Volume 45, Issue 1 e12920
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Open Access

Predictors of subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic healthy non-diabetic postmenopausal women

Jehona Ismaili

Jehona Ismaili

Clinic of Rheumatology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosova

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Pranvera Ibrahimi

Corresponding Author

Pranvera Ibrahimi

Clinic of Cardiology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

Correspondence Pranvera Ibrahimi, Clinic of Cardiology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo.

Email: [email protected]

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Venera Berisha-Muharremi

Venera Berisha-Muharremi

Medical Faculty, University of Prishtina, Prishtina, Kosovo

Clinic of Endocrinology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Rona Karahoda

Rona Karahoda

Research Unit, Heimerer College, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Mimoza Berbatovci-Ukimeraj

Mimoza Berbatovci-Ukimeraj

Clinic of Nephrology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Nora Istrefi

Nora Istrefi

Clinic of Nephrology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Bujar Gjikolli

Bujar Gjikolli

Clinic of Radiology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Arlind Batalli

Arlind Batalli

Clinic of Rheumatology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosova

Clinic of Cardiology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Afrim Poniku

Afrim Poniku

Clinic of Rheumatology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosova

Clinic of Cardiology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

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Shpend EleziMichael Y. Henein

Michael Y. Henein

Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

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Gani Bajraktari

Gani Bajraktari

Clinic of Rheumatology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosova

Clinic of Cardiology, University Clinical Centre of Kosova, Prishtina, Kosovo

Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

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First published: 17 December 2024

Abstract

Background and Aim

Cardiovascular disease progresses after menopause. Conventional risk factors, particularly diabetes, for atherosclerosis are well-established predictors of phenotypic arterial disease. The aim of this study is to assess the predictors of subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic non-diabetic postmenopausal women.

Methods

This prospective study included 117 consecutive postmenopausal women (mean age 59 ± 7 years) referred from the outpatient Rheumatology Clinic of the University Clinical Centre of Kosovo, recruited between September 2021 and December 2022. Clinical, biochemical, carotid ultrasound and coronary CT angiography data were analysed. Subclinical atherosclerosis was diagnosed when plaque and/or carotid intima-media thickness >1.00 mm were present.

Results

Women who had subclinical atherosclerosis had higher erythrocyte sedimentation (p = 0.022), higher total cholesterol (p = 0.013), higher CAC score (p = 0.017), and higher prevalence of CAC > 100 HU and CAC > 400 HU (p = 0.017 and p = 0.034, respectively) compared to those without subclinical atherosclerosis. Women who had mild coronary calcification (CAC score ≥10 HU) were older (p = 0.005), in longer menopause (p = 0.005), had thicker CIMT (p = 0.008) with higher prevalence (p = 0.03) compared to those with CAC score <10 HU. Women with moderate coronary calcification (CAC score ≥100 HU) had higher triglycerides, worse CIMT (p = 0.005) with higher prevalence (p = 0.039) compared to those with CAC score <100 HU. In multivariate analysis [odds ratio 95% confidence interval], age [1.101 (1.032–1.174), p = 0.037] and cholesterol [2.020 (1.225–3.331), p = 0.006] independently predicted the presence of subclinical atherosclerosis.

Conclusions

In addition to the impact of age, hypercholesterolaemia is an important predictor of subclinical atherosclerosis in non-diabetic postmenopausal women.

