as inducing distributions over Θ and not over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0606.

    Proposition B.2.Fix urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0607 and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0608 be a PBE assessment of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0609 that satisfies Proposition B.1. Then an outcome-equivalent canonical PBE assessment urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0610 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0611 exists.

    Proof of Proposition B.2.Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0612 be as in the statement of Proposition B.2. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0613 be a public history and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0614 denote the mechanism that the principal offers at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0615 under urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0616. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0617 denote the support of the principal's beliefs at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0618, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0619.

    For types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0620, use equation (3) to define an auxiliary mapping urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0621, as follows:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0622(B.6)
    That is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0623 corresponds to the direct version of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0624 for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0625; we use it in what follows to construct an alternative mechanism for the principal, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0626, that uses message sets urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0627.

    Omitting the dependence on (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0628, μ), recall that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0629 denotes the probability of history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0630 under the equilibrium strategy when the principal offers urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0631 at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0632 (equation (4)). Equation (4) implies we can write urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0633 using urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0634 as follows:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0635
    In what follows, to simplify notation we omit the dependence of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0636 on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0637.

    The first step is to show that the distribution over continuation histories urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0638 can be seen as inducing a distribution over posterior beliefs, allocations, and realizations of a public randomization device. To see this, for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0639, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0640 denote the set

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0641
    and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0642 denote the projection of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0643 onto urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0644. In what follows, for any subset urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0645, we abuse notation and write urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0646 instead of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0647.

    Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0648 denote the smallest subset of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0649 such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0650. That is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0651 is the set of principal posterior beliefs that are pinned down via Bayes' rule. We can write the principal's payoff at history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0652 when he offers urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0653 as follows:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0654(B.7)
    The above equation shows two ways in which we can think of the distribution over continuation histories starting from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0655. The first is standard: we draw history (urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0656,urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0657) using the distribution induced by the equilibrium strategy, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0658. The second is the one that delivers the canonical mechanisms: we first draw a belief μ using the distribution over continuation equilibrium beliefs induced by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0659 and then we draw an allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0660, conditional on the continuation equilibrium belief coinciding with μ. The principal's posterior belief μ and the allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0661 may still not be enough to pin down the continuation history, so we draw the output message urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0662 conditional on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0663 being consistent with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0664 and μ.

    The second step is to show that, conditional on the induced posterior belief μ, (i) the probability that the allocation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0665 is independent of θ, and (ii) the probability that the output message is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0666 is independent of θ. To see this, note that for any belief urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0667, for any urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0668 and for any θ such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0669, we have

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0673(B.8)
    That is, the principal updates to μ either when (i) he observes urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0674, (ii) he learns that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0675 is the realized allocation, that is, he learns that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0676, or (iii) he learns that the output message and the allocation belong to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0677. Thus, for all θ in the support of μ, we have
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0678(B.9)
    where each of the equalities follows from applying equation (10). Equation (11) shows (i) the probability that the allocation is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0679 conditional on the induced belief being μ is independent of θ, and (ii) the probability that the output message is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0680 conditional on the allocation being urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0681 and the induced belief μ is independent of θ. It follows that for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0682, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0683 and for all θ in the support of μ, we can split the auxiliary mapping as follows:
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0684
    where the last equality follows from the last equality in equation (10).

    Thus, the agent's payoff at history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0685, when the principal offers mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0686 and her type is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0687, can be written as follows:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0688(B.10)
    The difference between the principal and the agent's payoff in equations (9) and (12) is that the agent cares only about the distribution over urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0689 conditional on θ, whereas the principal's payoff is expressed in terms of the unconditional distribution. For this reason, the agent's payoff features the term urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0690.

    We now define the canonical mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0691: First, for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0692,

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0693
    where the decomposition in terms of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0694, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0695 is well-defined because of the independence properties highlighted after equation (11). Second, if urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0696, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0697 denote the solution to
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0698(B.11)
    and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0699. Change the principal's strategy at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0700 so that he offers urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0701 instead of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0702. Change the agent's strategy so that, conditional on participating, the agent truthfully reports her type, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0703.

    For urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0704 and allocation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0705, enumerate the output messages in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0706 as urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0707. (We omit the dependence of K on μ and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0708 to simplify notation.) Define the sequence urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0709 such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0710, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0711 and for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0712,

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0713
    Modify the continuation strategies as follows: for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0714 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0715, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0716 coincide with urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0717. Note these strategies imply the principal and the agent's payoffs remain the same as in the original equilibrium whenever urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0718. Furthermore, modify the continuation strategies so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0719.

