Volume 48, Issue 12 pp. 11735-11749
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Long Time Behavior for a Stochastic Heroin Epidemic Model Under Regime Switching

Jinxiang Zhan

Jinxiang Zhan

School of Information and Mathematics, Yangtze University, Jingzhou, China

Contribution: ​Investigation, Writing - original draft, Formal analysis

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Yongchang Wei

Corresponding Author

Yongchang Wei

School of Information and Mathematics, Yangtze University, Jingzhou, China

Correspondence:

Yongchang Wei ([email protected])

Contribution: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Writing - review & editing, Writing - original draft

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First published: 21 April 2025

Funding: The authors received no specific funding for this work.

ABSTRACT

In this article, we expand a model of the heroin epidemic from a deterministic model to a stochastic model by incorporating Brownian motion and regime switching. The objective is to examine the comprehensive impact of Brownian motion and regime switching on system dynamics. We establish a critical value that fully characterizes its long time behavior. It is found that if this critical value is less than one, the number of heroin drug users converges to zero or extinction occurs. Conversely, if this critical value exceeds one, the system persists in mean and has a unique stationary distribution. Finally, three compelling examples are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of our findings.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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