1 INTRODUCTION

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the main cause of death in women in developed countries (Benjamin et al., 2017). The disease progression increases dramatically after menopause despite lagging behind its respective effect in men by 10 years (Khan et al., 2018). Although it is evident that the risk of CVD rises sharply in women after the perimenopausal period, the exact underlying mechanism of CVD during this transitional period of life remains uncertain (Atsma et al., 2006). Age is a well-established factor that promotes atherosclerosis with its impact on the CV system, irrespective of gender. Oestrogen deficiency during menopause is another risk factor for atherosclerosis and osteoporosis (Bhatnagar and Kekatpure, 2022), despite having an unclear relationship with coronary and carotid artery disease (Savonitto et al., 2018). These established facts explain the well-documented findings of increased carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) (Ieamtairat et al., 2019) and plaque formation (Li et al., 2021; Zhou et al., 2015) seen in postmenopausal women. Such carotid pathology is not in isolation since they have been shown to be related to coronary artery events, particularly the presence of carotid plaques (Shimoda et al., 2020). In addition, several sex differences in coronary atherosclerosis have been shown: women have smaller extent of coronary plaque burden, have more diffuse and less obstructive plaque, are less likely to have calcified and fibrous plaques, have more fibro-fatty and mixed plaques, more often microvascular dysfunction, more common spontaneous coronary artery dissection, and more likely to experience plaque erosion without concurrent coronary artery calcification (CAC), compared to men (Bugiardini and Bairey Merz, 2005; Kim, 2020; Sato et al., 2022; Shaw et al., 2009). Conventional risk factors for atherosclerosis are also well-established predictors of phenotypic arterial disease (de Barros et al., 2018), with diabetes being the most powerful predictor of subclinical atherosclerosis in postmenopausal women (Hong et al., 2015). Moreover, it was shown that diabetes and smoking have a more harmful impact on women than on men. In addition, women-specific risk factors, including autoimmune and rheumatic diseases and factors associated with menopause, have a substantial effect on women's CVD and prognosis (Kim, 2024; Vakhtangadze et al., 2021). This study aimed to assess the predictors of subclinical atherosclerosis in asymptomatic, non-diabetic postmenopausal women.

2 METHODS

2.1 Patients

In this study, we included 117 consecutive postmenopausal women (mean age 59 ± 7 years) who were referred from the outpatient Rheumatology Clinic of the University Clinical Centre of Kosovo and were recruited between September 2021 and December 2022. All subjects gave informed consent to participate in the study, which was approved by the Ethics Committee of Medical Faculty, University of Prishtina. Patients with heart failure, active malignancy, hepatic or pulmonary disease, known CAD, diabetes, and those with established arterial hypertension were excluded.

2.2 Clinical data

Demographic details, physical examination, and anthropometric measurements were taken of all participants. Body mass index (BMI) was measured and was calculated by dividing dry weight by body height (kg/m2). Blood pressure was recorded with a brachial sphygmomanometer after the subject had rested in the supine position for at least 10 min. The use of contraceptives and milk products was also registered.

2.3 Blood investigations

Haematology, fasting plasma glucose, blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglyceride, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-Reactive protein, total calcium, ionised calcium, anti-CCP, and vitamin D3 levels were measured using standard methods at the main hospital laboratory is accredited according to ISO 15189. All samples for a given assay were tested simultaneously, in duplicate, and in appropriate dilutions, according to conventional protocols.

2.4 Echocardiographic examination

2.4.1 Cardiac structure and function

A single operator performed all echocardiographic examinations using a Philips Intelligent E-33 system with a multi-frequency transducer and harmonic imaging as appropriate. Images were obtained with the patient in the left lateral decubitus position during quiet expiration. Measurements of LV dimensions were made at end-diastole and end-systole, according to the American Society of Echocardiography and the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging (Galderisi et al., 2017; Lang et al., 2015). LV volumes and EF were calculated from the apical 2 and 4 chamber views using the modified Simpson method. The ventricular long-axis function was studied using the M-mode technique and placing the cursor at the lateral and septal angles of the mitral annulus and the lateral angle of the tricuspid annulus. The total amplitude of ventricular long-axis motion was measured as previously described (Höglund et al., 1988) from peak inward to peak outward points. The indices were registered as lateral and septal mitral annular plane systolic excursion and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion. LV and right ventricular (RV) long-axis myocardial velocities were also recorded using the Doppler myocardial imaging technique. From the apical 4-chamber view, longitudinal velocities were obtained with the sample volume placed at the basal part of LV lateral and septal segments as well as the RV free wall. Systolic (s'), as well as early and late (e' and a') diastolic myocardial velocities, were measured with the gain optimally adjusted, and the mean values of lateral and septal LV velocities were calculated (Nagueh et al., 2016). Mitral regurgitation severity was assessed by colour and continuous wave Doppler and was graded as mild, moderate, or severe according to the relative jet area to that of LA as well as the flow velocity profile, according to the American Society of Echocardiography and the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging (Galderisi et al., 2011; Zoghbi et al., 2017). In the same way, tricuspid regurgitation severity was assessed by colour Doppler and continuous-wave Doppler. Retrograde trans-tricuspid pressure drop > 35 mmHg was taken as evidence of pulmonary hypertension (Gardin et al., 2002). All M-mode and Doppler recordings were made at a fast speed of 100 mm/s with a superimposed ECG (lead II).

