Political risk and environmental quality in Brazil: Role of green finance and green innovation
Corresponding Author
Dervis Kirikkaleli
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, European University of Lefke, Mersin, Turkey
Correspondence
Dervis Kirikkaleli, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, European University of Lefke, Northern Cyprus, Mersin 10, Turkey.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorTomiwa Sunday Adebayo
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Cyprus International University, Mersin, Turkey
Search for more papers by this authorCorresponding Author
Dervis Kirikkaleli
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, European University of Lefke, Mersin, Turkey
Correspondence
Dervis Kirikkaleli, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, European University of Lefke, Northern Cyprus, Mersin 10, Turkey.
Email: [email protected]
Search for more papers by this authorTomiwa Sunday Adebayo
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Cyprus International University, Mersin, Turkey
Search for more papers by this authorAbstract
The quest for ecological sustainability while reducing the impacts of environmental deterioration has become a worldwide endeavour. Furthermore, it is unclear how developing economies such as Brazil can considerably improve environmental quality (EQ). This paper contributes to the ongoing literature by evaluating the effect of green finance, economic growth, political risk, social globalization and green innovation on environmental quality in Brazil. The study used data spanning between 2000Q1 and 2018Q4. Unlike other investigations, the current study used load capacity factor as a proxy for environmental quality, which considers both demand and supply sides of environmental issues. The current study applied the novel dynamic ARDL to capture the short and long-run nexus. The bootstrap causality test was also applied to capture causal connection instabilities over time. The results of this study are as follows: (1) a significant and positive association was found between political risk, green finance, green innovation and social globalization environmental quality; (2) a significant and negative interplay was detected between economic growth and environmental quality; (3) The time-varying causality shows a feedback causality at various periods between political risk, green finance, green innovation, economic growth, social globalization and environmental quality. This study also serves as a reference point for governments and policymakers in terms of investing in eco-friendly technologies in order to improve environmental quality.
Open Research
DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT
The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in World Bank (https://databank.worldbank.org).
REFERENCES
- Acheampong, A. O. (2018). Economic growth, CO2 emissions and energy consumption: What causes what and where? Energy Economics, 74, 677–692. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.07.022
- Acheampong, A. O., Dzator, J., & Shahbaz, M. (2021). Empowering the powerless: Does access to energy improve income inequality? Energy Economics, 99, 105288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105288
- Adebayo, T. S. (2022). Renewable energy consumption and environmental sustainability in Canada: Does political stability make a difference? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29, 61307–61322. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20008-4
- Adebayo, T. S., & Kirikkaleli, D. (2021). Impact of renewable energy consumption, globalization, and technological innovation on environmental degradation in Japan: Application of wavelet tools. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 23(11), 16057–16082. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01322-2
- Alhodiry, A., Rjoub, H., & Samour, A. (2021). Impact of oil prices, the U.S interest rates on Turkey's real estate market. New evidence from combined co-integration and bootstrap ARDL tests. PLoS One, 16(1), e0242672. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0242672
- Alola, A. A., Bekun, F. V., & Sarkodie, S. A. (2019). Dynamic impact of trade policy, economic growth, fertility rate, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on ecological footprint in Europe. Science of the Total Environment, 685, 702–709. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.05.139
- Alola, A. A., Pylaeva, I. S., Podshivalova, M. V., Podshivalov, D. V., & Demin, A. A. (2022). A new approach to identifying high-tech manufacturing SMEs with sustainable technological development: Empirical evidence. Journal of Cleaner Production, 363, 132322.
- Ashraf, J. (2022). The spillover effects of political risk, financial risk, and economic freedom on ecological footprint: Empirical evidence from belt and road initiative countries. Borsa Istanbul Review, 22, 873–885. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2022.06.004
- Awosusi, A. A., Adebayo, T. S., Kirikkaleli, D., & Altuntaş, M. (2022). Role of technological innovation and globalization in BRICS economies: Policy towards environmental sustainability. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 6(12), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2022.2059032
- Balcilar, M., Ozdemir, Z. A., & Arslanturk, Y. (2010). Economic growth and energy consumption causal nexus viewed through a bootstrap rolling window. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1398–1410.