    For θ in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0720, set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0721. For types not in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0722, use equation (13) to compute urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0723 accordingly. Conditional on participating, the agent can guarantee at most the payoff from imitating the strategy followed by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0724 for some urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0725. This strategy was already feasible in the original PBE, so the agent has no new deviations. It follows that the new assessment is a PBE of the auxiliary game. Q.E.D.

    B.1 Proof of Proposition 1

    Fix urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0726 and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0727 denote a canonical PBE of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0728, like the one constructed in Proposition B.2. Fix a history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0729 and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0730 denote the mechanism the principal offers at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0731 under urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0732. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0733 denote the support of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0734. To simplify notation, we use the shorthand notation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0735 to denote the principal and the agent's payoff vector at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0736 when the agent participates in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0737, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0738. Theorem 1 implies that for the principal and for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0739, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0740 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0741 are their equilibrium payoffs at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0742.

    Similar steps to those in the proof of Proposition B.2 in Online Appendix D.1 imply a distribution urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0743 exists such that for all measurable subsets urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0744 of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0745 and for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0746,
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0747
    Therefore, we can write the principal and the agent's payoffs as follows:
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0748
    where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0749 is as in the proof of Proposition B.2 (recall equation (13)). Finally, note that the payoff of the agent of type θ from reporting urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0750 at history urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0751 when the mechanism is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0752, and then following her equilibrium strategy is given by
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0753
    The notation urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0754 denotes that these are the payoffs that θ obtains from deviating to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0755. The payoff urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0756 can be similarly defined for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0757 using urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0758 as in the definition of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0759.
    Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0760. Define urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0761. Because Θ is finite, Rubin and Wesler (1958) implies that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0762. Letting urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0763, Caratheodory's theorem implies urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0764 exists such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0765 can be written as the convex combination of M elements of C. That is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0766 exist such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0767, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0768, and
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0769
    Consider the following canonical mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0770: For types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0771, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0772, and otherwise, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0773. For types not in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0774, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0775. Furthermore, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0776. Modify the PBE assessment so that the principal offers urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0777 at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0778. Furthermore, modify the continuation strategies so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0779 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0780. Clearly, mechanism urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0781 delivers the same payoff to the principal and the agent conditional on the agent participating and truthfully reporting her type. We now show it is optimal for the agent to truthfully report her type. Suppose the agent of type θ reports instead that her type is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0782 (the case urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0783 is similar). In this case, she obtains
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0784
    Since urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0785, then truth telling is still optimal. Thus, because the payoffs from participating and not participating are the same as in the original assessment for all types, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0786 is a best response.

    Appendix C: Proofs of Section 4.3

    Envelope Theorem

    We establish the envelope theorem and the virtual surplus representation of the seller's payoff. The buyer's payoff in the mechanism when her type is θ is given by
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0787(C.12)
    where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0788. Equation (15) defines the buyer's payoff when her type is θ and she deviates by first reporting urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0789 and then following urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0790's strategy in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0791:
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0792(C.13)
    where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0793. The optimality of truth telling implies urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0794. We now establish that the family urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0795 is equi-Lipschitz continuous. To see this, let θ, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0796 such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0797 and consider
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0798
    Moreover, for θ in the interior of Θ we have that
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0799
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0800 is then Lipschitz continuous because it is the maximum over a family of equi-Lipschitz continuous functions. Thus, it is differentiable almost everywhere. Theorem 1 in Milgrom and Segal (2002) implies that at any point of differentiability of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0801,
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0802
    It follows that
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0803(C.14)
    where we are already replacing that at the optimum, transfers will be chosen so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0804. Recall from (OPT) that the seller's revenue is given by urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0805. Replacing the transfers (equation (16)) and integrating by parts, we obtain
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0806(C.15)
    Denote by P the distribution on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0807 defined as urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0808, for all measurable subsets urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0809, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0810 of Θ and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0811. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0812 denote its marginal on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0813, Pollard (2002, Appendix F, Theorem 6) implies equation (17) equals
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0814
    which is the expression in equation (2).

