Volume 51, Issue 2 pp. 397-406
Original Research

Radiomics model of contrast-enhanced MRI for early prediction of acute pancreatitis severity

Qiao Lin MS

Qiao Lin MS

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Gaoping District People's Hospital of Nanchong, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Yi-fan JI MS

Yi-fan JI MS

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Yong Chen MS

Yong Chen MS

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Huan Sun MS

Huan Sun MS

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Dan-dan Yang MS

Dan-dan Yang MS

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Ai-li Chen MS

Ai-li Chen MS

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Tian-wu Chen MD

Tian-wu Chen MD

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

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Xiao Ming Zhang MD

Corresponding Author

Xiao Ming Zhang MD

Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, Sichuan, China

Address reprint requests to: X.M.Z., Sichuan Key Laboratory of Medical Imaging and Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No. 63, Wenhua Road, Nanchong, Sichuan 637000, China. E-mail: [email protected], [email protected]Search for more papers by this author
First published: 27 May 2019
Citations: 47
The first two authors contributed equally to this work.
Contract grant sponsor: National Natural Science Foundation of China; Contract grant number: 81871440.

Abstract

Background

Computed tomography (CT) or MR images may cause the severity of early acute pancreatitis (AP) to be underestimated. As an innovative image analysis method, radiomics may have potential clinical value in early prediction of AP severity.

Purpose

To develop a contrast-enhanced (CE) MRI-based radiomics model for the early prediction of AP severity.

Study Type

Retrospective.

Subjects

A total of 259 early AP patients were divided into two cohorts, a training cohort (99 nonsevere, 81 severe), and a validation cohort (43 nonsevere, 36 severe).

Field Strength/Sequence

3.0T, T1-weighted CE-MRI.

Assessment

Radiomics features were extracted from the portal venous-phase images. The "Boruta" algorithm was used for feature selection and a support vector machine model was established with optimal features. The MR severity index (MRSI), the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II, and the bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) were calculated to predict the severity of AP.

Statistical Tests

Independent t-test, Mann–Whitney U-test, chi-square test, Fisher's exact tests, Boruta algorithm, receiver operating characteristic analysis, DeLong test.

Results

Eleven potential features were chosen to develop the radiomics model. In the training cohort, the area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomics model, APACHE II, BISAP, and MRSI were 0.917, 0.750, 0.744, and 0.749, and the P value of AUC comparisons between the radiomics model and scoring systems were all less than 0.001. In the validation cohort, the AUC of the radiomics model, APACHE II, BISAP, and MRSI were 0.848, 0.725, 0.708, and 0.719, respectively, and the P value of AUC comparisons were 0.96 (radiomics vs. APACHE II), 0.40 (radiomics vs. BISAP), and 0.46 (radiomics vs. MRSI).

Data Conclusion

The radiomics model had good performance in the early prediction of AP severity.

Level of Evidence: 3

Technical Efficacy Stage: 2

J. Magn. Reson. Imaging 2020;51:397–406.

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