- Batrancea, I., Batrancea, L., Maran Rathnaswamy, M., Tulai, H., Fatacean, G., & Rus, M.-I. (2020). Greening the financial system in USA, Canada and Brazil: A panel data analysis. Mathematics, 8(12), 2217. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8122217
- Danish, H., & Ulucak, R. (2020). How do environmental technologies affect green growth? Evidence from BRICS economies. Science of the Total Environment, 712, 136504. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136504
- Destek, M. A., & Sarkodie, S. A. (2019). Investigation of environmental Kuznets curve for ecological footprint: The role of energy and financial development. Science of the Total Environment, 650, 2483–2489. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.017
- Du, K., Li, P., & Yan, Z. (2019). Do green technology innovations contribute to carbon dioxide emission reduction? Empirical evidence from patent data. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 146, 297–303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.06.010
- Du, L., Jiang, H., Adebayo, T. S., Awosusi, A. A., & Razzaq, A. (2022). Asymmetric effects of high-tech industry and renewable energy on consumption-based carbon emissions in MINT countries. Renewable Energy, 196, 1269–1280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.07.028
- Fareed, Z., & Pata, U. K. (2022). Renewable, non-renewable energy consumption and income in top ten renewable energy-consuming countries: Advanced Fourier based panel data approaches. Renewable Energy, 194, 805–821. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.156
- Gatzert, N., & Kosub, T. (2017). Determinants of policy risks of renewable energy investments. International Journal of Energy Sector Management.
- Guo, Y., Dai, X., Jermsittiparsert, K., & Razmjooy, N. (2020). An optimal configuration for a battery and PEM fuel cell-based hybrid energy system using developed krill herd optimization algorithm for locomotive application. Energy Reports, 6, 885–894. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2020.04.012
- Guo, Y., Wang, L., & Chen, Y. (2020). Green entrepreneurial orientation and green innovation: The mediating effect of supply chain learning. SAGE Open, 10(1), 2158244019898798. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244019898798
- Hassan, T., Khan, Y., He, C., Chen, J., Alsagr, N., Song, H., & Naveed, K. (2022). Environmental regulations, political risk and consumption-based carbon emissions: Evidence from OECD economies. Journal of Environmental Management, 320, 115893. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115893
- IEA. (2022). International Energy Agency. https://www.iea.org/countries/brazil.
- Irfan, M., Razzaq, A., Sharif, A., & Yang, X. (2022). Influence mechanism between green finance and green innovation: Exploring regional policy intervention effects in China. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 182, 121882. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121882
- Jabari, M. S., Aga, M., & Samour, A. (2022). Financial sector development, external debt, and Turkey's renewable energy consumption. PLoS One, 17(5), e0265684. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0265684
- Jahanger, A., Usman, M., Murshed, M., Mahmood, H., & Balsalobre-Lorente, D. (2022). The linkages between natural resources, human capital, globalization, economic growth, financial development, and ecological footprint: The moderating role of technological innovations. Resources Policy, 76, 102569. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102569
- Jordan, S., & Philips, A. Q. (2018). Cointegration testing and dynamic simulations of autoregressive distributed lag models. The Stata Journal, 18(4), 902–923. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X1801800409
- Khan, Y., Oubaih, H., & Elgourrami, F. Z. (2022). The role of private investment in ICT on carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) mitigation: Do renewable energy and political risk matter in Morocco? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(35), 52885–52899. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19455-w
- Kirikkaleli, D. (2020). Does political risk matter for economic and financial risks in Venezuela? Journal of Economic Structures, 9(1), 3. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40008-020-0188-5
10.1186/s40008-020-0188-5 Google Scholar
- Kirikkaleli, D., Shah, M. I., Adebayo, T. S., & Altuntaş, M. (2022). Does political risk spur environmental issues in China? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29, 62637–62647. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19951-z
- Lin, B., & Ma, R. (2022). Green technology innovations, urban innovation environment and CO2 emission reduction in China: Fresh evidence from a partially linear functional-coefficient panel model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 176, 121434. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121434