    Monotonicity

    Together with the envelope representation of the buyer's payoffs, the mechanism must also satisfy the following monotonicity constraint for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0815:
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0816(C.16)

    Proof of Proposition 2.We first establish properties that the optimal posted-price mechanism satisfies. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0817 denote the distribution of θ conditional on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0818. Since urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0819 is strictly increasing, it follows that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0820 is also strictly increasing. Furthermore, since urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0821, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0822 and there exists a unique urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0823 such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0824. It follows that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0825. The theorem of the maximum implies that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0826 is continuous in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0827. Thus, the optimal posted-price mechanism solves

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0828(C.17)
    The theorem of the maximum implies that a solution exists. Note that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0829, where urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0830 is the monopoly price, that is, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0831. For each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0832, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0833 denote a solution to the problem in equation (19) and define
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0834
    Note that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0835. Furthermore, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0836 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0837 imply that if urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0838, then urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0839. Note that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0840 since the unique solution at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0841 is to set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0842. Steps similar to those leading to the envelope representation of the buyer's payoffs imply that (i) urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0843 is equi-Lipschitz continuous, (ii) for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0844, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0845 is differentiable on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0846 with derivative equal to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0847, and (iii) R is Lipschitz continuous and at any point of differentiability, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0848.

    We now show that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0849 exists so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0850 for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0851. Toward a contradiction, suppose that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0852 for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0853. Then R is decreasing on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0854 and because urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0855 it follows that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0856 almost everywhere. Otherwise, a set urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0857 of nonzero Lebesgue measure exists such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0858 for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0859. Then

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0860
    where the first inequality follows from urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0861 on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0862 and the second by the definition of D. It follows that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0863 on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0864, and hence urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0865 is constant and equal to the commitment payoff for all urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0866, a contradiction. Thus, a subset of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0867 exists on which C is strictly positive and because C is increasing, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0868 exists so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0869 for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0870.

    Second, we use the above properties to construct a deviation for the seller. Define urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0871 as above and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0872. We show urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0873 exist such that the seller can deviate to the following mechanism. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0874 and define three posterior beliefs:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0875
    and let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0876 and urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0877. Furthermore, let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0878, and let
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0879
    Finally, for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0880, define payments as follows:
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0881
    That is, the seller now serves with probability ϵ all types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0882, and leaves the probability of trade for the remaining types unchanged; furthermore, he pays the buyer γϵ, regardless of her type. The value of η is chosen so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0883 remains optimal in period 2.

    In what follows, we first argue that for any agent-extensive form that is feasible given the above mechanism in period 1 and in any agent-assessment of that extensive form, the buyer must accept the above mechanism with probability 1. That, conditional on participating, truth telling is optimal is immediate. We then show that given ϵ we can always find η so that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0884 remains optimal in period 2. Finally, we show that for ϵ, γ small, the seller prefers the mechanism defined above to the optimal posted-price mechanism.

    The buyer participates with probability 1. Note first that buyer types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0885 must accept the mechanism: the best price they can obtain in period 2 is urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0886, whereas they obtain at least γϵ by participating in the mechanism offered by the seller. Since urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0887 for all such types, they must accept the mechanism. It then follows that, conditional on rejecting the mechanism, the price is at least urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0888 in period 2, so that it must be the case that types in urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0889 must also accept the mechanism. Proceeding inductively, it follows that the buyer accepts the mechanism with probability 1. Thus, Bayes' rule does not pin down beliefs conditional on nonparticipation, so that we can specify them arbitrarily: In particular, we can specify them so that the seller assigns probability 1 to urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0890.

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0891 remains optimal in period 2. The virtual values under urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0892 are given by

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0893
    so that the virtual values under urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0894 (i) are piecewise increasing in θ on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0895, (ii) are (weakly) negative on urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0896, and (iii) they jump down at urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0897, whenever urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0898. Let urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0899 denote the limit from below of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0900 as urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0901. That is,
    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0902
    Using the strict monotonicity of the virtual values and that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0903, it is immediate to show that for each urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0904, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0905 exists such that urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0906. Thus, for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0907, urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0908 is (weakly) negative for types θ below urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0909, and hence urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0910 remains optimal. In what follows, it is important to note urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0911 is increasing in ϵ and the definition of urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0912 implies urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0913.

    The seller has a deviation. We now verify that for small enough ϵ, γ the seller prefers the above mechanism to the optimal posted price mechanism. Indeed, the difference in payoffs between the new mechanism and the optimal posted-price mechanism is as follows:

    urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0914
    By assumption, the first term in the square brackets is positive and independent of ϵ, η, γ, whereas for small ϵ, the second term, although negative, is vanishing, and γ is also small. Thus, for urn:x-wiley:00129682:media:ecta200449:ecta200449-math-0915, small enough ϵ, γ exist such that the seller has a deviation. Q.E.D.

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