2.4.2 Carotid ultrasound measurements

A 12–3 MHz Esaote Biomedica MyLab40 Ultrasound System was used to study the carotid arteries. All image acquisitions were performed by a single expert. The distal common carotid segment was assessed for CIMT, and the presence of plaques was defined according to the Mannheim CIMT and Plaque Consensus: focal structures encroaching into the arterial lumen of at least 0.5 mm, or demonstrates a thickness >1.5 mm as measured from the intima–lumen interface to the media–adventitia interface (Nyman et al., 2020; Touboul et al., 2012). The measurements of CIMT were obtained at the distal segment of the left and right common carotid arteries. Carotid atherosclerosis (CA) was identified by CIMT > 1 mm and/or the presence of plaques. The data were recorded and subsequently analysed using a semi-automated software (Radiofrequency-based software-guided technique quality intima-media thickness - RF-QIMT, Esaote, Genoa, Italy), which was used to determine CIMT normative values. The CIMT measurement was defined as a composite measure that combined the maximum left and right common carotid IMT and the arithmetic average of these measurements.

2.4.3 Coronary CT angiography

Coronary multidetector computed tomography was performed using a 64-slice scanner (Siemens Somatom Volume Zoom) with a gantry rotation time of 330 ms (collimation 64 × 0.6 mm, reconstruction increment 0.3 mm, tube voltage 100 kV). Image acquisition was performed during 10 s inspiratory breath-hold. Patients whose heart rate was >65 beats/min were given metoprolol 100 mg orally, 1 h before the CT examination. A non-enhanced scan was performed for CAC detection, using prospective ECG triggering, usually at 70% of the RR interval. The collimation was set to 30 × 0.6 mm, and the reconstructed slice thickness was 3 mm (adapted field of view depending on heart size, matrix 512 × 512, pixel size usually 0.5 × 0.5 mm). CAC score was calculated using the Agatston method, which is determined by the calcified area and calcium score density, using a commercially available software package (‘SyngoCaScore’, SiemensHealthcare) (Agatston et al., 1990). Calcium was defined as the presence of >2 contiguous pixels with >130 Hounsfield units, and these lesions were automatically identified and marked in colour by the workstation. The final value for the CAC score was calculated as the sum of calcium scores in each coronary branch. An observer blinded to the angiogram results and clinical data measured the CAC score.

2.5 Statistical analysis

Values are expressed as means ± standard deviation (SD). Differences between the postmenopausal women with and without subclinical atherosclerosis were analysed using the unpaired Student t-test following the analysis of variance. The Chi-square test was used to compare the categorical variables. We used the Mann–Whitney U nonparametric test to compare the CAC score between patients with carotid plaques and those without carotid plaques. p values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Pearson correlations were performed to identify simple correlations between variables. We also reported kappa coefficients (Agatston et al., 1990) for intra- and inter-observer agreement in the presence of plaque at each of the carotid arteries or their branches. Predictors of mortality were identified with univariate analysis, and multivariate logistic regression was performed using the stepwise method. A significant difference was defined as p < 0.05 (two-tailed). All analyses were performed using SPSS 22 for Windows.

3 RESULTS

3.1 Clinical and biochemical data in women with and without subclinical atherosclerosis (Table 1)

Of the 117 included postmenopausal women, 44 (37.6%) had subclinical atherosclerosis based on CIMT >1 mm. Twenty-six (22%) of study subjects had a carotid plaque, based on Mannheim concensus criteria. The presence of plaque had an excellent intra- and inter-observer agreement, with a Kappa coefficient of 0.96 and 0.99, respectively. Postmenopausal women with subclinical atherosclerosis had higher erythrocyte sedimentation (p = 0.022), higher level of total cholesterol (p = 0.013), and higher CAC score (p = 0.017) compared to those without subclinical atherosclerosis (Table 1). In addition, they had significantly higher prevalence of CAC > 100 HU and CAC > 400 HU (p = 0.017 and p = 0.034, respectively) compared to those without atherosclerosis.