- Nawaz, M. A., Seshadri, U., Kumar, P., Aqdas, R., Patwary, A. K., & Riaz, M. (2021). Nexus between green finance and climate change mitigation in N-11 and BRICS countries: Empirical estimation through difference in differences (DID) approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(6), 6504–6519. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10920-y
- Ngoc, H. T., Tuan, B. A., Duy, N. V., Kien, D. T., & Dat, N. N. (2021). Impact of foreign direct investment and urbanisation on CO2 emissions in Vietnam. International Journal of Business and Globalisation, 27(3), 313–332. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJBG.2021.113276
10.1504/IJBG.2021.113276 Google Scholar
- Ning, Q. Q., Guo, S. L., & Chang, X. C. (2021). Nexus between green financing, economic risk, political risk and environment: Evidence from China. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 2(8), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2021.2012710
- Obobisa, E. S., Chen, H., & Mensah, I. A. (2022). The impact of green technological innovation and institutional quality on CO2 emissions in African countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 180, 121670. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121670
- Ojekemi, O. S., Rjoub, H., Awosusi, A. A., & Agyekum, E. B. (2022). Toward a sustainable environment and economic growth in BRICS economies: Do innovation and globalization matter? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29, 57740–57757. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19742-6
- Ortiz, C., Alvarado, R., Méndez, P., & Flores-Chamba, J. (2022). Environmental impact of the shadow economy, globalisation, and human capital: Capturing spillovers effects using spatial panel data approach. Journal of Environmental Management, 308, 114663. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114663
- Ozturk, I., Ullah, S., Majeed, M. T., & Ahmad, W. (2021). Do technological innovations have symmetric or asymmetric effects on environmental quality? Evidence from Pakistan. Journal of Cleaner Production, 316, 128239.
- Pan, B., Adebayo, T. S., Ibrahim, R. L., & Al-Faryan, M. A. S. (2022). Does nuclear energy consumption mitigate carbon emissions in leading countries by nuclear power consumption? Evidence from quantile causality approach. Energy & Environment, 12(9), 0958305X221112910. https://doi.org/10.1177/0958305X221112910
- Pata, U. K. (2021). Do renewable energy and health expenditures improve load capacity factor in the USA and Japan? A new approach to environmental issues. The European Journal of Health Economics, 22(9), 1427–1439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10198-021-01321-0
- Pata, U. K., & Isik, C. (2021). Determinants of the load capacity factor in China: A novel dynamic ARDL approach for ecological footprint accounting. Resources Policy, 74, 102313. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102313
- Pata, U. K., & Samour, A. (2022). Do renewable and nuclear energy enhance environmental quality in France? A new EKC approach with the load capacity factor. Progress in Nuclear Energy, 149, 104249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pnucene.2022.104249
- Pata, U. K., & Yilanci, V. (2020). Financial development, globalization and ecological footprint in G7: Further evidence from threshold cointegration and fractional frequency causality tests. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 27(4), 803–825. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-020-00467-z
- Pesaran, M. H. (1999). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis (pp. 134–150). Cambridge University.
- Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
- Rahman, M. M. (2020). Environmental degradation: The role of electricity consumption, economic growth and globalisation. Journal of Environmental Management, 253, 109742. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109742
- Razzaq, A., Wang, Y., Chupradit, S., Suksatan, W., & Shahzad, F. (2021). Asymmetric inter-linkages between green technology innovation and consumption-based carbon emissions in BRICS countries using quantile-on-quantile framework. Technology in Society, 66, 101656. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2021.101656
- Saeed Meo, M., & Karim, M. Z. A. (2022). The role of green finance in reducing CO2 emissions: An empirical analysis. Borsa Istanbul Review, 22(1), 169–178. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2021.03.002
- Samour, A., Moyo, D., & Tursoy, T. (2022). Renewable energy, banking sector development, and carbon dioxide emissions nexus: A path toward sustainable development in South Africa. Renewable Energy, 193, 1032–1040. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.05.013
- Shahbaz, M., Abbasi, K. R., Zhang, J., Irfan, M., & Alvarado, R. (2022). Analyze the environmental sustainability factors of China: The role of fossil fuel energy and renewable energy. Renewable Energy, 187, 390–402.
