Chapter 9

Machine Learning Application for Solar PV Forecasting

Asif Khan

Asif Khan

Integral University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India

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Mohd Khursheed

Mohd Khursheed

Department of Electrical Engineering, Integral University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India

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Jian Ping Li

Jian Ping Li

UESTC, Chengdu, Sichuan, China

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Farhan Ahmad

Farhan Ahmad

Integral University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India

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Ahmad Neyaz Khan

Ahmad Neyaz Khan

Department of Computer Science and Application, KL University, Vijayavada, India

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First published: 24 May 2024

Summary

Owing to their intermittent nature, the integration of a substantial number of renewable energy sources (RESs), such as solar and wind, has an adverse impact on the stability and reliability of power systems. Solar PV power forecasting can be adopted to enhance system stability by providing estimated future power generation data to power system control engineers, as well as to optimize the dispatch of hydropower facilities. ML computational algorithms have demonstrated excellent performance in time sequence forecasting and can thus be used to anticipate power with weather factors as model inputs. This chapter describes the use of numerous ML computational algorithms for solar power forecasting in several solar parks in India. The performance of the ML algorithms in forecasting is compared to that of the Smart Persistence (SP) method, and the results reveals that the learning mode outperforms the other methods.

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