Table 1. Clinical and biochemical data in postmenopausal women with and without subclinical atherosclerosis.
Variable All included patients Maximal CIMT ≤ 1 mm Maximal CIMT > 1 mm p-Value
(n = 117) (n = 73) (n = 44)
Age (years) 59 ± 7 57.6 ± 6 61.5 ± 7 0.003
Years of menopause 9.5 ± 8 8.2 ± 7 11.7 ± 8 0.020
Smoking (%) 10 10 11 0.762
Body-mass index (kg/m2) 28.9 ± 5 29 ± 5 28.6 ± 4 0.668
Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/h) 22.6 ± 14 20 ± 13 28 ± 16 0.022
C-Reactive protein (%) 7.1 ± 7.6 6.0 ± 5.6 9.7 ± 11 0.075
Total calcium (mmol/L) 2.3 ± 0.2 2.3 ± 0.3 2.4 ± 0.2 0.131
Ionised calcium (mmol/L) 1.5 ± 0.4 1.5 ± 0.4 1.6 ± 0.4 0.147
Vitamin D3 (IU) 23.8 ± 13 23.9 ± 13 23.5 ± 11 0.868
Anti-CCP (μ/mL) 7.2 ± 3.9 7.3 ± 4 7.0 ± 4 0.671
Glucose (mmol/L) 5.3 ± 0.9 5.4 ± 0.8 5.2 ± 0.9 0.303
Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.4 ± 0.9 5.3 ± 0.9 5.7 ± 0.9 0.013
Triglycerides (mmol/L) 1.7 ± 0.6 1.7 ± 0.6 1.9 ± 0.5 0.067
Creatinine (μmol/L) 78 ± 18 78 ± 17 78 ± 24 0.678
Urea (mmol/L) 6.0 ± 2 5.8 ± 1.9 6.5 ± 2.4 0.689
Haemoglobin (g/dL) 124 ± 14 124 ± 12 126 ± 16 0.586
Heart rate at admission (beats/min) 67 ± 10 68 ± 11 67 ± 9 0.686
Use of contraceptives (%) 12 16 5 0.077
Using milk products (%) 92 90 95 0.481
CAC score (HU) 67 ± 10 28 ± 90 100 ± 224 0.017
Patients with CAC (%) 79 78 80 0.852
Patients with CAC > 10 HU (%) 36 27 50 0.017
Patients with CAC > 100 HU (%) 15.4 9.6 25 0.034

3.2 Cardiac structure and function (Table 2)

Cardiac structure and function measurements by Doppler echocardiography were not different between the two groups of women, with and without subclinical atherosclerosis (Table 2).

Table 2. Echocardiographic data in postmenopausal women with and without subclinical atherosclerosis.
Variable Maximal CIMT ≤ 1 mm (n = 73) Maximal CIMT > 1 mm (n = 44) p-Value
LV end-diastolic volume (mL) 108 ± 10 114 ± 9 0.492
LV end-systolic volume (mL) 38 ± 8 42 ± 9 0.248
LV systolic function
LV ejection fraction (%) 63 ± 9 62 ± 6 0.173
LV shortening fraction (%) 35 ± 6 34 ± 5 0.625
Lateral s' (cm) 8.9 ± 1.7 8.5 ± 1.8 0.461
Septal s' (cm/s) 8.5 ± 1.7 8.2 ± 1.1 0.396
Septal MAPSE (cm) 1.4 ± 0.2 1.4 ± 0.2 0.090
Lateral MAPSE (cm) 1.6 ± 0.2 1.5 ± 0.2 0.310
Lateral e' (cm/s) 8.9 ± 3.0 9.4 ± 3.0 0.604
Lateral a' (cm/s) 12.3 ± 2.4 11.4 ± 3.4 0.345
Septal e' (cm/s) 9.1 ± 2.0 8.4 ± 2.0 0.276
Septal a' (cm/s) 12.4 ± 2.9 10.9 ± 2.5 0.065
LA transversal diameter (ml) 58 ± 6 60 ± 7 0.572
  • Abbreviations: a′, late annular diastolic velocity; a′, late diastolic myocardial velocity; e′, early annular diastolic velocity; e', early diastolic myocardial velocity; CIMT, carotid intima-media thickness; LA, left atrium; LV, left ventricular; MAPSE, mitral annular plane systolic excursion; s', systolic annular velocity; s', systolic myocardial velocity.

