Volume 69, Issue 1 pp. 117-161
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Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series

Joon Y. Park

Joon Y. Park

Department of Economics at Rice University

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Peter C. B. Phillips

Peter C. B. Phillips

Department of Economics at Rice University

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First published: 19 September 2008
Citations: 294

Abstract

An asymptotic theory is developed for nonlinear regression with integrated processes. The models allow for nonlinear effects from unit root time series and therefore deal with the case of parametric nonlinear cointegration. The theory covers integrable and asymptotically homogeneous functions. Sufficient conditions for weak consistency are given and a limit distribution theory is provided. The rates of convergence depend on the properties of the nonlinear regression function, and are shown to be as slow as n1/4 for integrable functions, and to be generally polynomial in n1/2 for homogeneous functions. For regressions with integrable functions, the limiting distribution theory is mixed normal with mixing variates that depend on the sojourn time of the limiting Brownian motion of the integrated process.

Footnotes

  • The authors thank a co-editor and three referees for helpful comments on earlier versions of the paper and Yoosoon Chang for many helpful discussions on the subject matter of the paper. The research reported here was begun in 1994 and the first version of the paper was completed in January 1998. Park thanks the Department of Economics at Rice University, where he is an Adjunct Professor, for its continuing hospitality, and the Cowles Foundation for support during several visits over the period 1994–1998. Park acknowledges research support from the Korea Research Foundation. Phillips thanks the NSF for support under Grant No. SBR 94-22922 and SBR 97-30295. The paper was typed by the authors in SW2.5.
    • The full text of this article hosted at iucr.org is unavailable due to technical difficulties.