- Shahbaz, M., Hye, Q. M. A., Tiwari, A. K., & Leitão, N. C. (2013). Economic growth, energy consumption, financial development, international trade and CO2 emissions in Indonesia. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 25, 109–121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2013.04.009
- Sharif, A., Saqib, N., Dong, K., & Khan, S. A. R. (2022). Nexus between green technology innovation, green financing, and CO2 emissions in the G7 countries: The moderating role of social globalisation. Sustainable Development, 4(2), 12–24. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2360
- Shen, C., Li, S., Wang, X., & Liao, Z. (2020). The effect of environmental policy tools on regional green innovation: Evidence from China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 254, 120122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.120122
- Sheraz, M., Deyi, X., Sinha, A., Mumtaz, M. Z., & Fatima, N. (2022). The dynamic nexus among financial development, renewable energy and carbon emissions: Moderating roles of globalization and institutional quality across BRI countries. Journal of Cleaner Production, 343, 130995. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.130995
- Siche, R., Pereira, L., Agostinho, F., & Ortega, E. (2010). Convergence of ecological footprint and emergy analysis as a sustainability indicator of countries: Peru as case study. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation, 15(10), 3182–3192.
- Su, Z.-W., Umar, M., Kirikkaleli, D., & Adebayo, T. S. (2021). Role of political risk to achieve carbon neutrality: Evidence from Brazil. Journal of Environmental Management, 298, 113463. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.113463
- Tolliver, C., Fujii, H., Keeley, A. R., & Managi, S. (2021). Green innovation and finance in Asia. Asian Economic Policy Review, 16(1), 67–87. https://doi.org/10.1111/aepr.12320
- Ulucak, R., Danish, H., & Ozcan, B. (2020). Relationship between energy consumption and environmental sustainability in OECD countries: The role of natural resources rents. Resources Policy, 69, 101803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101803
- Usman, O., Iortile, I. B., & Ike, G. N. (2020). Enhancing sustainable electricity consumption in a large ecological reserve–based country: The role of democracy, ecological footprint, economic growth, and globalisation in Brazil. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(12), 13370–13383. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07815-3
- Wang, F., Wang, R., & He, Z. (2021). The impact of environmental pollution and green finance on the high-quality development of energy based on spatial Dubin model. Resources Policy, 74, 102451. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102451
- Wang, Y., & Zhi, Q. (2016). The role of green finance in environmental protection: Two aspects of market mechanism and policies. Energy Procedia, 104, 311–316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2016.12.053
10.1016/j.egypro.2016.12.053 Google Scholar
- Wu, H., & Hu, S. (2020). The impact of synergy effect between government subsidies and slack resources on green technology innovation. Journal of Cleaner Production, 274, 122682. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122682
- Wu, L., Yue, X. G., & Umut, A. (2022). The role of renewable energy consumption and financial development in environmental sustainability: Implications for the Nordic Countries. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 2(6), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504509.2022.2115577
- Yameogo, C. E. W., Omojolaibi, J. A., & Dauda, R. O. S. (2021). Economic globalisation, institutions and environmental quality in sub-Saharan Africa. Research in Globalization, 3, 100035. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2020.100035
10.1016/j.resglo.2020.100035 Google Scholar
- Zhai, X., & An, Y. (2021). The relationship between technological innovation and green transformation efficiency in China: An empirical analysis using spatial panel data. Technology in Society, 64, 101498. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2020.101498
- Zhang, Y., Li, X., & Xing, C. (2022). How does China's green credit policy affect the green innovation of high polluting enterprises? The perspective of radical and incremental innovations. Journal of Cleaner Production, 336, 130387. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.130387
- Zhao, J., Taghizadeh-Hesary, F., Dong, K., & Dong, X. (2022). How green growth affects carbon emissions in China: The role of green finance. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 12(2), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2022.2095522