3.3 Clinical and biochemical data of women with and without mild coronary calcification (Tables 34)

From all postmenopausal women included in our study, 21% had CAC score = 0, 43% had CAC score 1–10 HU, 21% had CAC score 11–100 HU, 10% had CAC score 101–400 HU, and 5% had CAC score >400 HU. Study subjects who had carotid plaques had higher CAC score compared to those without carotid plaques (Mean Rank 53 HU vs. Mean Rank 80 HU, p < 0.001). Postmenopausal women who had mild coronary calcification (CAC score ≥ 10 HU) were older (p = 0.005) and were in longer menopause (p = 0.005) compared to those with less than mild calcification (CAC score < 10 HU) (Table 3). They also had thicker CIMT (p = 0.008) and a higher prevalence of thickened CIMT (p = 0.03) compared to those with the CAC score < 10 HU (Table 4). There was no other significant clinical and biochemical difference between the two groups.

Table 3. Clinical and biochemical data in postmenopausal women with CAC score < 10 HU versus CAC score ≥ 10 HU.
Variable All included patients (n = 117) CAC score < 10HU (n = 75) CAC score ≥ 10HU (n = 42) p-Value
Age (years) 59 ± 7 58 ± 6 61 ± 7 0.005
Years of menopause 9.5 ± 8 7.9 ± 6 12.4 ± 9 0.005
Smoking (%) 10.3 6.7 16.7 0.084
Body-mass index (kg/m2) 28.9 ± 5 28.3 ± 5 30 ± 4 0.062
Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/h) 22.6 ± 14 21 ± 13 25 ± 17 0.232
C-Reactive protein (%) 7.1 ± 7.6 6.7 ± 6.9 7.9 ± 8.8 0.466
Total calcium (mmol/L) 2.3 ± 0.2 2.3 ± 0.3 2.3 ± 0.2 0.876
Ionised calcium (mmol/L) 1.5 ± 0.4 1.5 ± 0.4 1.5 ± 0.4 0.464
Vitamin D3 (IU) 24 ± 13 23 ± 7 24 ± 8 0.864
Anti-CCP (μ/mL) 7.2 ± 3.9 6.6 ± 2.5 8.3 ± 5.5 0.086
Glucose (mmol/L) 5.3 ± 0.9 5.3 ± 0.8 5.4 ± 0.9 0.436
Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.4 ± 0.9 5.5 ± 0.8 5.4 ± 0.9 0.661
Triglycerides (mmol/L) 1.7 ± 0.6 1.7 ± 0.7 1.8 ± 0.4 0.064
Creatinine (μmol/L) 78 ± 18 78 ± 21 78 ± 15 0.997
Urea (mmol/L) 6.0 ± 2 6.0 ± 2 5.9 ± 2 0.697
Haemoglobin (g/dL) 124 ± 14 125 ± 13 123 ± 13 0.411
Heart rate at admission (beats/min) 67 ± 10 66 ± 9 69 ± 12 0.142
Use of contraceptives (%) 12 12 11.9 0.618
Using milk products (%) 92.2 91.9 92.9 0.580
Table 4. Clinical and biochemical data in postmenopausal women with CAC score < 10 HU versus CAC score ≥ 10 HU.
Variable CAC score < 10 HU (n = 99) CAC score ≥ 10 HU (n = 17) p-Value

Carotid intima-media thickness

Maximal CIMT (cm)

0.089 ± 0.018 0.103 ± 0.030 0.008
Maximal CIMT ≥ 1 mm (%) 49 69 0.030

3.4 Clinical and biochemical data of women with and without moderate coronary calcification (Tables 56)

Women who had moderate coronary calcification (CAC score ≥ 100 HU) had higher triglyceride levels compared to those with the CAC score <100 HU (Table 5). They also had thicker CIMT (p = 0.005) and a higher prevalence of thickened CIMT (p = 0.039) compared to those with the CAC score <100 HU (Table 6). There was no other significant clinical and biochemical difference between groups.

