Volume 4, Issue 3 pp. 430-435
Article
Free Access

Prognostic Value of Child-Turcotte Criteria in Medically Treated Cirrhosis

Erik Christensen

Corresponding Author

Erik Christensen

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

Erik Christensen, M.D., Department of Hepatology 233, University of Copenhagen, Hvidovre Hospital, 30 Kettegaard Alle, DK-2650 Copenhagen, Denmark.===Search for more papers by this author
Poul Schlichting

Poul Schlichting

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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Lis Fauerholdt

Lis Fauerholdt

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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Christian Gluud

Christian Gluud

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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Per Kragh Andersen

Per Kragh Andersen

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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Erik Juhl

Erik Juhl

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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Hemming Poulsen

Hemming Poulsen

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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Niels Tygstrup

Niels Tygstrup

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

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The Copenhagen Study Group For Liver Diseases

The Copenhagen Study Group For Liver Diseases

Medical Department A, Division of Hepatology, Rigshospitalet; Medical Department, Division of Hepatology, Department of Pathology, Hvidovre Hospital, University of Copenhagen; Statistical Research Unit, Danish Medical and Social Science Research Councils; Medical Departments B and C, Bispebjerg Hospital; Medical Department B, Frederiksberg Hospital; Medical Departments II, III and VII, Kommunehospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark; University Institute of Pathological Anatomy, Århus, Denmark

Members of the Copenhagen Study Group for Liver Diseases are: J. T. Balslev; M. Bjørneboe; P. Christoffersen; K. Eghøje; V. Faber; S. Gjørup; B. Harvald; K. Iversen; O. Jessen; E. Juhl; H. E. Jørgensen; A. R. Krogsgaard; S. A. Nørregaard; T. Steen Olsen; H. Poulsen; F. Quaade; L. Ranek; F. Raaschou; K. Schmidt; Å. C. Thomsen; N. Tygstrup; and P. Winkel.

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First published: May‐June 1984
Citations: 240

Abstract

The Child-Turcotte criteria (CTC) (based on serum bilirubin and albumin, ascites, neurological disorder and nutrition) are established prognostic factors in patients with cirrhosis having portacaval shunt surgery. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of CTC in conservatively treated cirrhosis. Patients (n = 245) with histologically verified cirrhosis from a control group of a controlled clinical trial were studied. Data at entry into the trial were used to classify patients according to CTC. Survival curves for up to 16 years were made, and survival rates were compared using the log-rank test. Survival decreased significantly with increasing degree of abnormality (A ± B ± C) of albumin (p < 0.001), ascites (p < 0.001), bilirubin (p = 0.02) and nutritional status (p = 0.03). Survival was insignificantly influenced by neurological status (p = 0.11) probably because none of the patients had hepatic coma at entry into the trial. The five variables in CTC were combined to a score. With increasing score, the median survival time decreased from 6.4 years (score 5) to 2 months (scores 12 or more). Furthermore, the mortality from hepatic failure, gastrointestinal bleeding or hepatocellular carcinoma increased significantly with increasing score. CTC provide valuable and easily obtainable prognostic information in cirrhosis. However, CTC are inferior to a prognostic index based on multivariate analysis of prognostic factors.

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