Volume 30, Issue 2 pp. 1206-1224
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Partial index tracking enhanced mean–variance portfolio

Zhaokun Cai

Corresponding Author

Zhaokun Cai

School of Business, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, New Jersey, USA

Correspondence

Zhaokun Cai, School of Business, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, NJ 07030, USA.

Email: [email protected]

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Zhenyu Cui

Zhenyu Cui

School of Business, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, New Jersey, USA

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Majeed Simaan

Majeed Simaan

School of Business, Stevens Institute of Technology, Hoboken, New Jersey, USA

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First published: 14 March 2024

This work is dedicated to the memory of Harry Markowitz (1927–2023), whose pioneering work has inspired portfolio research in many generations to come.

Abstract

Estimation constitutes a major challenge in the implementation of mean–variance portfolios. To overcome this, we propose a partial index-tracking strategy that aims to mitigate estimation error ex-ante. Theoretically, we minimize the mean-squared error of the proposed strategy by shrinking the portfolio variance to its tracking error. Using an empirical design with over 50 years of data, our paper makes two important observations. First, we show that our proposed approach is consistent with both linear and non-linear shrinkage strategies in terms of robustness. Second, the proposed decision rule leads to a lower out-of-sample tracking error. Our findings, overall, stress the appeal of partial index tracking not only in terms of shrinkage (robustness) but also in terms of relative performance.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST STATEMENT

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in Kenneth R. French - Data Library at https://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html.

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