Table 5. Clinical and biochemical data in postmenopausal women with CAC score < 100 HU versus CAC score ≥ 100 HU.
Variable All included patients (n = 117) CAC score < 100 HU (n = 99) CAC score ≥ 100 HU (n = 17) p-Value
Age (years) 59 ± 7 58.6 ± 6 61.8 ± 8 0.110
Years of menopause 9.5 ± 8 9.0 ± 7 12.1 ± 10 0.114
Smoking (%) 10.3 10.1 11.1 0.583
Body-mass index (kg/m2) 28.9 ± 5 28.7 ± 5 30 ± 4 0.220
Erythrocyte sedimentation rate (mm/h) 22.6 ± 14 22 ± 13 26.8 ± 21 0.376
C-Reactive protein (%) 7.1 ± 7.6 6.7 ± 7.1 8.8 ± 10 0.413
Total calcium (mmol/L) 2.3 ± 0.2 2.3 ± 0.3 2.3 ± 0.3 0.594
Ionised calcium (mmol/L) 1.5 ± 0.4 1.5 ± 0.4 1.5 ± 0.4 0.925
Vitamin D3 (IU) 24 ± 13 24 ± 13 25 ± 12 0.782
Anti-CCP (μ/mL) 7.2 ± 3.9 6.8 ± 2.9 8.6 ± 7.0 0.140
Glucose (mmol/L) 5.3 ± 0.9 5.3 ± 0.8 5.4 ± 0.8 0.411
Total cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.4 ± 0.9 5.4 ± 0.9 5.5 ± 1.1 0.416
Triglycerides (mmol/L) 1.7 ± 0.6 1.7 ± 0.6 2.0 ± 0.2 0.016
Creatinine (μmol/L) 78 ± 18 78 ± 20 77 ± 15 0.790
Urea (mmol/L) 6.0 ± 2 5.9 ± 1.9 6.1 ± 2.1 0.134
Haemoglobin (g/dL) 124 ± 14 124 ± 13 126 ± 16 0.467
Heart rate at admission (beats/min) 67 ± 10 67 ± 10 68 ± 13 0.686
Use of contraceptives (%) 12 10.1 22.2 0.144
Using milk products (%) 92.2 93 89 0.422
Table 6. Clinical and biochemical data in postmenopausal women with CAC score < 100 HU versus CAC score ≥ 100 HU.
Variable CAC score < 100 HU (n = 99) CAC score ≥ 100 HU (n = 17) p-Value

Carotid intima-media thickness

Maximal CIMT (cm)

0.092 ± 0.020 0.109 ± 0.028 0.005
Maximal CIMT ≥ 0.10 cm (%) 52.5 77.8 0.039

3.5 Predictors of subclinical atherosclerosis (CIMT > 1 mm) in postmenopausal women (Table 7)

In the univariate analysis model, age (p = 0.004), menopause years (p = 0.018), cholesterol (p = 0.018), CAC score >10 HU (p = 0.015), CAC score >100 HU (p = 0.030) predicted subclinical atherosclerosis in our postmenopausal non-diabetic women. In multivariate analysis [odds ratio 95% confidence interval], only age [1.101 (1.032–1.174), p = 0.037] and high cholesterol [2.020 (1.225–3.331), p = 0.006] independently predicted the presence of subclinical atherosclerosis in the studied cohort (Table 7). Thickened CIMT proved to be the most common manifestation of subclinical atherosclerosis in 55% of the cohort, followed by CACs >10 in only 36% (Table 8). The difference between these two variables was significant (p < 0.05).

Table 7. Predictors of subclinical atherosclerosis (CIMT > 1 mm) in postmenopausal non-diabetic women.
Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis
Variable OR CI 95% p OR CI 95% p
Age 1.101 (1.032–1.174) 0.004 1.152 (1.008–1.317) 0.037
Menopause (years) 1.064 (1.011–1.120) 0.018
Cholesterol 1.726 (1.099–2.710) 0.018 2.020 (1.225–3.331) 0.006
CAC score >10 0.377 (0.172–0.826) 0.015
CAC score >100 0.318 (0.113–0.896) 0.030
  • Abbreviation: CAC, coronary artery calcium
Table 8. Presence of risk factors in all study subjects.
Variable Total number Number with presence of Percentage (%)
Hypercholesterolaemia 117 76 65%
CIMT > 0.9 mm 117 64 55%
Plaque 117 26 22%
CAC > 10 117 42 36%
CAC > 100 117 18 15.4%

4 DISCUSSION

4.1 Findings

In this study of non-diabetic asymptomatic postmenopausal women, we found the following: (1) 38% have subclinical atherosclerosis detected by carotid ultrasound pathology in the form of thickened CIMT or plaque formation; (2) these women had higher levels of serum cholesterol and higher coronary artery calcium score, compared to those without subclinical atherosclerosis; (3) subclinical atherosclerosis correlated with the CAC score; and (4) age and cholesterol level were the two independent predictors of sub-clinical atherosclerosis.

4.2 Data interpretation

Age is a well-established association with atherosclerosis (28) with its impact on the frequency of atherosclerosis acute events in the form of acute coronary and cerebral syndromes (30, 31). This observation supports the very well-established fact of atherosclerosis starting as early as the adolescence age (32), although in most cases, it remains subclinical unless provoked by an aggressive risk factor like smoking (33) or aggressive familial hypercholesterolaemia (34, 35). In most individuals, atherosclerosis takes a slow progressive course over the years with obvious manifestations above the age of 50 years. Also, one of its well-established features is the lag of atherosclerosis manifestations in females compared to males by approximately 10 years. The latter has been explained on the basis of the protective impact of female hormones (36). With the drop of female hormone levels in the circulation at postmenopause, studies have shown a significant rise in the incidence of atherosclerosis-related events, with phenotypic pathology similar to that seen in men, particularly in the coronary circulation. The findings of this study provide an addition to the above facts. Having excluded diabetes from the studied menopausal women, we have identified an important role of hypercholesterolaemia in predicting the development of even subclinical atherosclerosis. None of our patients had a prior arterial event or symptom, but the ones found to have carotid or coronary evidence for atherosclerosis proved to have significantly higher cholesterol levels. This finding supports the impact of hypercholesterolaemia in the development of atherosclerosis irrespective of its severity; hence, it urges optimum early management to protect individuals from the development of future serious arterial events and complications. Since age and its related impact on our human arterial system cannot be altered, then the second important predictor of atherosclerosis should be a clinical target for a good preventive strategy. Finally, our findings highlight the beneficial use of carotid ultrasound scanning in detecting early atherosclerotic changes based on simple CIMT increased thickness. While some studies raised doubts about the accuracy of such simple measurement in other groups of patients (37, 38), it proved consistently diagnostic in 55% of our postmenopausal non-diabetic women, over and above the accuracy of coronary calcification. The latter does not devalue the use of CAC score in clinical practice, but in the setting of asymptomatic postmenopausal coronary arteries might have already developed microcalcification that is undetectable by the current CT algorithms, whereas CIMT is easier to measure and evaluate. It must be mentioned that the latter does not preclude spotty CIMT thickening, away from the conventional measurement segment, as an explanation for the only modest accuracy in confirming subclinical atherosclerosis.

4.3 Clinical implications

Our findings establish the presence of subclinical atherosclerosis in at least 55% of asymptomatic non-diabetic individuals who need optimum risk factors control as a means of preserving the integrity of their arterial health. In this group of postmenopausal women, hypercholesterolaemia plays an important role in the development of arterial disease and thus needs an optimum long-term hypocholesterolemic strategy. Ultrasound scanning of the carotid artery should be an integral part of atherosclerosis disease prevention in these women because of its accuracy in detecting early disease, lack of radiation, and for being patient-friendly compared to claustrophobic CT scanners, whose accuracy in disease detection is significantly lower.

4.4 Study limitations

We could not accurately ascertain the menopausal duration of the studied women. The sample volume of this study is modest, so the results should be retested in a larger cohort to identify predictors of disease as well as future events. We used conventionally recommended carotid landmarks for measuring CIMT; however, experienced operators know that some individuals might present with a variant site where pathology can be detected. The same applies to the CAC score, where we used the conventional Agatston score system and Hounsfield units, knowing that individuals might have some degree of micro-calcification not detectable by the currently available scanning algorithm.

5 CONCLUSION

Postmenopausal women have clear evidence for subclinical atherosclerosis, which is related to hypercholesterolaemia. Optimum diagnosis of such condition with carotid ultrasound should guide towards devising suitable management strategies to combat disease progression.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors would like to thank the staff at the Clinic of Rheumatology and Clinic of Cardiology at the University Clinical Centre of Kosova for very much appreciated help and support. This study was not supported by any research grant.

    CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT

    The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

    DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

    The data supporting findings of this study are not publicly available because they were not included in the original consent forms. The anonymized data are available from the corresponding author upon request.

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